Friday, May 6, 2011

Saturday May 7 Housing and Economic stories

KeNosHousingPortal.blogspot.com

TOP STORIES:

Collateral damage: Tenants of foreclosed properties – (www.miamiherald.com) Whenever Michel Joseph wants to shower, cook or use the bathroom, he has to leave his Little Haiti apartment and drop in on a neighbor who has running water. Water has not run in Joseph’s derelict apartment since his landlord abandoned the four-unit building to foreclosure, and skipped town in November. The landlord’s absence led to a water shutoff, and for the past four months, Joseph has not been able to turn it back on because of a long-standing rule at the Miami-Dade Water & Sewer Department. That rule — which restricts renters from re-opening a closed account — has come under increased scrutiny as more landlords have fallen prey to the foreclosure crisis, some leaving tenants without basic utilities. “The tenants have become the hidden victims of the foreclosure crisis,” said Purvi Shah, a Florida Legal Services attorney who defends tenants of foreclosed properties. “There are hundreds of tenants in Miami-Dade County living in really serious conditions.” Earlier this month, the Miami-Dade County Infrastructure and Land Use Committee voted to create a bridge account program that would allow tenants to open a temporary Water & Sewer account. The full county commission is set to vote on the bridge account next month.

ECB’s Stark Says Debt Restructuring Risks Starting Crisis Exceeding Lehman - (www.bloomberg.com) European Central Bank Chief Economist Juergen Stark said a debt restructuring by a euro country risked triggering a banking crisis that could “worst case” exceed the effects of the failure of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., according to the transcript of an interview posted by German television station ZDF on its website. There is “no painless way” for countries that sought aid to reduce debt, while a restructuring may cut off the respective country from the financial markets for an unforeseeable time, Stark was quoted as saying. The only viable path for such countries is to “strictly push through reform programs and repay debt in full,” the central banker was quoted as saying. Stark did not refer to a specific country. The interview did not contain commentary on interest rates or inflation. A call to the ECB press office in Frankfurt during non- business hours seeking confirmation of the comments wasn’t answered.

Labor Board Tells Boeing New Factory Breaks Law – (www.nytimes.com) In what may be the strongest signal yet of the new pro-labor orientation of the National Labor Relations Board under President Obama, the agency filed a complaint Wednesday seeking to force Boeing to bring an airplane production line back to its unionized facilities in Washington State instead of moving the work to a nonunion plant in South Carolina. In its complaint, the labor board said that Boeing’s decision to transfer a second production line for its new 787 Dreamliner passenger plane to South Carolina was motivated by an unlawful desire to retaliate against union workers for their past strikes in Washington and to discourage future strikes. The agency’s acting general counsel, Lafe Solomon, said it was illegal for companies to take actions in retaliation against workers for exercising the right to strike. It is highly unusual for the federal government to seek to reverse a corporate decision as important as the location of plant. But ever since a Democratic majority took control of the five-member board after Mr. Obama’s election, the board has signaled that it would seek to adopt a more liberal, pro-union tilt after years of pro-employer decisions under President Bush.

As Clock Ticks on Effort, Some See a Round 3 - (online.wsj.com) "QE2" is not even in drydock, yet some money managers are preparing for the christening of "QE3." Investors appear to expect the Federal Reserve to wind down in June its extraordinary efforts to support the economy known as quantitative easing—currently in its second installment and therefore referred to as QE2. But a handful say the financial markets and the economy still aren't strong enough to stand on their own. They argue that, soon after QE2 ends, the economy, the jobs market and asset prices will stumble. The housing market, they say, is still struggling and may founder further without the Fed support. That, in turn, will force the Fed—which is on track to spend $600 billion in newly created dollars to buy Treasurys through QE2—to come back in to again prop up markets: Enter QE3. John Burbank, founder of Passport Capital, a San Francisco-based hedge-fund firm that manages $4.4 billion, argues that the role of QE2 in inflating the prices of stocks, commodities and other riskier investments has been "enormous." The current Fed buying spree comes on the heels of its first big binge, when the central bank bought $1.7 trillion worth of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities. That, Mr. Burbank says, has resulted in asset prices that don't reflect the economic fundamentals. "It's not the real world," he says. "But people draw conclusions from prices that, if they're up, then the world must be good."

