Monday, July 8, 2013

Tuesday July 9 Housing and Economic stories

TOP STORIES:

China Interbank Market Freezes As Overnight Repo Explodes To 25%  - (www.zerohedge.com) It seems liquidity (or counterparty mistrust) is beginning to reach extreme levels in China as the nation's banking system is now quoting overnight repo transactions at 25%. The explosion in funding costs echoes the collapse in trust (and surge in TED spread) among US banks in the run-up to the Lehman bankruptcy. MSCI Asia-Pac stocks are down over 3% with China's Shanghai Composite -2.5% at seven-month lows.
  • China’s 1-day Repo Rate Climbs to Highest Since at Least 2006
  • MNI - CHINA OVERNIGHT REPO FIXING AT RECORD HIGH
China's bond market is also collapsing: Yield on 3.1% govt bonds due January 2016 jumps 39 bps to 3.749%, biggest rise since notes were issued in January

Convicted mortgage kingpin fails to report for prison - (www.detroitnews.com) Ronnie Duke, the one-time mortgage kingpin sentenced to 13 years in prison for his role in one of the country's largest fraud scams, failed this week to surrender to federal prison officials. Duke, 46, was ordered in April to begin his sentence by June 3. A federal magistrate signed a warrant for his arrest on Thursday, court records show. Duke was convicted for his role in a scheme that used fake documents to secure hundreds of loans on homes throughout Metro Detroit from 2003 to 2007, triggering nearly $95 million in losses as it bankrolled a lavish lifestyle for Duke and his co-conspirators. Harold Gurewitz, Duke's attorney, declined comment. However, he said he has withdrawn his appeal of Duke's sentence, filed with the U.S. 6th Circuit Court of Appeals, on Thursday because he had been unable to talk with Duke. U.S. District Judge Julian Abele Cook allowed Duke to surrender Monday to the Bureau of Prisons officials at a West Virginia correctional facility. As of Thursday he had not arrived.

Detroit retirees angry, anxious over EM's pension proposals - (www.detroitnews.com)
Gerald Kent is insulted. William Schultheis is upset. Roger Doppelberger is indignant. And along with 20,000 other city of Detroit retirees, they’re worried. When Detroit’s emergency manager meets with unions and pension boards today, he’ll discuss how the city can cut its costs for retiree health care. But retired city workers fear that the budget ax will bite into their pensions, too. Take Kent, who worked in the city’s Building and Safety Engineering Department as an inspector from 1997 until his retirement in December 2011. Now living in Southfield, Kent says that after generating nearly $30 million in fees and fines through his work, his pension is about 38 percent of his final salary. “That pays for not only me, but about five others, benefits and pension,” Kent wrote in an email to The News. “I kept my promise to serve the city of my birth, to uphold the laws and codes honestly. To ask me to accept a cut in my pension is an insult to the years of good service I provided.”

Echoes of Mao in China cash crunch - (www.ft.com) As China’s credit crunch takes a turn for the worse, the question of why the central bank has permitted market conditions to deteriorate so suddenly and so sharply looms ever larger. Short-term money market rates surged to more than 10 per cent on Thursday, a record high and nearly triple their level just two weeks ago, after the central bank refused to inject extra funds into the strained financial system. Analysts have mostly viewed the squeeze in economic terms, as a warning to lenders that they must rein in dangerously fast credit growth. But in the midst of the extreme market stress, a statement issued late Wednesday by the central bank raised the possibility that politics are also playing an important role. Bankers had been calling for the central bank to ease the pressure and a few investors had even predicted that it might cut interest rates. Instead, the People’s Bank of China ordered a thorough implementation of the new “mass line education” campaign launched this week by President Xi Jinping – a campaign that in its propaganda-style and potential scope carries echoes of the Mao era.

Emerging Markets Crack as $3.9 Trillion Funds Unwind: Currencies - (www.bloomberg.com) Investors are pulling money from emerging markets at the fastest pace in two years as slowing economic growth and the prospect of less global stimulus sink stocks, bonds and currencies from India to Brazil. More than $19 billion left funds investing in developing-nation assets in the three weeks to June 12, the most since 2011, according to EPFR Global. Foreign investors dumped an unprecedented $5.6 billion of Brazilian stocks and $3.2 billion of Indian bonds this month, exchange data show. JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s emerging-currency index is down 1.4 percent this quarter, while the rupee and Turkish lira hit record lows and the real reached its weakest level since 2009. “These are pre-quake tremors: something big is coming,” Stephen Jen, the co-founder of hedge fund SLJ Macro Partners LLP, said in a phone interview from London on June 12. “There’s tremendous deceleration in emerging markets. You may see crisis-like price actions without having a crisis.”

Fears rise over how Portugal and Ireland exit bailout schemes - (www.ft.com) Less than a year before European leaders hope to chalk up success for their handling of the sovereign debt crises in Ireland and Portugal, rising bond yields and long-term interest rates are causing concern over how the two countries will exit their bailout programmes. Amid expectations that central banks in the US, Japan and elsewhere will tighten monetary policy, yields on Portugal’s benchmark 10-year bonds surged to 6.6 per cent last week from a low of 5.2 per cent in late May. Ireland’s 10-year yields also moved higher, rising to more than 4 per cent from a low of 3.5 per cent last month.
“Lisbon and Dublin’s return to the market could be affected if interest rates continue to rise as markets make adjustments between yields and the real returns countries can offer,” said Filipe Silva, head of public debt management at Portugal’s Banco Carregosa.






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