Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Thursday August 2 Housing and Economic stories



TOP STORIES:

Market Savior? Stocks Might Be 50% Lower Without Fed - (www.cnbc.com) A report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York suggests that the bulk of equity returns for more than a decade are due to actions by the US central bank. Theoretically, the S&P 500 would be more than 50 percent lower—at the 600 level—if the bullish price action preceding Fed announcements was excluded, the study showed. Posted on the New York Fed’s web site Wednesday, the study sought out to explain why equities receive such a high premium over less risky assets such as bonds. What they found was that the Federal Reserve has had an outsized impact on equities relative to other asset classes.

Here Comes the Catch in Home Equity Loans  - (www.nytimes.com) During the initial years of home equity credit lines, borrowers must pay only interest. Borrowers can also pay down principal if they wish, but many homeowners, short on cash, haven’t done so. At Wells Fargo, for example, in the quarter ended March 31, some 44 percent of the bank’s home equity borrowers paid only the minimum amount due. Being required to pay only the interest on these loans has made them easier for troubled borrowers to carry. But these easy terms are about to get tougher. What’s known as the initial draw period for home equity lines of credit is coming to an end for many borrowers. Soon, they will have to pay principal as well. Ten days ago, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency published some frightening figures about the looming payments. In its spring 2012 “Semiannual Risk Perspective,” it said that almost 60 percent of all home equity line balances would start requiring payments of both principal and interest between 2014 and 2017.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        
JPMorgan Traders May Have Hidden Losses - (www.washingtonpost.com)  JPMorgan Chase revealed Friday morning that its traders may have hid the losses incurred from a multibillion-dollar trading blunder by the bank’s chief investment office in London. The bank now estimates that the “London Whale” trades dealt the bank a $5.8 billion blow in the year to date — nearly three times the amount the firm had originally estimated. “Recently discovered information raises questions about the integrity of the trader marks, and suggests that certain individuals may have been seeking to avoid showing the full amount of the losses being incurred in the portfolio during the first quarter,” JPMorgan said in its most recent filing to the Securities and Exchange Commission. The London Whale transactions were massive bets on U.S. corporate bonds that went wrong. The trades were supposed to be a hedge against risk, but their size and nature have raised the suspicion that the traders involved were betting to make big profits.

Goldman Sachs and the $580million black hole - (www.nytimes.com) THE business deal from hell began to crumble even before the Champagne corks were popped. The deal, the $580 million sale of a highflying technology company, Dragon Systems, had just been approved by its board and congratulations were being exchanged. But even then, at that moment of celebration, there was a sense that something was amiss. The chief executive of Dragon had received a congratulatory bottle from the investment bankers representing the acquiring company, a Belgian competitor called Lernout & Hauspie. But he hadn’t heard from Dragon’s own bankers at Goldman Sachs. “I still have not received anything from Goldman,” the executive wrote in an e-mail to the other bank. “Do they know something I should know?” More than a decade later, that question is still reverberating in a brutal legal battle between Goldman and the founders of Dragon Systems — along with a host of other questions that go to the heart of how financial giants like Goldman operate and what exactly they owe their clients.

Govt. erects wall of secrecy for govt. while it erodes individual privacy - (www.capitalismwithoutfailure.com) While individual privacy is being eroded, government is erecting a wall of secrecy for itself: At the same time that the government is enacting legislation to deprive every citizen of privacy, the government has been erecting an enormous wall of secrecy to protect government from prying eyes. The US government reflexively labels everything that it does "classified" and "secret". This is a radical reversal of how things are supposed to work: There is supposed to be transparency for government; individuals are supposed to live in a sphere of privacy. This basic tenet of democracy has been reversed.





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