Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Wednesday November 21 Housing and Economic stories


TOP STORIES:

Even Russian 'Black Money' Investors In Cyprus Will Get A Bailout - (www.businessinsider.com) Timing couldn’t have been worse. Or more opportune. A “secret” report by the German version of the CIA, the Bundesnachrichtendienst (BND), bubbled to the surface. It asserted that the pending bailout of Cyprus would use the money of taxpayers in other countries, particularly in Germany, to bail out mostly rich Russians who have over the years deposited their “black money” in Cypriot banks that are now collapsing. Not that the bailout of this tiny speck of land with 840,000 people isn’t in enough trouble.

In Europe, a Repeat of the Loan Crisis - (www.nytimes.com) THE credit crisis, which made it difficult if not impossible for companies and individuals to borrow during the worldwide recession, appears to have returned to Europe. In the euro area as a whole, the amount of credit outstanding has fallen to levels lower than they were a year ago, according to figures released last week by the European Central Bank. In some countries within the euro zone, including Italy and Spain, credit is falling at a faster rate now than it did during the first crisis. The difficulty in obtaining credit seems likely to make it even harder for the countries that have been hurt the most to recover and begin to grow again. The figures show that while the E.C.B. has relieved the immediate financial pressures on both governments and banks by making it easy for them to borrow, it has not managed to extend that easy credit to those who need money the most.

France the next Greece? - (www.telegraph.co.uk) The French are living in Alice and Wonderland. Bild Zeitung asked whether France is becoming the "new Greece". You get the drift. The business lobby Medef warned two weeks ago that the country is heading into a "hurricane". It said Hollande is making a disastrous mistake by slapping on extra business taxes and pushing the top rate of capital gains tax to 62pc. (compared to 21pc in Spain, 26pc in Germany and 28pc in Britain). Medef’s Laurence Parisot had some strong words, as I reported then. "The situation is very serious. Some business leaders are in a state of quasi-panic. The pace of bankruptcies has accelerated over the summer. We are seeing a general loss of confidence by investors. Large foreign investors are shunning France altogether. It’s becoming really dramatic." She said Hollande has yet to understand the "extreme gravity" of the crisis. Or rather, he has misunderstood it. He has embraced austerity but not reform, the worst possible mix.

One safety net that needs to shrink - (www.nytimes.com) ELECTION Day is upon us, and neither President Obama nor Mitt Romney has really addressed one of the nation’s most pressing economic issues: the risk that one day taxpayers might have to bail out swashbuckling financial institutions again. Granted, the economic pain many are feeling now — the snail’s pace recovery, the stubbornly high unemployment — is foremost in voters’ minds. But given all we’ve gone through after the last binge in the financial industry, failing to confront the too-big-to-fail question is a serious oversight. Many Americans probably think the Dodd-Frank financial reform law will protect taxpayers from future bailouts. Wrong. In fact, Dodd-Frank actually widened the federal safety net for big institutions. Under that law, eight more giants were granted the right to tap the Federal Reserve for funding when the next crisis hits. At the same time, those eight may avoid Dodd-Frank measures that govern how we’re supposed to wind down institutions that get into trouble.

realtor to presidential candidates, do no harm... to our commissions - (www.ochousingnews.com) Recently, Dave Liniger, co-founder and chairman of RE/MAX, LLC, had some choice words for the presidential candidates regarding their stances—or lack thereof—on the nation’s housing crisis. In an open letter addressing both President Obama and Governor Romney, Liniger calls out the two candidates for avoiding the issue when it comes to the current state of affairs in American housing. Liniger points out that the two nominees are focusing all their energy and resources on the economy at large and chides them because “as leaders, you ignore housing at our peril,” he says. By “our” he means realtors. The candidates benefit by ignoring this issue because any substantive policy proposals would be unpopular and counter-productive. Liniger writes, “Although the economy is recognized as the single most important issue in the campaign, and housing is commonly blamed for the recession and sluggish recovery, it is unimaginable that relevant solutions to housing issues have not been front and center.”





