Monday, August 10, 2015

Tuesday August 11 Housing and Economic stories


Trouble in Steel Town as Pittsburgh to Asia Face Global Glut - (www.bloomberg.com) Steelmakers worldwide are grappling with the consequences of China’s slowdown, which has spurred mills in the top producer to boost overseas sales as local demand growth stalls for the first time in a generation. That’s boosted competition from Asia to the U.S. and South Africa, and helped to trigger lower prices. The global industry is reeling under the impact of exports from China, according to Sajjan Jindal, chairman of JSW Steel Ltd., India’s third-largest producer. “Steelmakers in China have little alternative except to export and that’s having an impact on margins for regional exporters and the Japanese mills,” said Daniel Kang, an analyst at JPMorgan Chase & Co in Hong Kong. “Chinese exports are crowding out other regional suppliers from South Korea and Japan, particularly in markets like Southeast Asia.”

Shanghai Containerized Freight Index Plunges to New Low - (www.wolfstreet.com)  One of the indicators that show that things are not all that rosy in China, or in the global economy, is the price carriers charge to ship containers from China to its big trading partners around the globe. Those prices have totally collapsed. Two factors are at work: Languishing demand for Chinese manufactured goods around the world; and a growing oversupply of ships to transport these containers (given the languishing demand), which has turned into a price war, with the largest carriers hoping to push the smaller ones out of business. The rates for shipping containers from China to the rest of the world have been in trouble since February. “Trouble” is a euphemism. They have relentlessly plunged on a weekly basis with only some upticks in between. The Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI), a measure that tracks spot rates (not contractual rates) of shipping containers from Shanghai to 15 major destinations around the world, is volatile. But the trend since February has been a pure rout. And for last week, the SCFI plunged 7.4% to a new record low.

Liquidity freeze at China metals exchange highlights fragility in financial sector - (www.ft.com) Chinese banks risk becoming entangled in the fallout from a liquidity freeze at an exchange for rare metals that has also been providing high interest rate investment products through bank branches across the country. Against a backdrop of renewed turmoil in the Chinese equity markets, there have been protests in the past two weeks in both Kunming and Shanghai as investors in the financial products sold by the Fanya Metal Exchange demand their money back. It emerges that some have already started taking their protests to the banks that distributed the products. Fanya is a forum for trading minor metals like indium and bismuth that has also functioned as a shadow banking conduit — not only leveraging metal deposited with the exchange as collateral for loans, but offering high interest investment products to retail investors. The exchange, which is based in Kunming, stopped disbursing funds this month to depositors. About $6.4bn in investments is frozen, according to estimates by Chinese media.

Corn Crashes, Other Commodities Brutalized – (www.wolfstreet.com) Corn plunged another 4.66% today, with September futures hitting $3.73 per bushel, after having already plunged nearly 7% last week. Corn has gotten massacred. Since July 14, it has dropped 15%. This chart shows its powerful but ephemeral breakout attempt that started in late June and collapsed on July 14. But it’s not like corn has been in a bubble recently. Corn farmers have been lamenting the crummy price they’ve been getting for their product for a while. In July 2012, corn soared to $8.25 a bushel. Whatever that was – a bubble or a reasonable price – it made everyone smile, from the bankers that were financing farmland to the smallest growers. But the fun didn’t last long. This weekly chart going back to April 2012 shows the implosion of the price of corn, and the failed mini-breakout recently, circled in red because it’s barely visible. A horrendous ride down for US corn growers:

Lew Warns That Puerto Rico Crisis Could Get Costly for U.S. - (www.bloomberg.com) U.S. Treasury Secretary Jacob J. Lew said a failure by Congress to help Puerto Rico resolve its debts may hit the retirement portfolios of average Americans, as he stepped up his call for lawmakers to help the island. Lew endorsed legislation granting the commonwealth access to an orderly bankruptcy regime that’s needed to prevent a chaotic and protracted resolution of Puerto Rico’s financial troubles, an event he said would be costly both for the island and the U.S. “The continued deterioration of Puerto Rico’s economic and financial conditions has the potential to further harm retiree investment portfolios across the country,” Lew said in a letter to Republican Senator Orrin Hatch released Tuesday. “A significant portion of Puerto Rico’s debt is still held directly by individual retail investors or indirectly through the municipal bond funds they own.”



Commodity Declines Dominate Currency Markets Becalmed Before Fed - (www.bloomberg.com)
China’s Currency Policy Sinks Into Disarray Amid Rout in Stocks - (www.bloomberg.com)
China protests over Fanya liquidity freeze could spread to banks - (www.ft.com)
Tsipras Says Greece Won ‘Crucial’ Commitment for Debt Relief - (www.bloomberg.com)
Russia Ends Foreign Currency Purchases in Boost for Easing - (www.bloomberg.com)
Chinese Stocks Fluctuate Amid Signs of Exodus of Small Investors - (www.bloomberg.com)

Denials fly in war of nerves over Greek debt talks - (www.reuters.com)
Alarm Bell Rings in Tokyo at Rapid Rise in German Exports to China - (www.bloomberg.com)
Russian Banks Turn to Hong Kong for Cash - (www.bloomberg.com)

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