Sunday, June 19, 2016

Monday June 20 2016 Housing and Economic stories


Rio de Janeiro State Slammed With Two-Notch Downgrade by Fitch - (www.bloomberg.com) Rio de Janeiro state received a two-notch credit rating downgrade from Fitch Ratings after it failed to make good on international debt obligations and as its liquidity deteriorates rapidly. Fitch cut Rio’s rating to B- from B+, saying in a statement that “pension payment should consume an increasing portion of the state’s revenues at least in the following 10 years” and that Rio has been “resorting to nonrecurring revenues to cover for operating expenditures.” Rio now has the lowest credit rating among all five Brazilian states and two cities that Fitch rates publicly. Fitch’s outlook for the rating is stable, reflecting that the state “has reached the bottom” with no future downgrades expected in the short-term, Fitch analyst Paulo Fugulin said by phone.

Credit-Card Warning Sends Synchrony Shares Dropping - (www.wsj.com) Consumer credit is starting to fray at the edges. Lenders and credit-ratings firms are warning that credit cards, auto loans and student loans are weakening, suggesting that a new round of borrower delinquencies and losses for financial institutions could be on the way. Synchrony Financial, the largest U.S. issuer of retail-store credit cards, increased its forecast for credit losses over the next year, saying some customers were failing to catch up on overdue payments. The increase in expected losses wasn’t huge—0.2 to 0.3 percentage point—but it rattled investors who are nervously watching for a peak in the credit cycle. Synchrony’s stock fell 13%. Shares of Capital One Financial Corp., another credit-card issuer, fell 6.6%, and Ally Financial Inc.’s dropped 5.6%.

Age Discrimination on LinkedIn Hitting ever Younger Ages? - (www.wolfstreet.com) A few days before Microsoft’s announced that it would buy the money-losing company dogged by revenues that are threatening to flatten out, for a breathtaking $27.2 billion, the third most expensive tech deal in history, andsurely one of the most overpriced deals ever – “surely” meaning I have zero facts to support that claim – well just days before that historic moment, I’d written an article about how job postings on LinkedIn had plunged. With hindsight, it looks like Microsoft’s acquisition gurus didn’t read that article. Now I’ve come across a fascinating piece on MarketWatch, an article on what to do to get into the cross hairs of a recruiter whose algos are combing through millions of profiles on LinkedIn. No recruiter in his right might is personally clicking through LinkedIn profiles. They’re all scanned by algos by the millions in nanoseconds. And so the trick is structuring your profile to get the algos to pay attention. This isn’t a human-to-human scenario, but a human-to-algo scenario. You’re trying to second-guess an algo that’s going to decide your future.

Brexit Woe Splits Europe’s Bond Market in Recall of Debt Crisis - (www.bloomberg.com) Britain’s European Union referendum is redrawing old lines in the European bond market. As demand for safety in the run-up to the vote pushed Germany’s 10-year yields below zero for the first time on record on Tuesday, those on Spanish two-year notes were turning positive. Meanwhile the yield difference between Italian and German 10-year bonds reached the highest since February. For much of Wednesday the reverse was true. Spanish and Italian bonds initially climbed, while German bunds fell, before the securities pared their moves. The split in the market is redolent of moves during the region’s debt crisis, a relationship which had been largely disrupted by the European Central Bank’s quantitative easing program. 

Brexit could shock complacement market - (www.cnbc.com) After a run toward record highs in stocks last week, there may be better clues on why the rally faltered: the market hadn't priced in Brexit. In fact, it's probably still unprepared for the event if it happens. "I think stocks on the whole are feeling that concern. They (were) pricing in none of the risk," said Jason Pride, director of investment strategy at Glenmede Trust. As stocks in the last few days have moved lower under increasing concern, he would expect "more volatility and anxiety" heading into the vote as Brexit becomes a stronger factor for the market. Two-thirds of fund managers think Brexit is "unlikely" or "not at all likely," according to the Bank of America Merrill Lynch June fund manager survey. The survey was completed from June 3 to 9, meaning those optimistic results show just how much Wall Street was not pricing in Brexit — until the latest slew of polls.



Yellen: Brexit was a factor in decision, could have economic consequences for US
- (www.cnbc.com)
The Fed’s New Dot Plot
- (www.bloomberg.com)
Oil Caps Longest Losing Streak in Four Months

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