Monday, November 19, 2012

Tuesday November 20 Housing and Economic stories


TOP STORIES:

Latest Danish Bank Failure Shows Risks Hidden in Profits - (www.bloomberg.com) Denmark’s latest regional bank failure shows that even lenders that had reported growing profits can conceal risks big enough to shut them down. Toender Bank A/S (TNDR), based in southwest Denmark close to the German border, was forced to declare bankruptcy after markets closed on Nov. 2, following an inspection by the Financial Supervisory Authority that revealed bad loans big enough to wipe out the lender’s equity. Sydbank A/S (SYDB), Denmark’s third-largest listed lender, will take over Toender Bank’s 18,000 customers and a balance sheet of 2.3 billion kroner ($396 million). The acquisition won’t include hybrid or supplementary capital. Denmark’s burst housing bubble has claimed more than a dozen regional lenders since 2008 as continued declines in property values and a struggling farming industry trigger deeper impairments. About 3.2 percent of the nation’s roughly 105 banks are under “intensified supervision due to potential solvency problems,” FSA Director Ulrik Noedgaard said last month. Until last week, Toender Bank had appeared profitable.

Analysis: Canada braces as housing slowdown takes hold - (www.reuters.com) Long convinced the country's housing boom would never end in a crash, Canadians have watched this autumn as a sharp slowdown in real estate spreads across the country, leaving would-be home buyers hopeful and sellers scared. "The power is in the hands of the buyer - that's what I'm feeling," said Andria Petrillo, 32, as she and her husband toured a quiet open house in the heart of Toronto, where crowds and chaos once reigned over weekend home showings. But like most people shopping for a new home, Petrillo has to sell her old one first. And that's where she worries. "With the economy, I'd like to sell now. I worry about selling because it's a condo, and that market is cooling even faster than houses," said the newly married sportscaster. "We can't sell it for a ridiculous amount of money anymore."

FHA Said to Set Stage for Treasury Draw as Losses Mount - (www.bloomberg.com)  The Federal Housing Administration, faced with continuing losses from the housing bubble, will issue a financial analysis next week setting the stage for what could be its first draw from the U.S. Treasury in its 78-year history, according to three people briefed on the report. The government-backed mortgage insurer, which warned in last year’s report that its insurance fund was being drained, has raised premiums and tightened credit standards in an effort to avoid asking for a taxpayer subsidy. Still, the improved quality of recent FHA-backed loans -- now comprising 15 percent of U.S. mortgages for home purchases - - may not offset continuing defaults from loans made from 2005 to 2008, said the people, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the report isn’t yet final.

Greece makes austerity push, workers gear for strike - (www.reuters.com) Greece's government presented a new austerity package to parliament on Monday as a week of strikes and protests kicked off over proposals that lawmakers must approve if the country is to secure more aid and stave off bankruptcy. Parliament is expected to vote on Prime Minister Antonis Samaras's 13.5 billion euros ($17 billion) package of cost cuts and tax hikes on Wednesday along with measures making it easier for firms to hire and fire workers. Despite public exasperation at four years of belt-tightening that has helped wipe out a fifth of the economy and leave a quarter of Greeks jobless, the package and a tough budget slated for a vote on Sunday are expected to scrape through parliament.

NJ housing market was already struggling before hurricane - (www.telegram.com) Cody Buck rebuilt his home in Sayreville, N.J., after Hurricane Irene knocked it down last year. On Wednesday, Buck showed New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie how Hurricane Sandy destroyed the house again.  “I think, governor, we need to level the whole neighborhood, give everybody a check and get out of here,” Buck said, according to a pool report by journalists covering Christie’s tour of the hurricane-racked state. Sandy’s brutal arrival last Monday was the latest blow to homeowners in New Jersey, where foreclosures continued to rise and real estate prices to fall after most of the U.S. housing market began to recover last year. 





Sunday, November 18, 2012

Monday November 19 Housing and Economic stories


TOP STORIES:

Another example of the Fed's Meddling - (www.examiner.com)  Purpose of the Fed's QE3 is to control of every mortgaged property in U.S. The Federal Reserve, since the crash of the Housing Bubble in 2007, has printed tens of trillions of dollars to both bail out banks, and to try to re-stimulate the housing markets. QE1 and QE2, along with programs like Operation Twist, have done little to stem the fall in housing prices and housing starts, and has not done anything to focus on the key Fed mandate of improving employment in the economy. In fact, the vast majority of Fed money has gone to purchase U.S. Treasuries to fund the government and increase the national debt, while at the same time prop up the stock markets to near record highs. This is the primary reason why inflation has not completely gotten out of control in the economy, as banks have chosen to hold these trillions of new dollars in Treasuries and derivatives, rather than lend them out to consumers and small businesses. The inflation effects are being masked the in the triangle scheme of Fed money printing, bank lending at near 0% interest, and the purchase of government debt.

