Wednesday, November 6, 2013

Thursday November 7 Housing and Economic stories


Radioactive water leaks at Fukushima as operator underestimates rainfall - (www.reuters.com) Highly radioactive water overflowed barriers into Japan's Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant, its operating utility said on Monday, after it underestimated how much rain would fall at the plant and failed to pump it out quickly enough. The utility, Tokyo Electric Power Co, also known as Tepco, has been battling to contain radioactive water at the nuclear complex, which suffered meltdowns and hydrogen explosions following a devastating earthquake and tsunami in March 2011. Dealing with hundreds of tonnes of groundwater flowing through the wrecked nuclear plant daily is a constant headache for the utility and for the government, casting doubt on Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's promises that the Fukushima water "situation is under control."

Where are the shoppers? Blame Congress  - (www.cnbc.com) Although the prolonged shutdown has ended, its effects continue to ripple through the economy far beyond employee furloughs. Retail store traffic fell an average 7.3 percent each week of the shutdown compared with the same time period last year, ShopperTrak reported Friday. The area around Washington faced an even more drastic decline of 11.4 percent in the week of Oct. 6-12 versus the same week last year, the analytics group found. "This time of year a certain number of people really like the Halloween cards, and I found that was definitely cut back," said Suprabha Beckjord, owner of a 30-year-old gift shop, Transcendence-Perfection-Bliss, near the National Zoo. 

Twice paid for no work likely for some furloughed USAToday  - (www.usatoday.com) Some fortunate federal employees will likely get paid twice for not working this month. Several states are expected to allow federal workers who collected unemployment insurance during the government shutdown to keep both those benefits and the back pay they're set to receive, according to the Labor Department. Their decisions may add at least a few million dollars more to the shutdown's still-untallied costs to taxpayers. Those include billions of dollars in federal workers' lost productivity as well as lost fee income and other revenue from government services and functions that weren't performed. The shutdown's cost to the U.S. economy is even bigger -- as much as $24 billion in the October-December period, economists estimate, About 400,000 federal employees were furloughed during the 16-day shutdown. The legislation that reopened the government last week provides retroactive pay for the furloughed workers.

Families with kids going homeless - (www.bloomberg.com)  When Montoria Freeland separated from her husband of 15 years in 2008, she left a four-bedroom house and economic security. Before long, her pay and hours as a pharmacy technician were cut and she found herself and her son facing homelessness. Freeland lived with family for a time, she said, and four months ago moved into transitional housing funded by the city government in Washington, D.C., while searching for work that pays more than her $8.25-an-hour retail job. Having lost her oldest son in a 2000 homicide, Freeland said she insists on looking for housing in a safe neighborhood for her surviving one, now 17. She found that’s available only at an increasingly steep price.
“You’re trying to pay car insurance, rent, electric, cable and if you’re using public transit, putting money on your card, groceries,” said Freeland, who was accepted into a program that provides temporary housing, financial planning and job-placement counseling. “It’s hard to survive out here.”

More young people are out of school...and out of work - (www.cnbc.com) Almost 6 million young people are neither in school nor working, according to a study released Monday. That's almost 15 percent of those aged 16 to 24 who have neither desk nor job, according to The Opportunity Nation coalition, which wrote the report. Other studies have shown that idle young adults are missing out on a window to build skills they will need later in life or use the knowledge they acquired in college. Without those experiences, they are less likely to command higher salaries and more likely to be an economic drain on their communities. "This is not a group that we can write off. They just need a chance," said Mark Edwards, executive director of the coalition of businesses, advocacy groups, policy experts and nonprofit organizations dedicated to increasing economic mobility. "The tendency is to see them as lost souls and see them as unsavable. They are not."






