Sunday, August 12, 2012

Monday August 13 Housing and Economic stories



TOP STORIES:

Cities at Tipping Point Tear Up Contracts to Stay Solvent - (www.bloomberg.com) Philadelphia, which may close a quarter of its schools by 2017 to save cash, has to boost pay for firefighters even though the city’s fiscal overseer says that would “blow up the budget.” An arbitration award means the estimated $238 million cost of the wage and benefit increase through 2017 must be borne by the city where a quarter of residents live in poverty, double the state rate. The burden of personnel expenses shouldered by Philadelphia also bears down on cities across the U.S. as tax revenue fails to keep pace with labor costs. Municipal leaders now regard steps that were considered drastic, such as imposing unpaid time off and using IOUs, as reasonable options, said Gary Chaison, who teaches industrial relations at Clark University in Worcester, Massachusetts. He called it a “tipping point.” “So many cities are under financial siege that they are ready to abandon their collective-bargaining agreements even if they have emergency procedures in place like Detroit, and even if it means antagonizing completely, and probably permanently, their public-sector unions,” Chaison said. Some, such as Central FallsRhode Island, have used bankruptcy to break labor contracts.

Big banks' glory days feared to be gone for good - (www.reuters.com) The summer of 2012 may be remembered as the time when regulation, scandals and a protracted slow-growth economy finally caught up with big American banks. Ever since the financial crisis, U.S. banks and their investors have held out hopes of a return to the good times, when lending profits steadily rose and commercial and investment banking flourished together. But analysts and investors are now questioning whether things have changed for good. "My gut says all these megabanks are worth more separately than combined," said Bill Black, managing partner of Consector Capital, a hedge fund that focuses on bank trading. Smaller, more focused banks could attract investors, satisfy regulators and increase depressed stock prices, he said.

Mortgaging your way to a college education - (www.doctorhousingbubble.com) In California, many of those buying these $500,000 homes with low interest rates think they got a major deal.  It is likely they are middle class so they are unlikely to qualify for many grants and aid.  So many of these home buyers with kids are “school obsessed” so they are likely aiming for elite public universities or top private schools that cost upwards of $50,000 per year.  As you can see from the above chart, many parents are co-signing the loans for their children.  A student going to a private school might end up having $100,000 or more in debt when they are done and many are moving back home.  That co-signer is on the hook as well.  The data shows growing default rates: There is no guarantee of a good paying job in this market even with a college degree.  The unemployment rate of those with private student loans is 16 percent (twice the nationwide headline figure).  Of those with a bachelor degree the unemployment rate was 11 percent.  As previously noted, more private student loan debt is going to for-profit institutions so this is likely to push the unemployment rate even higher than the headline unemployment rate.  So you have to wonder how eager will these young graduates be to purchase that first home and take on more debt?

Second mortgages hold short sellers hostage - (www.ochousingnews.com) Why do short sales take so long? Basically, banks don’t want to take a loss, and short sales cause them to lose money — a lot of money.  Short sales come in two basic varieties; properties with second mortgages and properties without. If a property does not have a second mortgage, short sales are generally quicker and easier to approve. The first mortgage is often covered by mortgage insurance, and as a percentage of the total loan amount, any losses are generally small. If a property has a second mortgage — and millions do — then the situation becomes much more complicated. In lien priority, when a property sells in a short sale, the first mortgage holder gets paid in full before the second mortgage holder gets a penny. There is no sharing of losses by law. Therefore, if the first mortgage is underwater, the second mortgage has no collateral backing, and if the property goes to foreclosure, the mortgage is worth nothing — a 100% loss. During the housing bubble, banks often held second mortgages on HELOCs on their own books and sold off the first mortgage to MBS pools. As a result, the major banks hold billions of dollars in underwater second mortgages worth basically nothing. Of course, thanks to mark-to-fantasy accounting, that’s not how they record them on their books.

Obama still trying to explain 'you didn't build that' comment - (www.washingtontimes.com) Amid signs that Republican Mitt Romney’s attacks on President Obama’s economic views are having an impact, Mr. Obama is trying for the second straight week to clarify his comments that self-made entrepreneurs aren’t entirely responsible for their own success. At a campaign event in California Monday night, Mr. Obama accused the Romney campaign of “splicing and dicing” his controversial comments for partisan gain. And he tried to emphasize his belief in American entrepreneurship. “I believe with all my heart that it is the drive and the ingenuity of Americans who start businesses that lead to their success,” Mr. Obama told supporters at a rally in Oakland. “I always have and I always will. The ability for somebody who’s willing to work hard, put in their sweat and their sacrifice to turn their idea into a profitable business, that’s the nature of America. That’s what helped make our economy the envy of the world.”






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