PepsiCo questions Fed inflation guide - (www.ft.com) PepsiCo’s chief financial officer has criticised US policymakers’ focus on “core” inflation, arguing that it overlooks the impact of rising prices on consumer spending power. The Federal Reserve’s preference for the core price measure that excludes food and energy has stirred controversy as commodity price rises have accelerated and companies have had to judge how much they can pass on costs to hard-pressed consumers. “It’s a big exclusion,” Hugh Johnston, PepsiCo’s chief financial officer, said in an interview with the Financial Times. “The reality right now is that food and fuel are quite inflationary.” Food prices have climbed nearly 3 per cent in the past year and petrol prices have increased nearly 30 per cent, according to the labour department’s latest consumer price index. During the same period, “core prices” rose 1.2 per cent. PepsiCo, with its $60bn snacks and drinks portfolio, has a privileged insight into the state of consumer sentiment around the world. According to Mr Johnston, consumers who earn less than $70,000 per year are continuing to struggle and face the greatest threat from inflation.

OTHER STORIES:

Corporate Taxes Enter Debt Debate - (www.nytimes.com)

China Stocks Drop to 3-Week Low as Rising Oil Prices Boost Inflation Risk - (www.bloomberg.com)

Draghi Said to Be Seen by Sarkozy as Next European Central Bank President - (www.bloomberg.com)

Chinese inflation to ease: government - (www.reuters.com)

Dudley Seeing Interest on Reserves as Tool of Choice Sparks New Fed Debate - (www.bloomberg.com)

Fed Searches for Next Step - (online.wsj.com)

That $4 Trillion Isn't Enough to Build Future: William Pesek - (www.bloomberg.com)

Thursday, May 5, 2011

Friday May 6 Housing and Economic stories

KeNosHousingPortal.blogspot.com

TOP STORIES:

Kansas City confronts a staggering number of vacant houses - (www.kansascity.com) Kansas City knew it had a bad problem with vacant homes, but not this bad. The number of vacant homes in Kansas City has jumped to as high as 12,000 — leaving some urban-core neighborhoods a quarter empty. Since 2007, vacancies have jumped nearly 20 percent. That dire picture is painted by new estimates from a senior economist at Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City who used data from the U.S. Postal Service and city Water Department, as of last September, to estimate the city’s abandoned structures and vacant lots. Like many big cities, Kansas City has long struggled with caring for and restoring vacant homes and lots, a problem compounded by the nation’s deep economic downturn. But the new estimate outstrips any previous portrayal of the city’s vacant-property problem.

Realtor, Broker Charged In Fraud Scheme - (www.news4jax.com) A Jacksonville Realtor and a mortgage broker have each been indicted on 15 counts of mail fraud, 15 counts of wire fraud and one count of conspiracy to commit mail and wire fraud. Mark Gruszecki, 42, and Kessler Holzendorf, 42, each face a maximum penalty of 20 years in federal prison per count. The indictments also notify Gruszecki and Holzendorf that the United States is seeking money judgments in the amounts of $826,296.05 against Gruszecki and $516,533.70 against Holzendorf, which constitutes the proceeds each received from the charged criminal conduct. Holzendorf is the son of King and Betty Holzendorf, one of the most politically influential African-American families in Jacksonville. Both have served on the City Council, and Betty Holzendorf was a state senator and recently co-chaired the Jacksonville Journey, a city crime-fighting initiative.

Jury convicts exec in $3B mortgage fraud case - (www.sfgate.com) A jury on Tuesday convicted the majority owner of what had been one of the nation's largest mortgage companies on all 14 counts in a $2.9 billion fraud trial that officials have said is one of the most significant prosecutions to arise from the nation's financial crisis. Prosecutors said Lee Farkas led a fraud scheme of staggering proportions for roughly eight years as chairman of Florida-based Taylor Bean & Whitaker. The fraud not only caused the company's 2009 collapse and put its 2,000 employees out of work, but also contributed to the collapse of Alabama-based Colonial Bank, the sixth-largest bank failure in U.S. history. The jury returned its verdict late Tuesday after more than a full day of deliberations. Colonial and two other major banks — Deutsche Bank and BNP Paribas — were collectively cheated out of nearly $3 billion, prosecutors estimated. Farkas and his cohorts — six of whom entered guilty pleas to related charges and testified against him at the two-week trial in U.S. District Court — also tried to fraudulently obtain more than $500 million in taxpayer-funded relief from the government's bank bailout program, the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). While TARP at one point gave conditional approval to a payment of roughly $550 million, ultimately neither Taylor Bean nor Colonial received any TARP money, and investigators from that office, along with the FBI and other agencies, helped uncover the fraud. Neil Barofsky, who recently resigned as TARP's special inspector general, has called the Farkas case "the most significant criminal prosecution to date rising out of the financial crisis."