New debt forecasts dash Greece hopes- (www.ft.com)  The magnitude of Greece's fiscal challenge was painted in sharp relief on Wednesday as Athens unveiled new budget projections exceeding the worst-case scenarios envisioned by international lenders when they agreed a €174bn rescue eight months ago. Instead of Greece's debt peaking at 167 per cent of economic output next year, as predicted in the March bailout agreement, it will hit 189 per cent and climb to 192 per cent in 2014, according to projections presented to the Greek parliament. Even under an "alternate scenario" prepared by the International Monetary Fund in March, which attempted to project a pessimistic economic and fiscal picture, Greece's debt was only predicted to peak at 171 per cent of gross domestic product.

Towers of Doom Trap New York’s Shut-Ins in Sandy Blackout - (www.bloomberg.com) For Rosa Reyes, 75, going from her 18th-floor New York apartment to the street is no longer an option after Sandy’s hurricane-force winds cut power, and with it, elevator service, days ago.  “I can’t go down no stairs because I’m disabled,” Reyes said, leaning on a wooden cane and pointing to her knee. Her food is holding up, and neighbors have brought jugs of water. So she’s all right, for now at least. Reyes isn’t alone. An untold number of the city’s shut-ins, from 39th Street to Manhattan’s southern tip, are trapped in the towers that help define the city’s skyline, after the superstorm knocked out power Oct. 29. Officials say it may take days or weeks to restore the electricity that drives elevators and powers the pumps that bring water up to fill sinks and toilets.

A Year After MF Global’s Collapse, Brokerage Firms Feel Less Pressure for Change - (www.nytimes.com) When MF Global toppled a year ago, chaos engulfed a Chicago trading floor. Customers were locked out of their accounts, later discovering that about $1 billion of their money had disappeared. The debacle, which played out on the evening of Halloween, prompted federal authorities to immediately bear down on the brokerage firm and the broader futures trading industry. But a year after a federal grand jury issued subpoenas and regulators vowed reforms, the largest bankruptcy since the financial crisis has begun to fade from Wall Street’s memory. Federal authorities have all but cleared MF Global’s top executives of criminal wrongdoing, people briefed on the matter say. The government has yet to usher in a wider overhaul of futures trading rules, save for certain piecemeal policy changes. And the profit-making exchanges that rely on brokerage firms for business still police the futures industry, presenting potential conflicts of interest.

Spanish bad bank faces struggle to lure property investors - (www.reuters.com)  Spain's "bad bank" will struggle to find buyers for swathes of empty land, unfinished housing projects and doubtful loans left over from a property crash, hindering Madrid's attempts to overcome the wider economic crisis. Real estate consultants predict that almost two-thirds of assets that the government's newly-created bad bank is due to take over from commercial banks will fail to attract investors, at least in the short term and possibly ever. Spain is setting up the bad bank, known by the acronym SAREB, under a plan to cleanse the banking system of toxic property assets. SAREB aims eventually to buy up to 90 billion euros ($117 billion) of the assets at deep discounts and then sell them to investors over 15 years.





Thursday, November 15, 2012

Friday November 16 Housing and Economic stories


TOP STORIES:

9 scenarios and all lead to stock plunge - (www.marketwatch.com)  “Is the U.S. Condemned by History to Slow Growth?” asks Bloomberg BusinessWeek. Yes. But for traders and investors, it’s far worse than just bearish slow growth. Plan for no growth or zero growth. Why? Wall Street, America and the world economy are in the early stages of a long era of “de-growth,” a reversal of economic growth and reduction in market growth as population growth adds new stresses on commodities resources, creates unrest, disasters and wars. Big problems ahead. Please listen: Earnings growth is in a long slowdown in all of the following nine scenarios. Economy down. Earnings down. Stocks down. Trading down. Focus on the long term, on history, look past the noise about elections and fiscal cliffs. Why? This is an economic “perfect storm.” All nine scenarios end in bad news for all markets, spell danger for your future income, your family’s security. Start planning now.

