Sunday, May 6, 2012

Monday May 7 Housing and Economic stories

TOP STORIES:
You Are Free To Travel—If The IRS Lets You - (www.gonzalolira.blogspot.fr) A bill that nobody is paying any attention to is sailing through Congress: Senate Bill 1813. It passed the Senate by 74 to 22, and is expected to sail through the House as well. It’s an act “[t]o reauthorize Federal-aid highway and highway safety construction programs, and for other purposes.” It’s the “and for other purposes” part of the title that has me worried—specifically Section 40304: “Revocation or denial of passport in case of certain unpaid taxes.” This section would give the IRS the power to keep a U.S. citizen from traveling— —and it’s another example of Executive Power run amok. It’s another example of how the United States is turning into a police-state. The right to travel freely is sacrosanct—it’s not some privilege that the government bestows on us: It’s one of our basic freedoms as citizens. In point of fact, the countries that have limited their citizens’ ability to travel—the Soviet Union, the People’s Republic of China, North Korea, Cuba—were all rightfully called “police-states”: It’s one of their defining characteristics—the fact that they were keeping their citizens hostage.
Housing REpenetrates Alleged Bottom As NAHB Index Misses By Most In 22 Months - (www.zerohedge.com) It seems all that confident over-extrapolating of warm-weather-based foot-traffic into closed sales and a recovery in housing was, as we vociferously warned, simply wrong. There's no schadenfreude here as this was too obvious for anyone except the blinkered hopium peddlers as even the NAHB is forced to admit things aren't so rosy in home-sales-land "interest expressed by buyers in the past few months has yet to translate into expected sales activity". The NAHB Index fell for the first time in 7 months, dropped the most in 10 months and missed those glorious expectations by the most in 22 months - quite an impressive set of statistics.
Why You Should Fear the Commodities Bubble - (www.theatlantic.com) Investors have gone crazy for commodities, pouring money into everything from oil to copper. Just like the world's mania for tech stocks in the 1990s, this boom is headed for a bust. As playwright Arthur Miller once observed, "An era can be said to end when its basic illusions are exhausted." Most of the illusions that defined the last decade -- the notion that global growth had moved to a permanently higher plane, the hope that the Fed (or any central bank) could iron out the highs and lows of the business cycle -- are indeed spent. Yet one idea still has the power to capture the imagination of the markets: that the inexorable rise of China and other big developing economies will continue to drive a "commodity supercycle," a prolonged upward rise in the prices of commodities ranging from oil to copper and silver, to textiles, to corn and soybeans. This conviction is the main reason for the optimism about the prospects of the many countries that live off commodity exports, from Brazil to Argentina, and Australia to Canada.
California’s Economic Split Pits West CA Against East CA - (www.nytimes.com) For decades, California has been seen nationally and by its own residents as a state divided into north and south, urbane tree-huggers versus car-obsessed beach hoppers. But the more meaningful division, it turns out, may be between east and west. Communities all along the state’s coastline have largely bounced back from the recession, some even prospering with high-tech and export businesses growing and tourism coming back. At the same time, communities from just an hour’s drive inland and stretching all the way to the Nevada and Arizona borders struggle with stubbornly high unemployment and a persistent housing crisis. And the same pattern holds the length of the state, from Oregon to the Mexican frontier.
Healthcare providers make it nearly impossible to find out prices in advance - (www.latimes.com) Comparison shopping for medical procedures can involve a web of billing codes and arcane terminology, despite efforts in California to simplify things. Californians are still struggling to get straight answers about the cost of common medical procedures despite state efforts aimed at lifting the veil on medical pricing. As consumers shoulder a larger share of their healthcare costs, the ability to comparison shop is key to keeping that care affordable. Medical costs borne by U.S. employees have more than doubled since 2002 to more than $8,000 a year, while the median household income has dropped 4%. Under a state law that took effect in 2006, hospitals must publish their average charges for the most common procedures on a state website. But relatively few take the extra step of listing prices on their own websites, where people are more likely to be looking for pricing information, according to healthcare experts.

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