Sunday, June 11, 2017

Monday June 12 2017 Housing and Economic stories

TOP STORIES:            

“Bail-In” Era for Europe’s Banking Crisis Begins - (www.wolfstreet.com) Many Banco Popular investors wiped out. Taxpayers off the hook. What it means for Italy. Banco Popular, until today Spain’s sixth biggest bank, is no more. Its assets, including a massive portfolio of small-business clients, now belong to Banco Santander, Spain’s biggest bank. The global giant now has 17 million customers in Spain, a country of just 45 million people. The price was €1. Spain’s Ministry of the Economy revealed that by 3 pm Tuesday, Popular was no longer able to contain the deposit outflow. “It had exhausted all its lines of liquidity, both ordinary and extraordinary.” It had run out of collateral to cover any further lines of emergency liquidity. This apparently triggered the intervention by the ECB’s Single Resolution Board (SRB), which decided on Tuesday that the bank “was failing or likely to fail” and would have to be wound down, unless a buyer could be found. Banco Popular’s shareholders, who’d been repeatedly suckered into handing Popular fresh funds in numerous capital expansions, will be wiped out. Holders of Popular’s riskiest bonds, its AT1 bonds and AT2 bonds, or CoCo bonds, also got wiped out. These bonds had already plunged in recent weeks. But the bank’s senior bondholders and depositors were spared.

Trump’s America Is Facing a $13 Trillion Consumer Debt Hangover - (www.bloomberg.com) After bingeing on credit for a half decade, U.S. consumers may finally be feeling the hangover.  Americans faced with lackluster income growth have been financing more of their spending with debt instead. There are early signs that loan burdens are growing unsustainably large for borrowers with lower incomes. Household borrowings have surged to a record $12.73 trillion, and the percentage of debt that is overdue has risen for two consecutive quarters. And with economic optimism having lifted borrowing rates since the election and the Federal Reserve expected to hike further, it’s getting more expensive for borrowers to refinance. Some companies are growing worried about their customers. Public Storage said in April that more of its self-storage customers now seem to be under stress. Credit card lenders including Synchrony Financial and Capital One Financial Corp. are setting aside more money to cover bad loans. Consumer product makers including Nestle SA posted slower sales growth last quarter, particularly in the U.S. 

They Killed Bitcoin 129 Times; Each Time, It Came Back Even Stronger - (www.caseyresearch.com) From 2009–13, bitcoin rallied from a fraction of a penny to over $1,100… and then spectacularly crashed 85% to $185. It looked like a classic “pump and dump” to me. That’s why I ignored it. But then something very interesting happened. Instead of collapsing back to pennies, bitcoin found support in the $200 range. Even after the bubble popped, bitcoin was still worth billions. This intrigued me because true Ponzi schemes have zero value when they crash. The fact that bitcoin was still attracting buyers even after the onslaught of negative news… an 85% price crash… and universal scorn… said something to me. It said that maybe this asset had real value. At the very least, it told me that more investigation was needed.

Household Net Worth Hits A Record $95 Trillion... There Is Just One Catch - (www.zerohedge.com) In the first quarter of 2017, total US household net worth rose by $2.3 trillion, reaching a record $94.8 trillion as the stock market soared and home prices posted modest improvements. And while it would be great news if wealth across all of America had indeed risen as much as the Fed claims, the reality is that there is a big catch... And while it would be great news if wealth across America had indeed risen as much as the chart above shows, the reality is that there is a big catch: as shown previously, virtually all of the net worth, and associated increase thereof, has only benefited a handful of the wealthiest Americans. In other words, roughly three-quarter of the $2.4 trillion increase in assets went to benefit just 10% of the population, who also account for roughly 76% of America's financial net worth, Even worse, when looking at how wealth distribution changed from 1989 to 2013, a clear picture emerges. Over the period from 1989 through 2013, family wealth grew at significantly different rates for different segments of the U.S. population. In 2013, for example: The wealth of families at the 90th percentile of the distribution was 54 percent greater than the wealth at the 90th percentile in 1989, after adjusting for changes in prices.

Money Markets "Easing" Despite Impotent Fed Policy (BLOWUP IMMINENT?)  - (www.alhambrapartners.com) ZeroHedge reports this morning on some (more) interior confusion by economists at one of the big banks. The Fed has "raised rates" and yet according to their calculations, all their calculations, financial conditions are for them paradoxically easier. ... Through no action or direction of the Fed, the global "dollar" conditions after February 11, 2016, have been relatively better. The confusion more recently stems from the same set of flawed premises; it was widely believed that the tighter "dollar" conditions of the "rising dollar" period, though "unexpected", were due to the end of QE and then the first "rate hike." They weren't; the global "dollar" pays little or no mind to monetary policy.





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