Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Wednesday March 20 Housing and Economic stories


TOP STORIES:

Has the bull market in stocks become 'too big to fail'? - (www.latimes.com) Officially, the Federal Reserve isn't supposed to worry about keeping stock prices flying high. But when Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke was asked about the market's outlook last week on Capitol Hill, he sounded like a lot of bullish Wall Street investment strategists. "I don't see much evidence of an equity bubble," he told the Senate Banking Committee in his semiannual testimony on Fed policy. Stocks "don't appear overvalued given earnings and interest rates." More important for the markets, Bernanke pledged to continue the Fed's policy of pumping colossal sums into the financial system to support the economic recovery. As stocks flirt with the record highs reached just before the global financial crash of 2008, memories of that catastrophe loom large. Many Americans have abandoned equities since the crash, terrified of living through another one. Yet the Fed's efforts to keep the economy growing may not work unless the stock market keeps moving in one direction from here: higher. "Too big to fail," the label derisively given to the nation's biggest banks, now could also be applied to stocks' 4-year-old bull market. "The Fed and the other central banks cannot afford to see a massive decline in equity prices," said Mohamed El-Erian, who oversees $2 trillion as chief executive of money manager Pimco in Newport Beach.

State pension funding gap up 20 percent in 2012 - (www.reuters.com) The shortfall in 109 of the nation's state pension plans, which guarantee retirement for millions of public workers such as police, firefighters, and teachers rose to $834.2 billion in 2012, up from $690.3 billion the previous year, according to a new report by Wilshire Consulting, a unit of independent investment management firm Wilshire Associates. The report highlights the uphill struggle faced by many of the state pension plans nationwide and is a reminder that financially strained state governments will have to make some tough choices in order to make up the shortfall. It also shows state pension fund managers are continuing to up their exposure to less conventional assets such as real estate, private equity, hedge funds and commodities as they try to boost their returns and diversify away from over exposure to volatile equities.

Tax bills for rich families approach 30-year high - (www.usatoday.com) The poor rich. With Washington gridlocked again over whether to raise their taxes, it turns out wealthy families already are paying some of their biggest federal tax bills in decades even as the rest of the population continues to pay at historically low rates. President Obama and Democratic leaders in Congress say the wealthy must pay their fair share if the federal government is ever going to fix its finances and reduce the budget deficit to a manageable level. A new analysis, however, shows that average tax bills for high-income families rarely have been higher since the Congressional Budget Office began tracking the data in 1979. It's middle- and low-income families who aren't paying as much as they used to.

Michigan Governor’s Move Sets Detroit Takeover in Motion - (www.bloomberg.com) Michigan Governor Rick Snyder’s formal declaration that a financial emergency besets Detroit started the clock ticking for city leaders who may want to try to block a state takeover. It gave them 10 days. Opponents can request a hearing before a Snyder-appointed representative to appeal his decision. Information presented in the session would be reported to the governor, who would then decide whether to stick by his declaration or revoke it, said Terry Stanton, a state Treasury department spokesman. The governor has no deadline to make his call. If he keeps to his decision, a three-member state panel called the emergency loan board -- all appointees of the governor -- would select an emergency manager. Snyder, 54, would have input. City leaders can appeal to a court if he doesn’t relent, Stanton said. Critics of a takeover say it would hurt Detroit voters by letting a state manager strip power from their elected leaders. “I fundamentally disagree with taking measures that disenfranchise the families I represent in Detroit,” U.S. Representative Gary Peters, a suburban Detroit Democrat, said in a statement. “Emergency managers in Michigan have consistently failed to address the systemic problems plaguing older urban areas like Detroit.”

There is no housing bubble in Southern California, no, no bubble here... - (www.scpr.org) There is not housing bubble. But of course you could be excused for thinking that there is, if you live in Southern California. The real estate market here is distorted, with supply and demand out of whack. The Great Recession meant that we didn't build any houses for four years. The supply of "distressed" properties — foreclosures — is getting tight, because banks are working through their backlog and because they don't want to flood the market and crush what is for them a good thing: rising prices. But rising prices are a mixed blessing. In some parts of Southern California, everyday buyers who need a mortgage are getting priced out by all-cash buyers and investors looking to snap up properties at a reduced price, relative to what they hit during the peak. This has led some market observers to say that we're dealing with a housing bubble in the region. But that's not really the story. There are some micro-bubbles.





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