Wednesday, October 2, 2013

Thursday October 3 Housing and Economic stories


Can the mortgage market crash again? - (www.cnbc.com) During the height of the housing boom, in 2006 and 2007, one of the fundamental tenets of home mortgage lending flew out the window: the borrower's ability to repay the loan. A broad swath of lenders simply took it out of the equation, figuring that since home prices were rising so fast, borrowers could simply sell their way out of any trouble. It didn't happen that way. Home prices crashed, borrowers had no escape from the faulty loan products they'd been sold, and an epic foreclosure crisis ensued. As a result, Congress created the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and directed the bureau to implement the ability-to-repay rule. It requires lenders to look at a consumer's financial information, document income and assets; review current debt obligations; and assess the borrower's credit history. The rule also prohibits some of the riskier loan products, like low- and no-doc loans, and says that affordability will be determined based on the interest rate that would prevail in the absence of any teaser rates.

Europe August Car Sales Drop as Demand Lowest on Record - (www.bloomberg.com) European car sales fell in August, bringing deliveries this year to the lowest since records began in 1990, as record joblessness in the euro region hurt deliveries at Volkswagen AGPSA Peugeot Citroen and Fiat SpA. Registrations dropped 4.9 percent to 686,957 vehicles from 722,458 cars a year earlier, the Brussels-based European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association, or ACEA, said today in a statement. Eight-month sales declined 5.2 percent to 8.14 million autos. The economy of the 17 countries using the euro emerged from a record six-quarter recession in the three months through June. Aftereffects such as a jobless rate in the area that held at 12.1 percent in July led industry leaders at the International Motor Show in Frankfurt a week ago, including Peugeot Chief Executive Officer Philippe Varin, to stick to predictions of a sixth consecutive annual car-market contraction in 2013.

Mortgage Bonds Imperiled by $17 Billion of Sales: Credit Markets - (www.bloomberg.com) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are set to auction as much as $17 billion of mortgage bonds they acquired before the real estate collapse to meet a regulatory directive, potentially straining demand at the same time the Federal Reserve considers a stimulus pullback. The offerings by year-end of residential and commercial securities without government backing will follow sales of about $22 billion the past four months from the government-controlled companies, according to Deutsche Bank AG. The auctions are adding to the $7 billion of new commercial-mortgage bond deals that Wall Street is planning this month, the biggest pipeline since Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac began the sales in May. Investors are bracing for a pullback by the Fed from its unprecedented support for the economy as soon as this week. While the previous sales haven’t roiled markets, the future offerings may weigh on prices if Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac start to jettison riskier types of the debt, according to Brean Capital LLC’s Scott Buchta.

Refinancings Plummet After Worst Losses in 14 Years: Muni Credit - (www.bloomberg.com) U.S. localities are scaling back refinancing by the most since 2006 as the worst municipal bond losses in 14 years push up borrowing costs. With yields near a 29-month high, refinancings shriveled to just $81 billion this year through Sept. 11, out of $229 billion of total sales, Citigroup Inc. data show. That’s down 29 percent from last year’s pace, when localities refunded the most since at least 2003. From Massachusetts to California, issuers have canceled such deals, which provide a way to save money other than firing workers or cutting services. The refinancing drought is also feeding into the bond sell-off by giving fund managers less cash with which to meet the largest wave of withdrawals since 2011, according to research firm Municipal Market Advisors.

How much did the Great Financial Crisis cost America? Nearly $30 trillion - (www.aei-ideas.org) The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. says it’s selling $2.4 billion in Citigroup bonds. That represents the last bit of the bank owned by a government agency because of Great Financial Crisis bailout. Washington has already cleared about $13 billion on the Citi bailout from selling a $45 billion investment in Citi preferred stock for $57 billion. The current sale, according to Bloomberg, “would bring the government’s overall profit on the Citi bailout to nearly $15.5 billion.” But before we start celebrating Washington’s savvy investment in Wall Street, let’s recall the total costs of the financial meltdown. A new report from the Dallas Fed takes its best shot at guesstimating: The 2007–09 meltdown produced a huge downshift in the path of economic output, consumption and financial wealth. The nation has borne additional costs arising from psychological consequences, skill atrophy from extended unemployment, a reduced set of economic opportunities and increased government intervention in the economy.







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