The Coming Economic Hurricane Will Be Worse Than 2008 – (www.investmentwatchblog.com) I believe the global economy stands on the brink of meltdown. The immediate trigger of this collapse is the European Debt Crisis, but the build up to this catastrophe has been building for years and decades. Three of the major drivers of Global economichttp://images.intellitxt.com/ast/adTypes/icon1.png growth: the US, Europe, and mainland China , are all on the verge of economic slowdown, if not outright collapse. Usually, if one region of the globe is contracting other regions are growing and able to take up the economic ‘slack’. For the first time in modern history, all regions are slowing at once. This is uncharted  economic territory. I will look individually at how each region got into the economic malaise it is in and what some consequences may be. EUROPE: Greece is the poster child for Europe’shttp://images.intellitxt.com/ast/adTypes/icon1.png economic  problems, but they are not alone. Europeans have lived beyond their financial means for decades and now the bill is coming due.

Cameron Faces Revolt as Conservatives Demand EU Budget Cut - (www.bloomberg.com) U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron gave his strongest signal yet he will veto any increase in the European Union’s budget as he sought to pacify rebel Conservative lawmakers before a House of Commons debate. Lawmakers will vote today on an amendment put forward by euroskeptic Conservatives that demands a cut in the EU’s budget, highlighting splits in the party over Europe. Cameron has previously said he’ll push for a freeze in real terms in the bloc’s spending over the seven years starting in 2014, a stance criticized by some lawmakers as not aggressive enough.

U.S. Insurers Slump as Trading Resumes After Sandy - (www.bloomberg.com) U.S. property insurers declined on the first trading day in New York after Atlantic superstorm Sandy lashed the U.S. and a risk modeling firm said the damage could cost the industry as much as $15 billion. Allstate Corp. (ALL), the largest publicly traded U.S. home insurer, dropped 1.3 percent to $39.62 at 9:44 a.m. in New York. American International Group Inc. (AIG) slipped 0.9 percent and Travelers Cos. dropped 1.3 percent. The storm will probably cost insurers $7 billion to $15 billion, AIR Worldwide said yesterday, an estimate that accounts for physical damage to property, business-interruption coverage and additional expenses for displaced residential policyholders. The higher figure would make Sandy the third costliest U.S. hurricane, after Katrina, which caused more than $40 billion in losses in 2005, and 1992’s Hurricane Andrew.

Banks tighten euro zone loan standards, see more coming - ECB - (www.reuters.com) Banks made it harder for firms to borrow in the third quarter and expect to toughen loan requirements further in the months ahead even though their own funding constraints have eased, the European Central Bank said on Wednesday. In its latest quarterly Bank Lending Survey, the ECB said that banks reported an improvement in their access to retail and wholesale funding across all funding categories in the third quarter. "Compared with the previous quarter, the impact of the sovereign debt crisis on banks' credit standards receded somewhat in the third quarter of 2012."





Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Thursday November 15 Housing and Economic stories


TOP STORIES:

Why the Foreclosure Crisis is Getting Worse - (www.usnews.com) Although the housing market is showing signs of recovery, other indicators show the foreclosure crisis is getting worse. In a September interview with U.S. News, Austan Goolsbee, the former chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, said, "I think there's a lot wrong in the housing market. If Fannie and Freddie would start enabling people to rent out the vacant homes, that would also help." Some foreclosure facts:
·         The mortgage loans which are currently under the foreclosure process, is amounting to almost $45 billion (that is mainly in terms with negative equity)  
·         More than almost 12 million homeowners are currently considered to be underwater, who are still making payments

Valley Real Estate Agent Pleads Guilty to $2M Ponzi Scheme - (www.patch.com) A North Hills real estate agent and self-described investor pleaded guilty Monday to a federal charge stemming from a Ponzi scheme that conned dozens of victims out of at least $2 million. Celia Gallardo, 42, entered her plea to a single count of wire fraud in Los Angeles federal court and is expected to be sentenced on March 11. She was arrested in July by FBI agents and charged in a 16-count federal indictment with wire and mail fraud. According to the U.S. Attorney's Office, Gallardo -- who is also known as Celia Zagha -- bilked investors who put money into her purported year-long real estate investment program. The defendant didn't speak at the hearing other than to respond to the judge's questions, including whether she understood the rights she was giving up. "Guilty," Gallardo replied when U.S. District Judge Dean D. Pregerson asked for her plea.

Japan real estate prices back down to 1981 levels - (www.japantimes.co.jp)  Jesper Koll, an economist who has lived in Japan for 26 years, says it's not easy for him to keep faith in a country that's shrinking, aging, stuck in protracted economic gloom and fast losing ground to China as the region's dominant power. "I am the last Japan optimist," Koll said in a recent speech in Tokyo. Indeed, the once-common species has been virtually wiped out. It was only two decades ago that Japan's boosters — mainly foreign diplomats and authors, economists and entrepreneurs — touted the nation as a global model for how to attain prosperity and power. But the group has turned gradually into nonbelievers, with several of the last holdouts losing faith only recently, as the country has failed to carry out meaningful reforms after the March 2011 disasters.

