Wednesday, January 15, 2014

Thursday January 16 Housing and Economic stories


[WSJ] Yields on Puerto Rico Debt Hit High - (online.wsj.com)  Puerto Rico is struggling to convince investors and credit-rating firms that it is on the path to financial health amid rising borrowing costs and fears over a potential downgrade of its debt. Yields on Puerto Rico's $70 billion worth of debt, which is held by many small investors through mutual funds, ended 2013 at record highs, raising questions over the commonwealth's ability to tap credit markets to bolster its finances. The average yield on Puerto Rico's 10-year bonds hit 9.87% on Friday and hovered there through Tuesday, the last trading day of 2013. That was the highest ever in Thomson Reuters Municipal Market Data records going back to 1997. Yields, which move in the opposite direction of prices, more than doubled in 2013. The coming months are shaping up to be a test for Puerto Rico. The island's beleaguered economy makes it more difficult for Puerto Rico to juggle its budget deficit as well as its debt load, which weighs in at nearly 70% of GDP according to the Center for Economic and Policy Research. Moody's Investors Service and Fitch Ratings have warned of potential downgrades of Puerto Rico debt to "junk" status, citing the borrower's growing challenge in tapping debt markets.

Retired state workers sue over Illinois pension changes - (www.chicagotribune.com)  A group representing retired state workers on Thursday filed the second lawsuit challenging sweeping changes to the state’s public employee pension system, arguing the measure violates a clause in the Illinois Constitution intended to protect retirement benefits by “gutting” annual cost-of-living increases. The Retired State Employees Association of Illinois wants a Sangamon County judge to throw out the pension law and set up an escrow fund to deposit the difference in benefits while the matter is sorted out in court. The lawsuit is one of several expected to be filed against the pension law in the coming weeks, including promised challenges from the state’s major employee unions. Last week, the Illinois Retired Teachers Association sued in Cook County court. A spokeswoman for Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn, who signed the pension bill into law a month ago, maintained the retirement system overhaul will be upheld as constitutional.

Brazil Posts Worst Trade Balance Since 2000 as Imports Surge - (www.bloomberg.com)  Brazil last year posted the worst trade balance since 2000 as consumer demand boosted imports and slower global growth crimped sales abroad. Latin America’s biggest economy had a trade surplus of $2.56 billion, the Trade Ministry said in a report posted on its website today. Imports in 2013 rose 6.5 percent on a daily average, totaling $240 billion for the year, and exports dropped 1 percent to $242 billion. That’s the worst performance since Brazil had a trade deficit in 2000. Brazil reported a trade surplus of $2.65 billion in the last month of the year, exceeding forecasts for a $1.5 billion surplus made by economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The economy grew 2.3 percent last year, more than double the pace of 2012 while still trailing the Latin American average of 2.37 percent, according to analysts polled by Bloomberg. Retail sales have outpaced gains in gross domestic product, expanding an average 4 percent in the first 10 months of 2013 as the jobless rate dropped. The trade balance will improve this year on increased production of oil and grain and a more “beneficial” exchange rate, Foreign Trade Secretary Daniel Godinho told reporters in Brasilia. Risks include slower growth in developed nations and China, he said.

Beanie Baby Billionaire Seeks to Avoid Jail for Tax Crime - (www.bloomberg.com)  H. Ty Warner, the billionaire creator of Beanie Baby plush toys, asked a judge to give him probation, not prison, for evading taxes on secret Swiss accounts that held as much as $107 million. Warner, 69, faces 46 months to 57 months in prison under nonbinding guidelines when he’s sentenced Jan. 14 in Chicago. The maker of plush toys and hotel operator asked U.S. District Judge Charles Kocoras to impose a term of probation with community service, according to a Dec. 31 court filing. Warner is among more than 100 people prosecuted in the past five years during a U.S. crackdown on offshore tax evasion. His lawyers argued that “dozens of individuals who engaged in the exact same conduct with respect to undisclosed overseas accounts” got probation. “This case concerns an isolated event in Ty’s otherwise law-abiding life, during which he has paid approximately $1 billion in taxes,” according to the filing. “There is no reason to believe prison time is necessary to prevent him from engaging in tax evasion again.”

1.3 Million People Just Lost Jobless Benefits. It Could Get Ugly - (www.businessweek.com)  When Congress reconvenes on Jan. 6, one of the first issues it will take up is whether to renew an emergency federal unemployment program that expired on Dec. 28, cutting off 1.3 million jobless workers. Enacted in 2008 at the start of the recession, it provided up to 47 weeks of benefits for those still looking for work when their state unemployment benefits ran out. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid says he’ll try to pass a temporary extension, but most Republicans have balked at the $25 billion-a-year cost. If the program isn’t revived, the impact could be significant—not just for the 1.3 million people losing a vital lifeline but on the broader economy. How will these workers fare? One place to look for answers is North Carolina. Last February, at the behest of the business community, Republican Governor Pat McCrory signed a bill cutting the amount and duration of state jobless benefits, even though North Carolina’s unemployment rate ranked among the highest in the country. The state had exhausted its unemployment trust fund, paid for by business taxes, and had borrowed $2.5 billion from the federal government to pay jobless claims. “We’re going to pay down that debt, make the system solvent, and provide an economic climate that allows businesses, large and small, to put people back to work,” McCrory said at the time. When the new law took effect on July 1, the maximum weekly benefit fell from $535 to $350 and its duration fell to between 12 and 20 weeks (depending on the state’s unemployment rate) from 26 weeks—the standard in most other states.




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