Tuesday, November 5, 2013

Wednesday November 6 Housing and Economic stories


Insight: As Brazil's Batista falters, Rio dream does too - (www.reuters.com) Investors who bet on Eike Batista have lost billions over the past year as the Brazilian's ephemeral business empire imploded. But they haven't been the only losers - the onetime Amazon gold trader and former speedboat racer's hometown of Rio de Janeiro has also been shaken by his rapid decline. Beginning in 2006, Batista floated a series of mining, energy and shipping companies through share offers that by 2012 made him the world's seventh richest man, valued by Forbes magazine at $30 billion. All the companies' names, including that of his EBX conglomerate, ended in X, a letter he said symbolized the multiplication of wealth. With the same verve he used to woo investors, Batista also became the biggest booster of a hoped-for revival in Rio, the verdant, seaside metropolis whose glorious past as Brazil's capital and cultural center had in recent decades given way to crime, violence and the unfettered sprawl of slums. At his peak, Eike, as the 56-year-old is known locally, bankrolled the campaign that lured the 2016Olympics to Rio. He paid for police vehicles in poor neighborhoods and partially decontaminated a popular local lagoon.

Treasury may have even less room for maneuver in 2014 - (www.cnbc.com)  Obama on Thursday signed into law a bill that would suspend a $16.7 trillion cap on the national debt until early February, when it will reset to whatever level the debt has reached. Absent a decision to raise it again, the Treasury Department has tools to manage its cash a little longer before it starts missing payments. The question is how long. This year, the Treasury bumped up against the debt ceiling in May but was able keep under it for another five months by doing things like stopping investments in some pension funds for federal workers. These steps are known in Washington as the Treasury's "extraordinary measures." They give the Treasury a buffer against an economically damaging default. When the debt cap is reset next year, several respected budget experts think the Obama administration might run out of wiggle room by mid-March. "Extraordinary measures are unlikely to last long," Shai Akabas and Brian Collins, analysts at the Bipartisan Policy Center think tank in Washington, wrote in a report on Friday.

Boeing Cuts 747 Production Again as Demand Wanes for Biggest Jet - (www.bloomberg.com) Boeing Co. (BA) is slowing production of its 747-8 jumbo jet, the planemaker’s biggest model ever, for the second time this year as demand continues to dwindle for four-engine aircraft. The new rate will be 1.5 planes a month, a pace that will be maintained through 2015, Chicago-based Boeing said yesterday in a statement. That’s a 14 percent drop from the 1.75 rate announced in April and a 25 percent decline from production at the start of 2013. While Boeing hasn’t yet netted any new sales for the jumbo this year, it’s in “active” discussions with several customers and looking forward to a 2014 rebound in the cargo market, which could spark interest in a freighter version of the 747-8, Doug Alder, a Boeing spokesman, said in an interview. Korean Air Lines Co. agreed to buy five of the passenger version in June, though it never completed its order. “It’s not a surprise, in fact it’s smart,” Howard Rubel, a New York-based aerospace analyst with Jefferies Inc., said in a phone interview. “It tightens up the market, doesn’t put airplanes out there that can’t be sold.”

Illinois Supreme Court strikes down 'Amazon tax' - (www.chicagotribune.com) Consumers who live in sales-tax states, such as Illinois, owe state sales taxhttp://images.intellitxt.com/ast/adTypes/icon1.png on their Internet purchases, whether they pay it during virtual checkout or when they file their state income tax returns. But few pay unless tax is collected at checkout. That has the effect of making online purchases cheaper than those at bricks-and-mortar retailers. In March 2011, Illinois passed the Main Street Fairness Act, informally dubbed the Amazon-tax law. It expanded the meaning of a merchant's physical presence to include that of affiliate companies. To avoid having to collect sales tax upon virtual checkout, some large Internet retailers, including Amazon.com, cut ties with affiliates in Illinois, which one tradehttp://images.intellitxt.com/ast/adTypes/icon1.png group said numbered about 9,000. After the law passed, some prominent Illinois-based Internet businesseshttp://images.intellitxt.com/ast/adTypes/icon1.png, such as CouponCabin.com and FatWallet.com, fled to Indiana and Wisconsin rather than be cut off from commissions from Amazon.com, Overstock.com and others.