Building restrictions amplify housing bubble swings? - (www.capefearbusiness.com) As a specialist in housing policy, he realized that blending all the local housing trends into a single national average obscured what was really going on. It led analysts of all political persuasions to try to attribute the origins of the Great Recession entirely to the actions of clumsy congressmen, clueless regulators, greedy bankers, or the Federal Reserve’s easy-money policies. And it led them to ignore the fact that housing booms and busts had plagued many other economies around the world during the same period. In his new book American Nightmare: How Government Undermines the Dream of Homeownership, O’Toole set out to correct the record. After defining a housing bubble as prices growing by more than 50 percent and then falling by more than 10 percent from their peak, O’Toole examined home price data for all 50 states and 381 metropolitan areas.

Foreclosed family watches helplessly as craigslist crowds strip house bare - (www.11alive.com) A family in Woodstock, who just lost their home of 20 years to foreclosure and are preparing to move out, lost even more on Wednesday. And it was all because they inadvertently triggered what they now call "mayhem" when they posted a craigslist ad Tuesday night. Their online post was just a well-meaning ad for a giveaway of furniture and other household items in their driveway outside the small house, a giveaway scheduled to begin at 10 a.m. Wednesday. But big crowds showed up early, while the family was out, breaking into the house and taking practically everything inside, in part because the way that the craigslist ad was written gave them the idea that everything on the property was up for grabs. 





Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Wednesday November 14 Housing and Economic stories


TOP STORIES:

UBS to cut 10,000 jobs in fixed income retreat – (www.reuters.com)  Swiss bank UBS unveiled plans on Tuesday to fire 10,000 staff and wind down its fixed income business, returning to its private banking roots as it adapts to tough capital rules that make it harder to turn a profit from trading. Zurich-based UBS will focus on wealth management and a smaller investment bank, ditching much of the trading business that ran up $50 billion in losses in the financial crisis and is embroiled in a global LIBOR rate-fixing investigation. Some UBS staffers took to social media to air their frustration after dozens of traders were stopped from entering the bank's London offices on Tuesday.

Spanish Contraction Continues as Austerity Spur Inflation - (www.bloomberg.com) Spain’s economy contracted for a fifth quarter, undermining efforts to plug the budget deficit that’s pushing the nation closer to a bailout, while austerity measures kept inflation at a 17-month high. Gross domestic product declined 0.3 percent in the three months through September, compared with 0.4 percent the prior quarter, the National Statistics Institute said today. That compared with the Bank of Spain’s estimate on Oct. 23 of a 0.4 percent contraction. Consumer prices, rose 3.5 percent from a year earlier, Madrid-based INE said. The prolongation of Spain’s five-year slump, which is prompting record loan defaults at the nation’s banks and job cuts at companies including Gamesa SA (GAM), adds to pressure on Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy as he resists requesting international aid. 

New York Subway System May Take Weeks to Recover From Storm - (www.bloomberg.com) New York’s subway system may take weeks of work and tens of billions of dollars to be restored to full service as officials assess the toll from floods, hurricane-force winds and electrical damage that crippled the most populous U.S. city’s transportation hub. “I can say unequivocally that the MTA last night faced a disaster as devastating as it has ever faced in its history,” Metropolitan Transit Authority Chairman Joe Lhota said at a news conference today. Sandy, the Atlantic superstorm, exceeded officials’ worst- case scenario, Lhota said. It wreaked havoc on the entire transportation system in New York and New Jersey, including subways, buses, roads and commuter railroads.

Insight: A giant storm and the struggle over closing Wall Street - (www.reuters.com)  At 6:30 p.m. on Sunday night, with Hurricane Sandy bearing down on the U.S. East Coast, New York Stock Exchange operator NYSE Euronext had more immediate problems: a revolt from the trading firms that are its lifeblood. NYSE officials, including global head of sales Christine Sandler, told the firms that while the exchange would shut down its physical trading floor it was planning to open for business on Monday as an electronic-only trading venue for the first time. But dealers trading shares were skeptical, according to interviews with about a dozen people privy to discussions including senior exchange officials, Wall Street executives, traders and other sources. The final choice after more than two days of discussions, these sources said, came down to this: whether to use an unproven system to keep the markets open while risking employees' safety, or close for the day and play it safe.