Is It Time to Kill the Mortgage Interest Tax Deduction? - (www.dailyfinance.com) With proposals from both President Obama and Republican leaders to broaden the tax base, it seems likely that some cherished income tax deductions may be reduced or even eliminated, and one leading candidate for the chopping block is the deduction for mortgage interest. Though many economists argue the mortgage interest deduction doesn't work properly, most Americans don't agree. A poll byUSA Todayand Gallup published Friday showed that 61% of Americans oppose eliminating the mortgage interest tax deduction to either lower the overall tax rate or as a way to reduce the federal deficit. In fact, the poll showed that a majority of Americans were against eliminating any tax deductions.

The never ending pipeline of shadow inventory - (www.doctorhousingbubble.com) According to recent information 3,490,000 homes are listed for sale that are non-distressed previously owned homes. This is part of the “healthy” market if we can even label it that way. Yet as you can see from the chart above, we have another 1,800,000 properties that are in some stage of foreclosure or have the stigma of being 90 days behind on payments. What is more disturbing is that this doesn’t capture the entire potential future pipeline of problem properties: “(LA Times) The CoreLogic statistics don’t include nearly 2 million homes that are more than 50% “underwater,” those worth less than half of the mortgage balance. These homes will probably fall into foreclosure in the near future, CoreLogic and other experts say.” In other words we have more homes in foreclosure or that are 50 percent underwater than we have of actual previously owned homes (non-distressed) that are looking to be sold.

OTHER STORIES:

The United States Housing Market - Another Year of Falling Prices? - (www.oyetimes.com)Existing House Sales Rise Due To Investors, Prices Fall - (www.bloomberg.com)

Cuba's housing market - (www.economist.com)

The Truth About Taxes - (www.citybeat.com)

The first time home buyers stayed away? No, we were pushed away by the investors - (www.patrick.net)

Wells Fargo CFO says property market mixed - (www.reuters.com)

Define "Recovery" - (www.patrick.net)

Australian Luxury House Down From $17.5M to $8M - (www.goldcoast.com.au)

iPhone Keeps Track Of Every Little Place You Go - (www.npr.org)

Wednesday, May 4, 2011

Thursday May 5 Housing and Economic stories

KeNosHousingPortal.blogspot.com

TOP STORIES:

New California prison guards contract lifts cap on saved vacation – (www.latimes.com) Gov. Jerry Brown negotiates a new contract for California's prison guards, who will be allowed to save unlimited amounts of vacation, potentially leading to massive payouts when officers retire. Deep in the 200-page contract that Gov. Jerry Brown recently approved for state prison guards is a provision that could generate a cash windfall to the officers when they retire. The guards, who are among Brown's largest political benefactors, would be able to save an unlimited number of vacation days under their new deal. When they leave state service, those days could be exchanged for cash at their final pay rate, which would probably be higher than when they earned the time off. The governor is extending this benefit only to members of the California Correctional Peace Officers Assn., a union that spent nearly $2 million to help him win election last year. Removing the decades-old limit on accrued vacation — now 80 days for most state employees — would be a "huge liability" for taxpayers, said Nick Schroeder of the nonpartisan Legislative Analyst's Office. Schroeder said he had not determined the cost of lifting the cap, but his analysis of the deal showed the average corrections union member has accumulated nearly 19 weeks of leave time to date. All of that time off has "a current cash value of over $600 million," he said. The deal also would give the members 18 more days off over the life of the two-year contract, according to Schroeder, bringing the typical prison guard's time off to more than eight weeks in the first year.

Greek PM: Ratings agencies running our lives - (www.finance.yahoo.com) Greece's prime minister has lashed out at credit ratings agencies, as borrowing rates in the crisis-hit country at record levels threaten plans to return to the bond markets next year. George Papandreou in a written statement posted on a government website early Friday said the agencies, instead of elected governments, "are seeking to shape our destiny and determine the future of our children." Major rating agencies have all relegated Greek bond status to below investment grade amid the continuing debt crisis. The move has angered the government which argues the fiscal benefits of its austerity program are being ignored. Yields on 10-year Greek bonds rose above 15 percent, compared with the German benchmark rate of 3.27 percent, before the Easter long weekend.

