Monday, August 26, 2013

Tuesday August 27 Housing and Economic stories


Eric Holder Owes the American People an Apology  - (www.bloomberg.com) The Justice Department made a long-overdue disclosure late Friday: Last year when U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder boasted about the successes that a high-profile task force racked up pursuing mortgage fraud, the numbers he trumpeted were grossly overstated. We're not talking small differences here. Originally the Justice Department said 530 people were charged criminally as part of a year-long initiative by the multi-agency Mortgage Fraud Working Group. It now says the actual figure was 107 -- or 80 percent less. Holder originally said the defendants had victimized more than 73,000 American homeowners. That number was revised to 17,185, while estimates of homeowner losses associated with the frauds dropped to $95 million from $1 billion. The government restated the statistics because it got caught red-handed by a couple of nosy reporters. Last October, two days after Holder first publicized the numbers, Phil Mattingly and Tom Schoenberg of Bloomberg News broke the story that some of the cases included in the Justice Department's tally occurred before the initiative began in October 2011. At least one was filed more than two years before President Barack Obama took office.

Iron Ore Gluts Seen Through 2017 on Record Supply: Commodities - (www.bloomberg.com) The seaborne iron ore market is poised for at least four years of expanding gluts as producers from Rio Tinto Group to Vale SA increase supply to a record just as growth in China drops to the slowest pace in a generation. The surplus will reach 82 million metric tons in 2014, the most since at least 2008, and the glut will keep growing through 2017, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Australia will account for about 66 percent of the supply gains next year, Morgan Stanley says. Iron ore will average $115 a ton in 2014, 19 percent less than now and the least since 2009, according to the median of 10 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Prices rose as much as eightfold in the past decade as China added $6.8 trillion to its gross domestic product. The nation now makes almost one in every two tons of steel produced globally. Ore supply failed to keep pace, with shortages in seven of the past eight years, spurring Rio, BHP Billiton Ltd. and Fortescue Metals Group Ltd. to boost output. 

In One Bundle of Mortgages, the Subprime Crisis Reverberates - (www.nytimes.com) A subprime deal came back to haunt Fabrice Tourre, a former Goldman Sachstrader, when a federal jury in Manhattan found him liable for civil securities fraud. He is not the only one feeling the pain of a subprime transaction six years on. Hundreds of thousands of subprime borrowers are still struggling. Some of their mortgages ended up in another Goldman deal that was done at the same time as Mr. Tourre was working on his own financial alchemy. In February 2007, just before everything fell apart, Goldman Sachs bundled thousands of subprime mortgages from across the country and sold them to investors. This bond became toxic as soon as it was completed. The mortgages slid into default at a speed that was staggering even for that era. Despite those losses, that bond still lives. It has undoubtedly left its mark on ordinary borrowers. But the impact of the deal spread ever further. It touched the bankers who sold the deal. It even landed on taxpayers, who ended up owning a large slice of the Goldman bond.

The homebuilding industry's increasingly desperate attempts to preserve HMID - (www.ochousingnews.com)  Like any industry that enjoys an undeserved government subsidy, the homebuilding industry is fighting to keep it. The home mortgage interest deduction does little to increase home ownership rates, particularly among low wage earners, but it does inflate housing prices, especially where high wage earners live. Homebuilders equate high house prices with greater profits and more homebuilding activity, so they are fighting to keep it despite the fact it is very costly to the US taxpayer and does little to boost home ownership rates. Supporters of the home mortgage interest deduction are very worried that Congress will curtail it in the debate over comprehensive tax reform. The National Association of Homebuilders is becoming increasingly vocal — and increasingly desperate — in their attempts to justify this subsidy.






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