L.A. City Council President Herb Wesson wants sales tax hike - (www.latimes.com) Determined to find a new solution to Los Angeles' budget crisis, City Council President Herb Wesson said Tuesday he wants his colleagues to prepare a half-cent sales tax hike proposal for the ballot in the March municipal election. Wesson said such a measure would generate $220 million for the city, which has faced a shortfall every year since the nation’s financial meltdown in 2008. A public opinion poll has already identified a citywide sales tax hike as a "viable" proposal in an election, Wesson said. “We’ve cut just about everything that we can cut. I can’t say if we do this, we’ll never have a budget shortfall again,” Wesson, the council president, said. “But this will help us for now, if we’re successful."





Monday, November 12, 2012

Tuesday November 13 Housing and Economic stories


TOP STORIES:

Spain’s Pain Seen Intensifying as Slump Deepens Plight - (www.bloomberg.com) Spanish data this week will reveal the extent of damage wrought on the euro-area’s fourth-biggest economy as the government fights to cap a swelling deficit that is propelling the country toward requiring international aid. Retail sales fell 11 percent in September from a year ago, the National Statistics Institute said today. Figures on public finances, consumer prices, and gross domestic product tomorrow may confirm a deteriorating economy and debt profile amid the toughest austerity in its democratic history. The Bank of Spain estimated last week that GDP fell for a fifth quarter. The Spanish statistics onslaught will extend scrutiny by investors on the country after unemployment data last week showed a record with one in four workers jobless. The prospect of a worsening growth profile threatens to defy the government’s forecast for an easing in a slump that has now extended for five years, adding pressure on the country to apply for help.

Greece says EU/IMF lenders refuse to concede on reforms - (www.reuters.com) Greece's foreign lenders have refused to make any further concessions on changes to labour laws contested by a junior coalition partner, the country's finance minister said on Sunday, prolonging an impasse on a crucial austerity package. Athens has been locked in talks with its European Union and International Monetary Fund lenders on the austerity package for months, but a final agreement has been held up by the small Democratic Left party's refusal to back the new wage laws. The party, which says the changes undermine labour rights, has said it will vote against the measures when they are put to a parliamentary vote next week.

Spain retail sales decimated by VAT hike - (www.reuters.com) Spanish retail sales fell at their fastest pace on record in September as already battered consumer confidence took another hit from a hike in value added tax, driving many shoppers to trade down to cheaper products. Sales fell 10.9 percent year on year, Monday's National Statistics Institute data showed, reflecting an economy struggling through its second recession in three years and plagued by chronically high unemployment. The drop was the biggest in calendar-adjusted terms since current records began in January 2004, and marked the 27th monthly decline in a row. Spain has been in recession since the first quarter of the year and is not likely to grow again until late in 2013, according to official estimates that many economists consider optimistic.

Deflation Forces Rear Ugly Head, Market Crash Danger - (www.kitco.com) Then we can consider the US fiscal cliff, a huge rise in taxes and cuts in US budgets items like Defense. So by December, is it not true that there is a very large amount of selling pressure building, particularly given the fact that the US stocks are or were nearing their all-time highs again? And then there is no doubt that markets are closely watching and waiting for the outcome of the US election which for example would determine if Obama care goes into full effect and thus causing employers to cut workers since they have to provide more health care which is already squeezing them. So there is this wait and see mode, but also deflationary numbers are accumulating, and there have been lots of large multi thousand layoff notices by large US companies. Tension is building. One wonders if the US stock market is finally going to correct since there are many reasons for it to start now, and the recent market topping, and 500 point Dow breakdown, could indicate we are on the cusp of the beginning of a large widespread world stock crash.

Tax break on forgiven debt to end - (www.dispatch.com) Distressed homeowners who get rid of their homes via short sale or foreclosure for less than they owe on their mortgage could find themselves even more distressed: They could face a tax bill later because the part of the loan they didn’t repay will be considered as income, thanks to the expected expiration of a tax break. “It’s like kicking a man when he’s down,” said Ted Johnson, a partner with local accounting firm Parms & Co. Dave Krebs, of CPA Advisory Group in Westerville, said it comes as a shock to most consumers when they find out about the potential tax liability of selling a home for less than what is owed on the mortgage. “  ‘Why would they tax me? I’m already broke,’  ” many tell him.