Wednesday, December 16, 2015

Thursday December 17 Housing and Economic stories


Deja-Vu Eh? Canadian Stocks Plunge To 2-Year Lows - (www.zerohedge.com)  Canadian stocks are down 15% from their highs in 2008 (and down 18% from the 2014 highs) as the blowback from a collapsing energy market ripples across the entire "not unequivocally good" economy. However, perhaps more worrying is the 2008-esque dynamic playing out almost perfectly for America's northern neighbor...

Morgan Stanley to cut 1,200 jobs, take $150M charge - (www.cnbc.com)  Morgan Stanley plans to cut 1,200 jobs, or 2 percent of its global workforce, taking a severance charge of about $150 million, a source told CNBC on Tuesday. The financial firm will reduce 470 positions in its fixed income, commodities and currencies businesses, with the remaining cuts coming from support positions across the company. The firm did not disclose its cost savings with the move, but more details may emerge in its January update. In a memo, Morgan Stanley said the changes will result in businesses that are critically and credibly sized for the markets. The restructuring comes amid a rough stretch for Morgan Stanley's fixed income business. For the third quarter, the firm reported that net revenue in fixed income and commodities sales and trading fell to $583 million from $997 million in the previous year. 

Investors Bet Commodities Slump Will Push Many Into Default - (online.wsj.com) A fresh wave of selling hit energy-company bonds, reflecting a growing consensus that slumping commodity prices will push many heavily indebted firms into default. Bonds from Chesapeake Energy Corp., which is looking to restructure some of its debt through an exchange offer, traded at 32.8 cents, a decline of 17%, according to data from MarketAxess Holdings Inc. Oasis Petroleum Inc. bonds shed roughly 6% and traded at 79 cents. A bond from EP Energy LLC traded at 80 cents, down about 5%. The selloff marks a sharp shift in Wall Street sentiment from earlier in the year, when investors piled into energy-company debt and firms sold new bonds as the price of oil appeared to stage a comeback.

When It Rains It Pours as China Unleashes Commodity Torrent - (www.bloomberg.com) There’s no let-up in the onslaught of commodities from China. While the country’s total exports are slowing in dollar terms, shipments of steel, oil products and aluminum are reaching for new highs, according to trade data from the General Administration of Customs. That’s because mills, smelters and refiners are producing more than they need amid slowing domestic demand, and shipping the excess overseas. The flood is compounding a worldwide surplus of commodities that’s driven returns from raw materials to the lowest since 1999, threatening producers from India to Pennsylvania and aggravating trade disputes. While companies such as India’s JSW Steel Ltd. decry cheap exports as unfair, China says the overcapacity is a global problem.

The real danger of the oil collapse - (www.cnbc.com)   The collapse of the housing bubble sent the world spiraling into recession. The collapse of the energy and commodity bubble threatens to be just as damaging. That few are willing to even use the term "bubble" with regard to the boom and bust in the price of oil, copper, iron ore, and other materials tells how early we still are in the painful unwind phase.  As with housing, there was a fundamental reason for these prices to soar. China has been on a historic commodities binge as it doubled the size of its economy in recent years to become one of the world's largest. Even so, those fundamentals begat—as they have so often throughout human history—a feeding frenzy.  That frenzy of financing, mining, fracking and dealmaking exacerbated the boom and now, the bust as China's growth and appetite for such raw materials has slowed dramatically.






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