Sunday, September 11, 2016

Monday September 12 20916 Housing and Economic stories


Now Companies Are Getting Paid to Borrow - (www.wsj.com) Investors are now paying for the privilege of lending their money to companies, a fresh sign of how aggressive central-bank policy is upending conventional patterns in finance. German consumer-products company Henkel AG and French drugmaker Sanofi SA each sold no-interest bonds at a premium to their face value Tuesday. That means investors are paying more for the bonds than they will get back when the bonds mature in the next few years. A number of governments already have been able to issue bonds at negative yields this year. But it is a rare feat for companies, which also ask investors to bear credit risk. The move has been driven by the European Central Bank’s expansion this summer of its bond-buying program from government to corporate debt, creating more demand for bonds and pushing down their yields. But even if​the pricing is explainable, some investors are still trying to come to terms with the idea.

Crude Oil Freight Rates Plunge to Record Lows - (www.wolfstreet.com) The rates for shipping a tanker-load of crude oil by Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCC) from Rotterdam, Europe’s largest port for the throughput and storage of crude oil, to Singapore, the world’s largest crude oil transshipment center, have dropped another $200,000 since the last assessment, to $2.25 million, according to S&P Global Platts, the lowest level for that route since Platts started tracking VLCC data in 2006. That’s down by $4.15 million from the $6.4 million price tag in January – a 64% plunge in eight months! Platts blamed the “large supply of available ships” on the Europe to East route. Overcapacity in face of lackluster demand is a terrifying condition if it spreads far enough across an industry. As prices get totally crushed, it can lead to bankruptcies and the collapse of entire industries, huge job losses, and massive capital destruction that will spread deeper into the overall economy.

Busiest Year for High-Grade Corporate Bonds Back With a Bang - (www.bloomberg.com) Corporate bond issuance went from a summer lull to a new milestone on Tuesday. Europe’s Sanofi and Henkel AG became the first companies outside of the banking industry to raise debt with yields less than zero. Issuance on both sides of the Atlantic kicked into a higher gear after Monday’s Labor Day holiday in the U.S., with companies including Siemens AG and Home Depot Inc. announcing plans to sell more than $18 billion of bonds. “This is what happens when you get back from Labor Day,” said Tom Murphy, a money manager at Columbia Threadneedle Investments. “September is supposed to be a pretty big month. It’s coming off August, which was a record month for issuance as well. At this point, the market is set up to absorb it well.”

"It's Worse Than The Great Depression" - One In Six Prime-Aged Men Has No Job - (www.zerohedge.com) While Obama has repeatedly touted the sub-5.0% unemployment rate (4.9% most recently) as confirmation his "economic recovery" has been successful, what has received far less media attention has been the unprecedented surge in Americans no longer in the labor force, which as of August stood at a near-record 94.4 million. And while the traditional response by economic apolists and the media has been that this number is the result of a demographic change in US society, with mostly older workers no longer in the labor pool, we have over the years argued that that is misleading, and that millions of prime-aged workers have fallen out as a result of drastic changes to America's job market, coupled with structural lack of demand for legacy jobs, which has - for example - sent the number of employed waiters and bartenders to all time highs even as the number of manufacturing workers is lower than it was in December 2014.

Fading College Dream Saps U.S. Economy of Productivity Miracle - (www.bloomberg.com) For decades, a growing pool of college graduates poured into the U.S. labor market, boosting productivity and shaping America’s status as the world’s dominant economic power. That driver of growth is diminishing. Enrollment has declined every year since peaking in 2011, according to the Census Bureau and the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center. The reasons include an aging population, rising tuition costs and a healthy rate of hiring that lessens the demand for learning. Lamenting the end of the so-called productivity miracle are Federal Reserve officials and economists more broadly, who hailed its ability to allow faster growth without harmful inflation. Now, central bankers largely powerless to fix the schooling slump say something must be done to counter it to prevent a new era of weaker growth.




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