Thursday, March 19, 2015

Friday March 20 Housing and Economic stories


Drugs, Prostitution, Violence Plague Oil Boom Towns Gone Bust - (www.zerohedge.com) With crude prices reeling from the effects of geopolitical wrangling and surging production, it’s a tough time to be a resident of an oil boom town. Although drilling in areas like North Dakota’s Bakken oil patch has generated hefty revenues for once quiet communities, it’s also led to an increase in crime. As the Washington Post noted last year, “the arrival of highly paid oil workers living in sprawling ‘man camps’ with limited spending opportunities has led to a crime wave -- including murders, aggravated assaults, rapes, human trafficking and robberies -- fueled by a huge market for illegal drugs, primarily heroin and methamphetamine.” While this would be a rather undesirable situation under any circumstances, collapsing crude prices are beginning to leave some towns cash-strapped, which means less resources to dedicate to things like deterring crime. Meanwhile, production isn’t slowing down, which means boom town populations aren’t declining alongside revenues. According to NPR, this dynamic is leaving some communities with a combination of decaying infrastructure, less money for public schools, and inadequate manpower to combat sharply higher crime rates. This comes as monthly expenses like rent skyrocket in the face of surging demand. 

Mexico Steps Up Peso Support to Stem Currency’s Slide  - (www.bloomberg.com) Mexican policy makers stepped up support for the peso, with plans for at least $3 billion of dollar sales through June, after the currency sank to a record low. The central bank will sell $52 million a day over the next 60 business days with no minimum price, the nation’s currency commission said Wednesday. The new intervention is in addition to a program started in December of $200 million of dollar sales that happen whenever the peso weakens by 1.5 percent or more from the previous day. The central bank also will scale back the pace at which it has been accumulating foreign reserves. The currency jumped the most in a month. While the central bank’s new sales represent a fraction of the $57 billion of daily turnover in peso trading, they signal a growing discomfort among policy makers with the currency’s slump. The exchange rate had weakened as lower oil prices damped the outlook for foreign investment, while the prospect of higher U.S. interest rates curbed the appeal of emerging-market assets.

Euro Racing to Record Drop as Draghi QE Purchases Depress Yields - (www.bloomberg.com) The euro’s slump pushed it toward its biggest ever quarterly decline versus the dollar as European Central Bank purchases of sovereign debt sent bond yields to record lows across the region. The shared currency has weakened 12.8 percent this year, with almost three weeks before the quarter ends, eclipsing the 10.6 percent decline during the credit crunch in the third quarter of 2008. The euro dropped to an almost 12-year low Wednesday as ECB President Mario Draghi reiterated the central bank’s commitment to boost inflation, while the 1.1 trillion-euro ($1.2 trillion) quantitative-easing program entered its third day. Demand for U.S. Treasuries surged. “It has been a pretty sharp move,” Eric Viloria, a strategist at Wells Fargo & Co. in New York, said by phone. “It’s just going back to these broader market themes of expected Fed tightening in the U.S. and continued monetary easing in the euro zone. That’s also been reflected in bond markets.”

Rickards: It Will Be "Too Late" To Get Gold When Monetary Collapse Arrives – (www.dailyreckoning.com) Investors almost say to me, ‘You know, Jim, call me up at 3:30 the day before it happens and I’ll sell my stocks and buy some gold.’ First of all, it doesn’t work that way for the reasons I just explained, but secondly, you might not be able to get the gold and that’s very important to understand. When a buying panic breaks out, you know, and the price starts gapping up, not $10.00, $20.00 an ounce per day, but $100.00 an ounce then $200.00 an ounce and then all of sudden, it’s like up $1,000.00 an ounce and people say oh, I got to get some gold. You won’t be able to get it. The big guys will get it, you know, the sovereign wealth funds, the central banks, the billionaires, the multibillion-dollar hedge funds, they’ll be able to get it, but everyday investors won’t be able to get it. You’ll find that the mint stops shipping it. That your local dealer has run out so there’ll still be a price somewhere. You’ll be able to watch the price on television, but you won’t actually be able to get the gold. It’ll be too late.

Ukraine wins IMF approval for $17.5 billion to rescue economy - (www.chicagotribune.com)  The International Monetary Fund approved a $17.5 billion loan program for Ukraine to help the former Soviet republic stave off default amid a conflict with pro-Russia rebels. The IMF's executive board, which represents the 188 member nations, gave the go-ahead for the four-year program, Managing Director Christine Lagarde said in a statement on Wednesday. The aid is part of what the Washington-based lender and Ukraine's government hope will be a $40 billion package, including aid from the U.S. and European Union and a prospective $15 billion in savings to be negotiated with Ukraine's bondholders. The financing offers a lifeline to an economy that the government expects to shrink as much as 11.9 percent this year, as the conflict in the eastern part of the country hobbles its industrial capacity. The funding, which replaces a two-year package from last April, also marks a deepening of the IMF's involvement in the worst standoff in Europe since the end of the Cold War.



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