The city that outsourced everything - (www.businessinsider.com via Mish at globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com) Hello public unions. Meet Sandy Springs, Georgia: The City that Outsourced Everything. Numerous people asked me to comment on that video. Here goes ..

1. Sandy Springs proves without a doubt that cities can get along perfectly fine without collective bargaining, without public pensions, and without public unions.

2. The Sandy Springs model delivers more services for the money an any public union model ever can.

3. Sandy Springs is run the way cities ought to be run.

Please play the video and tell me why Sandy Springs should not be the model for every city in the country.


As Shoppers Reduce Spending, ‘Green’ Loses Allure - (www.nytimes.com) When Clorox introduced Green Works, its environment-friendly cleaning line, in 2008, it secured an endorsement from the Sierra Club, a nationwide introduction at Wal-Mart, and it vowed that the products would “move natural cleaning into the mainstream.” Sales that year topped $100 million, and several other major consumer products companies came out with their own “green” cleaning supplies. But America’s eco-consciousness, it turns out, is fickle. As recession gripped the country, the consumer’s love affair with green products, from recycled toilet paper to organic foods to hybrid cars, faded like a bad infatuation. While farmers’ markets and Prius sales are humming along now, household product makers like Clorox just can’t seem to persuade mainstream customers to buy green again. Sales of Green Works have fallen to about $60 million a year, and those of other similar products from major brands like Arm & Hammer, Windex, Palmolive, Hefty and Scrubbing Bubbles are sputtering. “Every consumer says, ‘I want to help the environment, I’m looking for eco-friendly products,’ ” said David Donnan, a partner in the consumer products practice at the consulting firm A. T. Kearney. “But if it’s one or two pennies higher in price, they’re not going to buy it. There is a discrepancy between what people say and what they do.”

Team Obama Targets Oil Traders and Speculators; Scapegoating 101 - (Mish at globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com) Instead of investigating fraud and corruption at banks, and instead of questioning the Fed's policy of US dollar debasement, and instead of pondering the role his administration's budget deficits have on the price of commodities, Team Obama Targets Oil Traders and Speculators. President Barack Obama said on Thursday the U.S. attorney general was assembling a team to root out any fraud and manipulation in the oil markets that might be contributing to higher U.S. gasoline prices. "The truth is, there's no silver bullet that can bring down gas prices right away," Obama said in prepared remarks for his opening statement at a townhall-style meeting in Nevada. "The Attorney General's putting together a team whose job it will be to root out any cases of fraud or manipulation in the oil markets that might affect gas prices - and that includes the role of traders and speculators. We are going to make sure that no one is taking advantage of the American people for their own short-term gain," Obama said.

OTHER STORIES:

Obama Says U.S. Team to Study Whether ‘Speculators’ Driving Up Pump Prices - (www.bloomberg.com)

‘Low-Rate Structure’ Hurting Dollar, Westpac’s Franulovich Says: Tom Keene - (www.bloomberg.com)

Japan Compiles $49 Billion Extra Budget for Quake Relief Efforts - (www.bloomberg.com)

Deficit task force off to rocky start - (www.washingtonpost.com)

Philadelphia-Area Manufacturing Slows More Than Estimated as Orders Drop - (www.bloomberg.com)

Economy struggles for momentum, data shows - (www.reuters.com)

Tuesday, May 3, 2011

Wednesday May 4 Housing and Economic stories

KeNosHousingPortal.blogspot.com

TOP STORIES:

Austerity Chills the Ardor for Muni Debt - (online.wsj.com) For many cities and states, the love affair with debt has cooled, as governments cut back on spending and as borrowing comes under political attack. In Marquette, a small city on Michigan's Upper Peninsula, officials last month voted to nearly halve the amount of debt the city plans to issue in fiscal 2012 from the year ending June 30. "You get to a saturation point where too much debt is too much debt," said Marquette City Commissioner David Saint-Onge. The wariness to take on more debt extends to the municipal-bond market's largest borrowers, such as California, which this year plans to issue a little more than half of the approximately $10 billion in long-term bonds it sold in 2010. "It has a lot less to do with the market, and more to do with trying to get back on firm fiscal ground," said Tom Dresslar, spokesman for the California Treasurer's Office.

