Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Wednesday April 1 Housing and Economic stories


Brazil Burns Pimco to Investec as $134 Billion Bond Bet Unravels - (www.bloomberg.com) For the foreign investors who’ve been pouring money into Brazilian bonds, their timing could hardly have been worse. Lured by interest rates north of 12 percent, they boosted holdings of the nation’s local-currency debt to a record 432 billion reais ($134 billion) in January. That’s an increase of 29 percent from the year earlier, the government said last month. Pacific Investment Management Co. and Investec Plc are the two biggest overseas investors in Brazil’s fixed-rate bonds, data compiled by Bloomberg show. The investment has so far backfired. The notes have lost 17 percent in dollars this year -- more than triple that of emerging markets tracked by JPMorgan Chase & Co. -- as the real sinks, the economy stalls and a graft investigation erodes confidence in the government. Even if overseas investors hedged the currency’s 18 percent plunge in 2015, they would have still lost money.

No Risk Too Big as Traders Plot Escape From Negative Yields - (www.bloomberg.com)  In the negative-yield vortex that is the European bond market, investors are discovering just what lengths they’re willing to go to generate returns. Norway’s $870 billion sovereign wealth fund said this month that it added Nigeria and lifted its share of lower-rated company debt to the highest since at least 2006. Allianz SE, Europe’s biggest insurer, is shifting from German bunds to bulk up on mortgages. JPMorgan Asset Management is buying speculative-grade corporate debt to boost returns. With the European Central Bank’s fight against deflation pushing yields on almost a third of the euro area’s $6.26 trillion of government bonds below zero, even the most risk-averse investors are taking chances on assets and regions that few would have considered just months ago. That’s exposing more clients to the inevitable trade-off that comes with the lure of higher returns: the likelihood of deeper losses.

Oil Sands Tested as Today’s Rout Is Far Cry From Wildcat Years - (www.bloomberg.com) The collapse in the market for Canada’s heavy crude below $30 a barrel last week is hammering home a harsh reality for the nation’s oil-sands producers: There’s no one to save them this time. Unlike previous market crashes that were relatively short-lived, the combination of persistent oversupplies and weakening demand are dealing a severe setback to what’s been one of the biggest growth stories in global energy markets. Oil-sands companies such as Suncor Energy Inc. already have been rethinking major developments that can require more than C$10 billion ($8 billion) in investment. Now even existing projects are barely covering costs or in a losing position. “This is a major test of the industry,” said John Stephenson, chief executive officer of Stephenson & Co. in Toronto, a money management firm. “It’s going to be sustained, it’s going to be ugly and it’s going to go on longer than people think.” Long a resource investor, Stephenson is right now shorting energy stocks as he bets on more price pain.

Norway on Bubble Watch as Anxiety Over Oil Plunge Recedes - (www.bloomberg.com) The central bank governor of western Europe’s biggest crude producer is becoming less concerned over the plunge in oil prices. Threats from Norway’s hot housing market have trumped anxiety that forced Governor Oeystein Olsen, 63, to deliver a surprise rate cut in December, when oil sank to about $63. That rate reduction has helped mitigate risks of an oil-induced crisis, as evidence in the real economy shows, he said. “We could now be characterized as leaning slightly against the wind,” he said in a March 20 interview in his Oslo office, a day after unexpectedly keeping rates unchanged. “The former risk hasn’t disappeared, but a few months have passed and we have not seen a more severe downturn.” Olsen’s decision to keep rates unchanged stunned markets, and sent the krone down as much as 3 percent. It was particularly surprising since oil as slid 14 percent since the December meeting and as central banks across Europe have kick-started massive stimulus programs.

Texas Landmen Left Out of Work as Oil Patch Boom Times Go Bust - (www.bloomberg.com) Thousands of Texans who prowled county courthouses, poring over dusty deeds and maps to cash in on the biggest oil boom in decades, are seeing their work go bust. Land managers, or landmen as they’re known, are part of a once dying oil patch profession resurrected when production soared. With the price of crude close to a six-year low at about $47 a barrel, less than half what it was nine months ago, they’re among the first to be hit by an energy-industry rout cascading through the economy. “Almost all the landmen I know have had to take either a serious pay cut, or are working part time or laid off,” said Gates Mueller, 29, an independent landman in San Antonio who lost his job in December.


Greece Faces Decisive Week as Tsipras Is Set to Meet Merkel - (www.bloomberg.com)
Noyer Suggests ECB Can Allow More Emergency Liquidity for Greece
- (www.bloomberg.com)
Yemen foes square off as fears of war, Saudi-Iran rivalry grow
- (www.reuters.com)
Greek PM wrote to Merkel warning of 'impossible' debt obligation
- (www.reuters.com)
Sales of Existing U.S. Homes Fall Short of 5 Million Pace
- (www.bloomberg.com)

China Internet Company Yielding 18% Shows Default Risks Brewing
- (www.bloomberg.com)
Dizzying Pre-IPO Tech Values Spurred by Rush of Hedge-Fund Money
- (www.bloomberg.com)
Why China Wants its Yuan to Be the World’s 5th Reserve Currency
- (www.bloomberg.com)
Brazil Analysts Boost 2015 CPI, Cut GDP for 12th Straight Week
- (www.bloomberg.com)

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