Sunday, June 3, 2012

Monday June 4 Housing and Economic stories



TOP STORIES:

U.S. Banks Sold More Swaps on European Debt as Risks Rose  - (www.bloomberg.com) U.S. banks increased sales of protection against credit losses to holders of Greek, Portuguese, Irish, Spanish and Italian debt in the last quarter of 2011 as the European debt crisis escalated. Guarantees provided by U.S. lenders on government, bank and corporate debt in those countries rose 10 percent from the previous quarter to $567 billion, according to the most recent data from the Bank for International Settlements. Those guarantees refer to credit-default swaps written on bonds. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., two of the top CDS underwriters in the U.S., say they have bought more protection than they sold, indicating they may benefit from defaults in the region. That outcome is called into question by JPMorgan’s $2 billion loss on similar derivatives, which shows that risks don’t vanish when offsetting bets are taken, said Craig Pirrong, a finance professor at the University of Houston.

Spain Crisis Lender For Regions Can Tap ECB To Fill Coffers - (www.bloomberg.com) The Spanish government’s bank channeling aid to cash-strapped regions can keep a lid on its funding bill by tapping the European Central Bank for loans that cost it a fraction of the amount bond investors will charge. While Instituto de Credito Oficial has sold 60 percent of the 20 billion euros ($25 billion) in bonds it planned to issue in 2012, the lender is also able to use its banking license to access the ECB’s facilities, said Antonio Cordero, its head of funding and treasury. That allows the institution to access money at 1 percent, compared with a cost of more than 5 percent from investors for its three-year debt. “Like any other bank, the ICO can pledge loans as guarantees to obtain Bank of Spain funding,” Cordero said in a May 11 interview at the lender’s headquarters in Madrid. “Potentially most of our balance sheet is eligible.”

Peering Over J.P. Morgan's Hedges - (online.wsj.com) With big U.S. bank stocks again sliding, investors are wondering how much is due to Europe's woes versus blowback from J.P. Morgan Chase's JPM -0.59% trading debacle. One answer: The issues are intertwined. When J.P. Morgan revealed $2 billion-plus in trading losses, it said it had executed hedges poorly and failed to monitor them properly. This raised questions about J.P. Morgan's overall hedging abilities, including those meant to offset exposures to Europe. And, if J.P. Morgan could mess up, what about Citigroup, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley or Goldman Sachs? With investors in the dark on the degree to which the five banks are mostly buying and selling protection from each other, investors also have little way to assess contagion risks.

Apocalypse Fairly Soon - (www.nytimes.com) Suddenly, it has become easy to see how the euro — that grand, flawed experiment in monetary union without political union — could come apart at the seams. We’re not talking about a distant prospect, either. Things could fall apart with stunning speed, in a matter of months, not years. And the costs — both economic and, arguably even more important, political. This doesn’t have to happen; the euro (or at least most of it) could still be saved. But this will require that European leaders, especially in Germany and at the European Central Bank, start acting very differently from the way they’ve acted these past few years. They need to stop moralizing and deal with reality; they need to stop temporizing and, for once, get ahead of the curve.

The Decline of Inherited Money - (online.wsj.com) My Krugman post brought a lot of emails asking about my assertion that “the vast majority of today’s rich didn’t inherit their money, but made it themselves.” For the sake of brevity, I didn’t cite the research behind the statement. But since many of you have asked, and we aim to please here at the Wealth Report, here are my three main data points:
1. According to a study of Federal Reserve data conducted by NYU professor Edward Wolff, for the nation’s richest 1%, inherited wealth accounted for only 9% of their net worth in 2001, down from 23% in 1989. (The 2001 number was the latest available.)
2. According to a study by Prince & Associates, less than 10% of today’s multi-millionaires cited “inheritance” as their source of wealth.
3. A study by Spectrem Group found that among today’s millionaires, inherited wealth accounted for just 2% of their total sources of wealth.





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