Temp Workers in Germany Dismay Unions - (www.nytimes.com) Peter Hintermeier, a 60-year-old pipe fitter, is one of the people who have made Germany competitive again, but he is not too happy about it. Originally from the area around Erfurt in eastern Germany, Mr. Hintermeier has spent 15 years as a temporary worker, going wherever the jobs are. “You’re doing the same work for less pay,” said Mr. Hintermeier, who earns about 9 euros, or almost $13, an hour. That is about $2.86 an hour less than the average for eastern Germany, and $7.16 to $8.59 less than in wealthier regions of the country, where Mr. Hintermeier often works. On top of that, “there aren’t many opportunities to develop,” he complained. And he said he often encountered resentment from co-workers who consider him low-cost competition. Mr. Hintermeier is one of nearly a million temporary workers, almost 3 percent of the work force, who in recent years have given German companies much more flexibility than before. Temporary employment played a critical role in helping Germany weather the 2009 downturn, as employers were able to quickly respond to ebbing demand by reducing payrolls.

Public-Worker Retirements Surge as States Cut Benefits to Shrink Deficits - (www.bloomberg.com) Teri Essex retired a year earlier than planned when she was offered $56,000 to leave her elementary-school teaching job in Elk Grove, California.

Instead of accepting a salary cut, larger classes and less money for supplies from spending reductions made last year by California lawmakers closing a $19 billion budget deficit, Essex, 60, took the money over nine years to retire in 2010 after 21 years of teaching. “The financial buyout was a no-brainer,” said Essex, whose school was 15 miles (24 kilometers) outside Sacramento. Even though she’ll give up about $300 monthly by quitting early, she said, “Once you start thinking about retiring, it was like, ‘Oh yeah, I want to do this.’” California, Florida and Texas are seeing more retirements as rising benefit costs, pay cuts and looming furloughs prompt workers to leave. Inducements to quit early also boosted departures in New York as U.S. states tackled budget gaps totaling more than $540 billion since fiscal 2009,according to the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. In New Jersey, Wisconsin and Ohio, added motivation came from attacks on unions over costs that strained budgets.

VIX Drops to Lowest Since 2007 as Intel, Yahoo! Beat Estimates - (www.bloomberg.com) The benchmark index for U.S. stock options slumped to its lowest intraday level since June 2007 as shares rallied on better-than-estimated quarterly reports from companies including Intel Corp. (INTC) and Yahoo! Inc. The VIX, as the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index is known, decreased 8.9 percent to 14.55 at 9:40 a.m. in New York. The index measures the cost of using options as insurance against declines in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, which added 1.3 percent. May VIX futures fell 3.4 percent to 18.45 while July contracts slumped 2.1 percent to 21.45. The biggest advance among all VIX options was on the May 15 puts, which rose to 10 cents from 5 cents. This year’s lowest VIX close before today was 15.32 on April 15. The gauge has averaged 20.37 in its two- decade history.

Greek Yields Surge to Fresh Records; Spanish Bonds Rise After Debt Auction - (www.bloomberg.com) Greek bonds tumbled, leading declines by securities from Europe’s most indebted countries, as a German government adviser said the Mediterranean nation will probably have to restructure its debt burden. The slide drove yields on Greece’s two- and 10-year bonds to euro-era records. Portuguese and Irish bonds also fell after Lars Feld, a member of German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s council of economic advisers, said Greek restructuring is probable. Spanish bonds rose after demand increased at an auction of 10- year debt. German bunds fell for a second day as equities rose, sapping demand for the safest assets. “Talk of Greek restructuring dominates sentiment and is pushing peripherals lower,” saidCharles Diebel, head of market strategy at Lloyds Bank Corporate Markets in London. “The bond market continues to push spreads wider, suggesting the reality of the restructuring risk.” Greek two-year yields climbed 129 basis points to 22.02 percent at 4:26 p.m. in London. It reached 22.06 percent, the highest since at least 1998, when Bloomberg began collecting the data. The 4.6 percent security due 2013 fell 1.56, or 15.6 euros per 1,000-euro ($1,450) face amount, to 73.335. The Greek 10- year yield rose 27 basis points to 14.75 percent, after reaching a euro-era record of 14.80 percent. The extra yield, or spread, over German debt rose to a record 11.45 percentage points.

