Tuesday, May 15, 2012

Wednesday May 16 Housing and Economic stories



TOP STORIES:

Homeownership Rate in U.S. Falls to Lowest Since 1997 - (www.bloomberg.com)  The U.S. homeownership rate fell to the lowest level in 15 years in the first quarter as borrowers lost homes to foreclosure and tighter inventory and credit kept buyers off the market. The rate dropped to 65.4 percent from 66 percent in the fourth quarter and fell a full percentage point from a year earlier, the Census Bureau said in a report today. That is the lowest level since the first quarter of 1997, and down from a record 69.2 percent in June 2004. Mounting foreclosures are displacing borrowers, while a lack of inventory has kept home sales from accelerating amid record affordability, the National Association of Realtors reported April 19. Stricter mortgage standards are also limiting purchases as rental demand surges, said Paul Diggle, property economist with Capital Economics Ltd. in London.

Illinois Faces 25% Cost Increase to Borrow $1.8 Billion - (www.bloomberg.com)  Illinois plans to sell $1.8 billion of general-obligation debt tomorrow as its relative borrowing costs may increase by almost a quarter.
The tax-exempt deal for the state, rated lowest by Moody’s Investors Service, includes a 10-year segment that underwriter Jefferies & Co. plans to offer to investors at 1.85 percentage points above benchmark AAA securities, according to a person familiar with the sale. Illinois’s last general-obligation sale was on March 13 for $575 million, with 10-year securities priced to yield 1.51 percentage points above benchmark tax-exempts, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s 0.34 percentage points below tomorrow’s tentative pricing plan, or a difference of 22.5 percent.

Spain in talks over ‘bad bank’ scheme - (www.ft.com) Standard & Poor's, the US credit rating agency, downgraded 11 of Spain's largest banks on Monday as the government held talks to segregate problematic property loans into one or more asset management companies to relieve the burden on struggling lenders, according to officials and bankers. The "bad bank" scheme is the latest attempt by the centre-right government of Mariano Rajoy, prime minister, to avoid an international rescue programme of the sort required by Greece, Ireland and Portugal. Mr Rajoy's Popular party government has deepened fiscal austerity, reformed Spain's labour market and ordered banks to set aside an extra €54bn of bad loan provisions and capital buffers this year.

Italian, Spanish banks load up more on government debt: ECB - (www.reuters.com)  Banks in Italy and Spain stuffed their coffers with government bonds last month, European Central Bank data showed on Monday, in the latest sign they have been using ultra-cheap three-year ECB funds to stock up on sovereign debt. Italian banks now hold more government debt than lenders in any other country in the euro zone, and Monday's data may add to concerns that banks there and in Spain are becoming ever more wedded to the fate of their own heavily indebted governments. The data, the first for the period following the ECB's huge injection of three-year cash on February 29, showed Italian banks increased their holdings of securities issued by euro zone governments by a record 23.7 billion euros, taking their total holdings to 323.9 billion euros.

Meredith Whitney: State Finances Are Still Doomed, And These Three States Are In The Most Trouble - (www.businessinsider.com) But there are three stats in particular she doesn't like: California (which is the worst) followed closely by Illinois and New Jersey. In Illinois, in particular, she cited something new about parents being forced to pay for school busses because finances have gotten so bad. Some other points she made:
·         Europe is stil in a lot of trouble. And beyond Spain, you have to watch France.
·         The panic in Europe will keep US rates low, and that makes the Fed's job easier since rates will stay low.
·         On Citi, there are no big risks out there any more.
·         She's 'absolutely' still worried about state finances. In fact there's more evidence supporting the thesis that the states are in trouble.
·         Some great financials she likes: American Express and JPMorgan (which is really trip).



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