Sunday, June 23, 2013

Monday June 24 Housing and Economic stories

TOP STORIES:

FHA reverse mortgage losses may require bailout - (news.yahoo.com) The Federal Housing Administration may need as much as a $1 billion rescue package before the end of the year to bolster its reserves despite efforts to shore up its finances with higher mortgage insurance premiums, a Senate subcommittee was told Tuesday. FHA Commissioner Carol Galante said her agency, which insures some 40 million home mortgages, is struggling with more than $5 billion in losses on reverse mortgages that allow people over 62 to borrow against their home equity and use the money for living expenses. Galante said the FHA played a crucial role in bringing the housing market back from the brink of collapse, but at a heavy financial price to itself. The FHA is required by law to maintain reserves equal to 2 percent of the total amount of home mortgages it insures. It currently has about $32 billion in reserves. The agency, created during the Great Depression to create more affordable home ownership opportunities, insures more than $1 trillion in mortgage loans to primarily low-to-moderate-income families and first-time homebuyers. The Obama administration said in its fiscal 2014 budget request six weeks ago that FHA would probably need $943 million in taxpayer assistance to bolster its reserves to cover losses from loans it insures. The government's mortgage insurer has until Sept. 30 to decide whether or not it will need the cash infusion from the Treasury, which does not require congressional approval and would be the first in the agency's 79-year history.

Timber! Falling Lumber Prices Shatter Housing Optimism - (finance.yahoo.com)  Timber!!!! The price of framing lumber on CME is barely over $300 per 1,000 board feet, down more than 20% since the beginning of April. The last time prices were this low was October of last year. Meanwhile, the price of copper is currently fighting back from its own 20% correction from February through April. Copper and lumber have one thing in common: they're both used to build. If the economy is supposed to be in recovery and housing is picking up, someone forgot to tell the commodity markets. The question for traders is whether the copper and lumber price declines have a great meaning or are just another piece of ambiguous data in a recovery defined by such things. Jeff Saut of Raymond James Financial says there's ample evidence to support the idea that weak lumber prices and a housing recovery aren't mutually exclusive. "We think the price of lumber is going to be volatile until you get a sustainable pick-up in volume in housing," Saut says in the attached clip. Housing prices, according to Saut, are strong at least in part as a function of the scarcity of new homes. "We think when the volumes pick up at the spring of next year we'll go back up on the price of lumber."

EU Hits China With Solar-Panel Duties in Dumping Dispute - (www.bloomberg.com) The European Union imposed tariffs as high as 67.9 percent on solar panels from China in the largest EU commercial dispute of its kind, seeking to help revive a withering industry in Europe. The duties punish Chinese manufacturers of solar panels for allegedly selling them in the 27-nation EU below cost, a practice known as dumping. Yingli Green Energy Holding Co., Wuxi Suntech Power Co. and Changzhou Trina Solar Energy Co. are among the more than 100 companies targeted. EU producers such as Solarworld AG (SWV)Germany’s No. 1 maker of the renewable-energy technology, have suffered “material injury” as a result of dumped imports from China, the European Commission, the bloc’s trade authority in Brussels, said today in the Official Journal. The commission said 25,000 jobs in EU solar production would likely be lost without the import taxes.

JPMorgan’s Alabama Debacle Set to Cost Bank $1.5 Billion - (www.bloomberg.com) JPMorgan Chase & Co. may see as much as $1.6 billion go down an Alabama sewer. The biggest U.S. bank by assets agreed to forgive $842 million of debt owed to it by Jefferson County, Alabama, where it took the lead in arranging risky securities deals that pushed the county into the largest U.S. municipal bankruptcy, in November 2011. That agreement follows a $722 million settlement in 2009 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission related to the Jefferson County financing. JPMorgan’s total costs amount to a quarter of the $6.2 billion trading loss in 2012 from corporate-credit bets by a trader known as the London Whale. Elizabeth C. Seymour, a bank spokeswoman, had no comment on the accord announced yesterday. If accepted by the court, it would cap almost a decade-long disaster in Alabama’s largest county, where JPMorgan initially reaped substantial fees arranging interest-rate swaps that subsequently proved tainted by municipal corruption and devastating to taxpayers during the 2008 credit crisis.

Quant hedge funds hit by US bonds sell-off - (www.ft.com) Some of the world’s biggest quant hedge funds have suffered steep losses in the past two weeks following the sell-off in US bond markets. So-called “CTAs”, which use computer models to spot and ride market trends automatically, were caught out as investors anticipated an end to the US Federal Reserve’s measures to stimulate the economy. Bond yields have risen from some of their lowest levels in decades in the past fortnight, leaving funds with large holdings badly hit. Many quant funds have been major buyers of bonds as their algorithms have followed yields lower over the past few years.






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