OTHER STORIES:

Commodity Assets at Record $412 Billion in March, Barclays Says - (www.bloomberg.com)

Hedge funds surge to peak of $2,002bn - (www.ft.com)

Thailand Raises Benchmark Interest Rate to 2.75% as Inflation Accelerates - (www.bloomberg.com)

China ‘Shift in Rhetoric’ May Signal Yuan Gains to Counter Price Pressures - (www.bloomberg.com)

Japan’s Quake Rebuilding Must Be Backed Up by Taxes, Minister Yosano Says - (www.bloomberg.com)

Bank of England Voted 6-3 to Hold Rate as Majority Highlighted ‘Downside’ - (www.bloomberg.com)

U.S. Existing Home Sales Rise, Fail to Recover Ground Lost - (www.bloomberg.com)

Mortgage applications up first time in month: MBA - (www.reuters.com)

Poll shows Americans oppose entitlement cuts to deal with debt problem - (www.washingtonpost.com)

IMF's Blanchard says U.S. lacks deficit plan: report - (www.reuters.com)

Intel, IBM Results Show Return of Corporate Computing Demand - (www.bloomberg.com)

Banks Lag S&P as Slower Loan Growth Overshadows Higher Dividends - (www.bloomberg.com)

Monday, May 2, 2011

Tuesday May 3 Housing and Economic stories

KeNosHousingPortal.blogspot.com

TOP STORIES:

Why is Fed forking over $220M to wives of two Morgan Stanley bigwigs? - (www.rollingstone.com) But if you want to get a true sense of what the "shadow budget" is all about, all you have to do is look closely at the taxpayer money handed over to a single company that goes by a seemingly innocuous name: Waterfall TALF Opportunity. At first glance, Waterfall's haul doesn't seem all that huge — just nine loans totaling some $220 million, made through a Fed bailout program. That doesn't seem like a whole lot, considering that Goldman Sachs alone received roughly $800 billion in loans from the Fed. But upon closer inspection, Waterfall TALF Opportunity boasts a couple of interesting names among its chief investors: Christy Mack and Susan Karches. Christy is the wife of John Mack, the chairman of Morgan Stanley. Susan is the widow of Peter Karches, a close friend of the Macks who served as president of Morgan Stanley's investment-banking division. Neither woman appears to have any serious history in business, apart from a few philanthropic experiences. Yet the Federal Reserve handed them both low-interest loans of nearly a quarter of a billion dollars through a complicated bailout program that virtually guaranteed them millions in risk-free income.

Ron Paul Forecast the Housing Bubble in 2002 - (www.wtffinance.com) While Democrats and Republicans welcomed big government policies that subsidize the real estate market, Congressman Ron Paul warned about the dire consequences of such interventionist anti-free market policies. In response to the expansion of the FHA program that President Bush announced, Ron Paul addressed the House on July 16, 2002 with a speech where he proposed his pro-free market approach to housing and credit:

“Mr. Speaker, I rise to introduce the Free Housing Market Enhancement Act. This legislation restores a free market in housing by repealing special privileges for housing-related government sponsored enterprises (GSEs). These entities are the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie), the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie), and the National Home Loan Bank Board (HLBB). One of the major government privileges granted these GSEs is a line of credit to the United States Treasury. According to some estimates, the line of credit may be worth over $2 billion. This explicit promise by the Treasury to bail out these GSEs in times of economic difficulty helps them attract investors who are willing to settle for lower yields than they would demand in the absence of the subsidy. Thus, the line of credit distorts the allocation of capital. More importantly, the line of credit is a promise on behalf of the government to engage in a massive unconstitutional and immoral income transfer from working Americans to holders of GSE debt.

