Sunday, November 3, 2013

Monday November 4 Housing and Economic stories


realtors desperately lobby for higher loan limits to support housing - (www.ochousingnews.com) Lower limits on conforming loans guaranteed by the GSEs or the FHA will lower sales volumes and prices in the price ranges no longer financeable with government loans. Everyone who understands the relationship between easy-money financing and aggregate house prices knows this, and those most interested in reflating the housing bubble and maintaining sales volumes (realtors mostly) are doing everything possible to make sure these conforming loan limits stay as high as possible. Of course, this is contrary to the greater good and the stated goals of the Obama administration that wants to reduce the footprint of government in home finance, but realtors aren’t concerned with the greater good, they are concerned about commission income. Watching the realtor lobby work is a lesson in political influence in Washington. When the possibility of lower loan limits was first announced, realtors began a public relations campaign to scare everyone with fears of housing market Armageddon. Then, they followed with letters to regulators urging bureaucrats to keep the  realtor commission subsidies in place. Finally, they organized their minions who they control with their campaign contributions and had legislators write letters for them also urging bureaucrats to keep the money flowing irrespective of the taxpayer costs.


IBM’s huge revenue miss worries Wall Street - (www.marketwatch.com) IBM Corp.’s big miss of nearly $1 billion in third quarter revenue, combined with its misses in the last few quarters, has got Wall Street nervous that the tech giant is being too optimistic with its forecasts, especially for 2015. The company blamed most of the revenue shortfall on a 40% drop in hardware sales in China, as the country gets ready to implement a new economic plan in November. “There simply has been a substantial impact of China’s economic reform plan, which will be announced in November,” IBM Chief Financial Officer Mark Loughridge told analysts. “But once that economic plan is announced and adds clarity to the markets, we will see a recovery in the demand from state-owned enterprises in the government sector.”

BOJ to extend loan schemes to encourage bank lending: sources - (www.reuters.com) The Bank of Japan is likely to extend three special loan facilities that have provided more than $81 billion in lending over the past three years to try to nudge Japan's risk-averse banks to create more credit, sources said. An extension would signal the BOJ's commitment to driving funds through the banking sector to borrowers, even as it continues its unprecedented quantitative easing policy under Governor Haruhiko Kuroda to try to revive an economy that has suffered years of low-grade deflation and sluggish growth. The central bank's policy board is expected to review the loan programs in November or December before their expiry date of March 2014. Apart from extending them by at least a year, the board might also combine the programs to simplify their operations, people familiar with the matter said.

Franco-German divisions cloud efforts to fix broken banks - (www.reuters.com) The euro zone wrestled on Monday with the question of who should pay for a clean-up of bust banks, as Franco-German divisions cast a cloud over efforts to seal a landmark reform and draw a line under the region's financial crisis. As Spain and Ireland prepare to end their reliance on international aid that shored up their banks, finance ministers sought to devise a long-term action plan to deal with problems likely to be uncovered in bank health checks next year. Issues remained over how much the euro zone's rescue fund, the European Stability Mechanism, will be able to help, as well as over how to build a single banking framework for the bloc and resolve future problems together in a banking union.

Build America Bonds Biggest Loser in Yield-Rise Bet: Muni Credit - (www.bloomberg.com) The $188 billion market for Build America Bonds is set to trail the rest of municipal debt for the first time as issuers face cuts to their federal subsidies while investors bet interest rates will rise. The taxable debt created under President Barack Obama’s 2009 stimulus plan has lost 6.1 percent this year, compared with a 3.7 percent drop for the $3.7 trillion municipal market, Bank of America Merrill Lynch data show. The bonds beat all local debt in the first three full years of their existence as they drew buyers from across the fixed-income universe. Build America proceeds funded infrastructure projects, so the securities tend to have longer maturities. The duration has spurred sharper declines this year compared with other munis, said Dan Close at Nuveen Asset Management. Longer-dated yields have climbed since May on speculation a growing economy will lead the Federal Reserve to curb its bond buying.






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