Wednesday, September 5, 2012

Thursday September 6 Housing and Economic stories



TOP STORIES:

Bernanke's Jackson Hole speech may be a letdown - (money.cnn.com)  Every year, the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City hosts a meeting of the world's top economic minds near the small Wyoming town of Jackson Hole. The invitation-only meeting is usually a big deal, closely watched by investors, economists and journalists. Fed chairman Ben Bernanke has made market-moving announcements there in the past. But those who have been to the Jackson Hole meeting before aren't expecting much from Bernanke when he gives a speech on August 31. Allen Sinai, chief global economist for Decision Economics and a Jackson Hole attendee for the past 20 years, said people "will be disappointed" if they think Bernanke will signal that the Fed is ready to launch a third round of quantitative easing or QE3.

Trading volume at 5-year low - (money.cnn.com) August is always a quiet month on Wall Street as traders escape to catch some rays during the final days of the summer, but this year's lull is more pronounced than usual.
Trading volume hasn't been this low since September 2007, with a daily average of fewer than 3.3 billion shares exchanging hands so far this month. And trading volume is down more than 30%, compared with the average August over the past five years. What's more, the unusually low volume comes as stocks trade near four-year highs, raising concern that the recent move higher lacks conviction, and it's just a matter of time before markets are mired in a sell-off. But experts say investors shouldn't panic. "One of the big knocks on this rally is that volume has been light," said Ryan Detrick, senior technical strategist at Schaeffer's Investment Research. "But it's been that way for a few years. It's not going to change anytime soon, and it's not a sign of danger ahead."

China bubble in 'danger zone' warns Bank of Japan - (www.telegraph.co.uk) China risks a repeat of Japan’s boom-bust disaster 20 years ago as exorbitant property prices combine with a demographic tipping point, a top Japanese official has warned. “China is now entering the 'danger zone’,” said Kiyohiko Nishimura, the Bank of Japan’s deputy-governor and an expert on asset booms. The surge in Chinese home prices and loan growth over the past five years has surpassed extremes seen in Japan before the Nikkei bubble popped in 1990. Construction reached 12pc of GDP in China last year; it peaked in Japan at 10pc. Mr Nishimura said credit and housing booms can remain “benign” so long as the workforce is young and growing. They turn “malign” once the ratio of working age people to dependents rolls over as it did in Japan.

 

S&P 500 Facing 25% Drop Before US Election - (www.cnbc.com) The S&P 500 is likely to fall by 20-25 percent over the next three months according to Nomura strategist Bob Janjuah. In a research note published on Tuesday, the long-term bear who called the recent rally for U.S. stocks said he expects investors to be back in risk-off mode until the U.S. election is over. “I now think the correct thing to do — as I also said in April and June — is to prepare for a serious risk-off phase between August and November…over the August to November period I am looking for the S&P 500 to trade off down from around 1400…by 20 to 25 percent...to trade at or below the lows of 2011.”

Slaughterhouse Run By In-N-Out Burger Meat Supplier Shut Down After Horrific Animal Abuse Video Surfaces - (www.businessinsider.com) The U.S. Department of Agriculture has indefinitely shut down operations at a California slaughterhouse after it received a video from an animal welfare group exposing what looks like horrific animal cruelty, reports CNN. The plant is owned and run by Central Valley Meat, one of the beef suppliers for big regional fast food chain In-N-Out Burger. It had accounted for about 20 percent of all beef used by the burger chain in a given week, according to Gawker.





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