Calif.Mortgage Defaults on the Rise - (www.baycitizen.org) The number notices of mortgage default in California rose in March to their highest level since October 2010, up 17.3 percent since the previous month to 26,615 filings, according to a report released Tuesday by the website ForeclosureRadar.com. At the same time, foreclosures fell 3.3 percent. Locally, the picture was mixed. Notices of default were up 34 percent in Santa Clara County and 28 percent in Contra Costa County between February and March, but remained relatively flat in both Alameda County and San Francisco. (However, the number of actual foreclosures in San Francisco shot up more than 30 percent to 209.) All of this means the region's real estate crisis is still far from over, which isn't surprising if you've been listening to the CEOs of big banks like Bank of America. The nation's largest mortgage servicer told a gathering of 50 state attorneys general on Tuesday that more foreclosures are inevitable. “We’re reaching a point where some customers will be dealing with the reality that despite the myriad programs and the best efforts of everyone in this room, and of our teammates working with these customers, foreclosure may be unavoidable,” BofA's CEO Brian Moynihan told the gathering.

Unintended costs from servicer settlement - (www.housingwire.com) The pending settlement from federal regulators and the 50 state attorneys general could stretch foreclosure timelines out by almost another year, swelling the foreclosure inventory and pushing mortgage rates higher, according to a study from three economists provided to HousingWire. The study was published this week by Charles Calomiris, a professor at Columbia Business School, Eric Higgins, a professor of finance at Kansas State University, and Joseph Mason, a finance professor at Louisiana State University. They said the servicer settlement, which could reportedly force lenders to accept principal write-downs, mandatory modifications and fines totaling as high as $25 billion, would only entice more borrowers to strategically default and further cramp a still limping housing recovery. Felix Salmon, a financial blogger for Reuters, calls the claims "ridiculous" and pointed out that a footnote in the study shows funding for the research came from the financial services industry, including those "affected by the proposed settlement." Salmon went on to claim that some of the points used by the economists are not accurate, including the proposal to write down modifications for those not in default. However, the negotiations are still ongoing.

Foreclosures in Silicon Valley take nearly a year to complete - (www.contracostatimes.com) Banks foreclosed on hundreds of homeowners in Santa Clara and San Mateo counties in March, even as thousands more are stuck in a foreclosure process that is now taking nearly a year to complete -- the longest time since the housing crisis began. The slow pace has added to a backlog of more than 14,000 homes in the foreclosure process in the two counties, according to a report on March foreclosure activity released Tuesday by a real estate research service. That represents a huge number of homes that are either empty and have been taken over by lenders or where owners have stopped making payments. The foreclosure process at every step continues to be slowed by a "robo-signing'' scandal last year that was recently settled by major lenders, said Sean O'Toole, chief executive of ForeclosureRadar, the Discovery Bay information service. Lenders had stopped most foreclosure activity to investigate charges they were skipping important legal steps in the foreclosure process.

OTHER STORIES:

History bodes ill for stock market - (www.marketwatch.com)

Medicare isn't the problem. It's the solution. - (www.robertreich.org)

BA CEO Says don't consider house an asset - (www.msnbc.msn.com)

Realtor on tax advantage of owning a house - (www.patrick.net)

Congress could cut deficit to zero in 8 years by literally doing nothing - (www.slate.com)

Fed orders biggest banks to shape up mortgage servicing - (www.centralvalleybusinesstimes.com)

Bureau of Labor Statistics helps Fed ignore most important budget item - (www.doctorhousingbubble.com)

The Fed Rescue Program Too Bizarre to Be True - (www.bloomberg.com)

America's Rental Housing - The Key to a Balanced National Policy - (www.jchs.harvard.edu)

Sunday, May 1, 2011

Monday May 2 Housing and Economic stories

KeNosHousingPortal.blogspot.com

TOP STORIES:

Greek, Portuguese Government Yields Surge to Records on Default Concerns - (www.bloomberg.com) Greek two- and 10-year government bonds slumped, driving yields to the highest since before the introduction of the euro, amid concern the nation won’t be able to avoid defaulting on its debt. The Greek two-year note yield surged to 20 percent, the highest borrowing cost among developed nations. Portuguese two- and 10-year yields also reached euro-era records, even as Greek officials said restructuring isn’t being discussed. Finnish euro-skeptics won support in yesterday’s election as voters protested funding euro-region bailouts. German bunds surged as Standard & Poor’s put a “negative” outlook on the U.S. credit rating, sparking demand for an alternative to Treasuries. “Risk is one of the main drivers, with the restructuring debate moving to the front pages again and the Finnish election results not doing anything to deter those feelings,” said Christopher Rieger, head of fixed-income strategy at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt. “We are looking for more gains in bunds.”