Structured Notes Tied to Credit Indexes Surge Amid Low Defaults - (www.bloomberg.com)  Structured notes tied to credit-default swap indexes are selling at a record pace as the corporate failure rate declines in Europe. Nordea Bank AB, SEB AB and Societe Generale SA led $1.7 billion of issuance this year, a 35 percent increase from all of 2012, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Notes that speculate on the creditworthiness of the 50 junk-rated companies in the Markit iTraxx Crossover Index accounted for 60 percent of the sales, the data show. “These products now have a recent history of performing well with very few credit events,” said Peter Frosell, head of investment products at Nordea in Stockholm. “They are lower risk than equities, and while the returns may not be as high as with stocks, they are more than deposits and are less volatile.”





JPMorgan Said to Have Reached $13 Billion U.S. Accord - (www.bloomberg.com)

Monday, November 4, 2013

Tuesday November 5 Housing and Economic stories


So, 70,000 Furloughed Federal Workers Filed Unemployment Claims - (www.huffingtonpost.com) The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits dropped from a six-month high last week, but remained elevated as California continued to deal with a backlog related to computer problems. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell 15,000 to a seasonally adjusted 358,000, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had expected first-time applications to rise to 335,000 last week. A Labor Department analyst said claims in California, which has experienced technical problems during a conversion to a new computer system, remained at similar levels as in the prior week. There had not been a perceptible increase in filings last week from non-federal workers furloughed because of the just-ended government shutdown, the analyst said.

Wells Fargo cuts 925 more mortgage jobs - (finance.yahoo.com) Wells Fargo & Co , the largest U.S. mortgage lender, is laying off 925 employees in its home loan unit as rising rates cut into demand for refinancing. The San Francisco bank provided a 60-day notice on Wednesday to the workers whose jobs will be eliminated nationwide, a spokesman said in a statement. The bank will continue to evaluate its staff levels in response to market conditions, the spokesman added. Wells Fargo's mortgage unit is in a "transitional period" as higher interest rates in recent months have made refinancing unappealing, chief financial officer Tim Sloan said on an October 11 conference call with analysts. The bank made $80 billion in home loans in the third quarter, down 42 percent from the same quarter last year and the slowest quarter for home loans since the second quarter of 2011.

Shutdown deal averts catastrophe but leaves economy in peril  - (www.washingtonpost.com) The deal reached by Congress on Wednesday to end the government shutdown and raise the debt ceiling averts a financial catastrophe but leaves the weakened U.S. economy facing new threats. The agreement will send about 450,000 federal employees back to work and restart paychecks for the 1.3 million employees who stayed on the job during the shutdown. Getting those salaries back in circulation will help economic growth, particularly in the Washington area. More important, the threat of a default on the national debt has been avoided, along with the recession and financial crisis that may have accompanied a failure to raise the borrowing limit. But while the bipartisan deal ends a period of disruption that has slowed the economy — the shutdown removed more than $20 billion in direct government spending and related economic activity — it creates new perils, setting up other economy-shaking deadlines in just a few months.

Healthy Gen Yers won't buy Obamacare: Wilbur Ross - (www.cnbc.com) A cornerstone of Obamacare is getting enough healthy young people to sign up and pay for insurance that they'll use less frequently than their older and sick counterparts. Thus, making health insurance more affordable for everyone. "I think that's a very doubtful assumption," private equity billionaire Wilbur Ross told CNBC on Friday. "I think the healthy young people are going to wait until they get sick, worry through the six months" until the next open enrollment period and then sign up, he said on "Squawk Box." Obamacare does not exclude people with pre-existing conditions. Starting in 2014, most Americans will be required to have health insurance or face a tax penalty. As has been widely reported, the online marketplaces—particularly Healthcare.gov run by the federal government for 36 states not operating their own exchanges—have been riddled with glitches since they opened for business on Oct. 1. So far, that's led to only a fraction of people who've shopped for coverage to actually enroll.

Vast majority of Obamacare exchange visitors don't enroll - (www.cnbc.com) Obamacare has a 99.6 percent rating—and not in a good way. A paltry 36,000 people managed to enroll in the federal online health-insurance marketplace in its first, software-glitch-ridden week of operation, a grim new analysis found Wednesday. That's "far fewer than one percent of all visitors to HealthCare.gov" for the week ended Oct. 5, wrote Matt Pace, managing director of research firm Millward Brown Digital, on a blog post entitled "A Bleak First Week." In fact, the firm found 99.6 percent of HealthCare.gov's visitors left before enrolling in coverage, a sobering statistic given the Obama administration's goal of signing up 7 million people on new government-run health exchanges by 2014.






