Monday, December 29, 2014

Tuesday December 30 Housing and Economic stories


Martin Armstrong Asks "Will They Hang Bankers Again On Wall Street?" - (www.zerohedge.com) What took place in Washington over the past two weeks with the repeal of Dodd Frank and then the effective repeal of the Volcker Rule sounds strikingly familiar to at least three previous periods in American History that led to total disaster. There were of course the Northern “carpetbaggers”, whom many in the South viewed as opportunists looking to exploit and profit from the region’s misfortunes following the Civil War. The “carpetbaggers” would play a central role in shaping new southern governments during the Reconstruction period who were joined by Southerners who saw economic gain in joining the Northerners in the exploitation of the South. They were called “scalawags”. Then there were the Silver Democrats who were bought and paid for by the mining industry. William Jennings Bryan’s red-hot emotional speech at the 1896 Democratic Convention will forever live on in history. The shenanigans of the Democrats and Republicans, who tried to overvalue silver, led to the near bankruptcy of the nation and made JP Morgan famous thanks to the Panic of 1896 when he had to arrange a gold loan to save the country. Then there was what people called the First Gilded Age more than a century ago, when senators and representatives were owned by Wall Street and big business. This culminated in the 1929 Crash.

Greek premier prepared European ground before vote gamble - (www.reuters.com) Prime Minister Antonis Samaras has bet on Greece's future with an early vote for the presidency. But in contrast to a recent predecessor, he made sure before dropping the bombshell that Berlin and Brussels wouldn't stand in the way. Samaras's decision last week to bring the three-stage parliamentary vote forward to this month from February took the Greek establishment and financial markets by surprise.  But a select few knew it was coming, among them GermanFinance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble. With Berlin playing a decisive role in European aid for Greece, Samaras and Schaeuble spoke repeatedly by telephone in the days before the early vote was announced on Dec. 8, according to a euro zone official with direct knowledge of the talks. 

Crude Below $60 Tests Petrobras’ Deepwater Discoveries - (www.bloomberg.com) Petroleo Brasileiro SA (PETR4) Chief Executive Officer Maria das Gracas Foster said in June that the development of Brazil’s giant oil discoveries beneath a layer of salt would be cheaper than competing North American projects. That advantage is quickly evaporating. Brent crude fell to as low as $58.50 in London this week, approaching the state-run producer’s break-even range of $41 to $57 a barrel for the so-called pre-salt projects mentioned by Gracas Foster six months ago when oil was trading above $100. Petrobras, which planned to invest more than $100 billion to tap deposits trapped two miles (3.2 kilometers) beneath the seabed off Rio de Janeiro, is slowing total spending after lowering its oil price estimate next year to $70 a barrel, it said last week.

Bankers See $1 Trillion of Investments Stranded in the Oil Fields - (www.bloomberg.com) After crude prices dropped 49 percent in six months, oil projects planned for next year are the undead -- still standing upright, but with little hope of a productive future. These zombie projects proliferate in expensive Arctic oil, deepwater-drilling regions and tar sands from Canada to Venezuela. In a stunning analysis this week, Goldman Sachs found almost $1 trillion in investments in future oil projects at risk. They looked at 400 of the world’s largest new oil and gas fields -- excluding U.S. shale -- and found projects representing $930 billion of future investment that are no longer profitable with Brent crude at $70. In the U.S., the shale-oil party isn’t over yet, but zombies are beginning to crash it. The chart below shows the break-even points for the top 400 new fields and how much future oil production they represent. Less than a third of projects are still profitable with oil at $70. If the unprofitable projects were scuttled, it would mean a loss of 7.5 million barrels per day of production in 2025, equivalent to 8 percent of current global demand.

GM, Audi Suspend Car Sales in Russia on Ruble’s Collapse - (www.bloomberg.com) General Motors Co. (GM), Audi and Jaguar Land Rover temporarily stopped selling cars in Russia this week, deciding that taking a timeout from the market was the best way to deal with the ruble’s collapse. Automakers are battling a more than 40 percent drop in the value of the ruble since June, Russia’s biggest financial crisis since 1998. In recent weeks, Russian customers has been snapping up Porsches and other cars to convert their savings into something tangible. That temporary boon for the industry soon turned to a liability as the ruble’s drop ate into what the manufacturers got for their vehicles. GM suspended sales to dealers on Dec. 16 to “manage its business risk” in light of the volatility of the ruble, the Detroit-based carmaker’s Russian unit said by e-mail. GM, which didn’t set a date to resume wholesale deliveries, will deliver Chevrolet, Opel and Cadillac cars that have already been purchased at the agreed-on price.





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