Did The President's Disastrous Budget Speech Cause The Shock US Downgrade? - (www.businessinsider.com) The merits of the S&P outlook downgrade aside -- we're skeptical -- it's interesting that the official downgrade announcement specifically talks about the political events of the past few weeks: The Ryan Plan and the Obama speech. One charge that's been leveled against the President is that he didn't actually introduce a plan, but rather gave a campaign speech centered around accusing the GOP of throwing grandma and grandpa underneath the bus. As such, the two parties have confirmed that they're extremely far apart, and it's this that the S&P seems to be reacting to. We view President Obama's and Congressman Ryan's proposals as the starting point of a process aimed at broader engagement, which could result in substantial and lasting U.S. government fiscal consolidation. That said, we see the path to agreement as challenging because the gap between the parties remains wide. We believe there is a significant risk that Congressional negotiations could result in no agreement on a medium-term fiscal strategy until after the fall 2012 Congressional and Presidential elections. If so, the first budget proposal that could include related measures would be Budget 2014 (for the fiscal year beginning Oct. 1, 2013), and we believe a delay beyond that time is possible.

Finland's Euro-Skeptics Poised to Form Government Following Election Upset - (www.bloomberg.com) Finland’s euro-skeptic bloc is poised to enter a government with the pro-Europe National Coalition led by Finance Minister Jyrki Katainen after voters used yesterday’s election to protest against funding bailouts. The True Finns, whose leader Timo Soini says taxpayers shouldn’t have helped rescue Greece or Ireland, surged almost 15 points to 19 percent, the Justice Ministry said. Katainen’s group won 20.4 percent to become Finland’s biggest party for the first time. Prime Minister Mari Kiviniemi’s Center Party got 15.8 percent and the Social Democrats, which also opposed bailouts for the two countries, won 19.1 percent. Kiviniemi will lead her party in opposition after its “huge defeat,” she told broadcaster YLE. “They couldn’t leave the True Finns out of government after this landslide,” said Tuomo Martikainen, professor emeritus in political science at the University of Helsinki, by phone. “It would be making a mockery of democracy.”

20 Tax Facts That Will Make Your Head Explode - (www.businessinsider.com) Whatever their political perspective, people find reasons to get upset on tax day. Pundits talk a lot about the growing tax share of the rich, and the 47% of Americans who don't pay income tax. These arguments are somewhat unfair because they ignore the growing wealth disparity. But they're just two of many ridiculous facts that emerge in this giant bureaucratic mess.

1. The IRS has more employees than there are people in Flint, Michigan (106K vs 102K)

2. You could fill Dallas with the number of accountants Americans hire to help with taxes each year (over a million)

A soft patch or something worse? - (www.reuters.com) The U.S. economy appears to be running dangerously close to stall speed, and the rest of the world may not have enough oomph to compensate. At the start of 2011, growth looked solid. The U.S. unemployment rate was finally dropping, consumers were in a spending mood, and economists were busily upgrading first-quarter growth projections to the range of 4 percent. Those forecasts are falling fast. Many economists now think the U.S. economy grew at a sluggish 1.5 percent to 2 percent pace over the first three months of the year, and one forecaster even raised the possibility of a negative reading. Whether this is a short-lived blip or a more worrisome dip depends largely on which way oil prices move, and how consumers and businesses around the world respond. Goldman Sachs economist Andrew Tilton said downside risk was "unfortunately a phrase we have been using a lot lately." A quiet week for economic data probably won't bring much, if any, good news. The highlights include a clutch of U.S. housing reports, which will serve as yet another reminder that the real estate slump persists.

OTHER STORIES:

Standard & Poor’s Puts ‘Negative’ Outlook on U.S. AAA Rating - (www.bloomberg.com)

Euro zone debt crisis gets new Finnish threat - (www.reuters.com)

Hybrid Funds Deluged by Record Cash as S&P 500 Swings Most Since Roosevelt - (www.bloomberg.com)

Inflation in China Poses Big Threat to Global Trade - (www.nytimes.com)

China's New Home Price Gains Slow in Beijing, Shanghai on Government Curbs - (www.bloomberg.com)

U.S. credit outlook cut by S&P on deficit fears - (www.reuters.com)

Bernanke Briefings May Offset Fed Hawks With Words as New Tool - (www.bloomberg.com)

Fed to signal end of monetary easing - (www.ft.com)

Scrutiny Lags as Jets Show Effects of Age - (www.nytimes.com)