Sunday, November 3, 2013

Monday November 4 Housing and Economic stories


realtors desperately lobby for higher loan limits to support housing - (www.ochousingnews.com) Lower limits on conforming loans guaranteed by the GSEs or the FHA will lower sales volumes and prices in the price ranges no longer financeable with government loans. Everyone who understands the relationship between easy-money financing and aggregate house prices knows this, and those most interested in reflating the housing bubble and maintaining sales volumes (realtors mostly) are doing everything possible to make sure these conforming loan limits stay as high as possible. Of course, this is contrary to the greater good and the stated goals of the Obama administration that wants to reduce the footprint of government in home finance, but realtors aren’t concerned with the greater good, they are concerned about commission income. Watching the realtor lobby work is a lesson in political influence in Washington. When the possibility of lower loan limits was first announced, realtors began a public relations campaign to scare everyone with fears of housing market Armageddon. Then, they followed with letters to regulators urging bureaucrats to keep the  realtor commission subsidies in place. Finally, they organized their minions who they control with their campaign contributions and had legislators write letters for them also urging bureaucrats to keep the money flowing irrespective of the taxpayer costs.


IBM’s huge revenue miss worries Wall Street - (www.marketwatch.com) IBM Corp.’s big miss of nearly $1 billion in third quarter revenue, combined with its misses in the last few quarters, has got Wall Street nervous that the tech giant is being too optimistic with its forecasts, especially for 2015. The company blamed most of the revenue shortfall on a 40% drop in hardware sales in China, as the country gets ready to implement a new economic plan in November. “There simply has been a substantial impact of China’s economic reform plan, which will be announced in November,” IBM Chief Financial Officer Mark Loughridge told analysts. “But once that economic plan is announced and adds clarity to the markets, we will see a recovery in the demand from state-owned enterprises in the government sector.”

BOJ to extend loan schemes to encourage bank lending: sources - (www.reuters.com) The Bank of Japan is likely to extend three special loan facilities that have provided more than $81 billion in lending over the past three years to try to nudge Japan's risk-averse banks to create more credit, sources said. An extension would signal the BOJ's commitment to driving funds through the banking sector to borrowers, even as it continues its unprecedented quantitative easing policy under Governor Haruhiko Kuroda to try to revive an economy that has suffered years of low-grade deflation and sluggish growth. The central bank's policy board is expected to review the loan programs in November or December before their expiry date of March 2014. Apart from extending them by at least a year, the board might also combine the programs to simplify their operations, people familiar with the matter said.

Franco-German divisions cloud efforts to fix broken banks - (www.reuters.com) The euro zone wrestled on Monday with the question of who should pay for a clean-up of bust banks, as Franco-German divisions cast a cloud over efforts to seal a landmark reform and draw a line under the region's financial crisis. As Spain and Ireland prepare to end their reliance on international aid that shored up their banks, finance ministers sought to devise a long-term action plan to deal with problems likely to be uncovered in bank health checks next year. Issues remained over how much the euro zone's rescue fund, the European Stability Mechanism, will be able to help, as well as over how to build a single banking framework for the bloc and resolve future problems together in a banking union.

Build America Bonds Biggest Loser in Yield-Rise Bet: Muni Credit - (www.bloomberg.com) The $188 billion market for Build America Bonds is set to trail the rest of municipal debt for the first time as issuers face cuts to their federal subsidies while investors bet interest rates will rise. The taxable debt created under President Barack Obama’s 2009 stimulus plan has lost 6.1 percent this year, compared with a 3.7 percent drop for the $3.7 trillion municipal market, Bank of America Merrill Lynch data show. The bonds beat all local debt in the first three full years of their existence as they drew buyers from across the fixed-income universe. Build America proceeds funded infrastructure projects, so the securities tend to have longer maturities. The duration has spurred sharper declines this year compared with other munis, said Dan Close at Nuveen Asset Management. Longer-dated yields have climbed since May on speculation a growing economy will lead the Federal Reserve to curb its bond buying.