Wednesday, March 2, 2016

Thursday March 3 2016 Housing and Economic stories


Goldman Sachs Says 40% of Lending to Oil and Gas Firms Is Junk - (www.bloomberg.com) Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said about 40 percent of its oil and gas loans and lending commitments are to junk-rated firms. The figure, which counts both loans made and future promises to lend, accounted for $4.2 billion of a total $10.6 billion as of the end of December, the New York-based bank said Monday in its annual regulatory filing. Goldman Sachs has $1.5 billion in loans to energy companies rated below investment grade and $2.7 billion in unfunded commitments. The total exposure jumps $1.9 billion counting derivatives and other receivables, which were “primarily" to investment-grade firms, Goldman Sachs said. The bank’s market exposure to oil and gas firms was negative $677 million compared with $805 million a year earlier.

Signs of Mortgage Meltdown in Australia - (www.wolfstreet.com)  Real estate is local – until it isn’t. Cities have their own housing bubbles that implode on their own time. But once contagion spreads to mortgages and banks and infects confidence of real estate investors and homebuyers alike, and once debt levels are so high that they have become unsustainable and can’t be pushed higher, then a real estate bubble suddenly becomes a national economic issue with terrible consequences. In Australia, which has the highest household debt in the world, “homes are so expensive that nearly half of all mortgages are interest-only.” They’re offered by the biggest banks with loosey-goosey lending standards. And “that is a red flag for imminent disaster.” “It’s not a question of if but when there will be a mortgage crisis in Australia,” explained Jonathan Tepper, CEO at research firm Variant Perception, on the local 60-Minutes segment, Home Groans, that aired in Australia on Sunday.

Emerging market bonds hit as foreign investors dump debt - (www.ft.com)  Twenty years ago, a dangerous cocktail of debt accumulated in foreign money and deteriorating exchange rates led emerging markets into financial meltdown. In the aftermath, countries vowed to repent of the “original sin” of borrowing huge sums in non-domestic currencies. Major emerging markets went from having more than three-quarters of their debt in foreign currencies to around half. Finance ministers were applauded for better protecting economies from swings in global market sentiment. Yet as the world recoils from risky assets amid a slowdown in China and collapsing oil prices, emerging market bonds are once again being dragged into the fray.

The NY Times wants to get rid of the $100 bill - (www.cnbc.com) The New York Times has joined the chorus calling for the elimination of large-denomination bills. In an editorial published Monday, the Times argued that "there is no need for large-denomination currency" and that big bills make it easier for criminals to conceal their business. The editorial cited a Europol study that found that the 500 euro note is used disproportionately "in the various stages of criminal activity and money laundering." The 500 euro bill is known as the "Bin Laden" in underground circles, according to a paper on high-value bills and illicit activity written by Peter Sands, a senior fellow at Harvard's Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government.

More Subprime Borrowers Are Falling Behind on Their Auto Loans - (www.bloomberg.com) More borrowers with spotty credit are failing to make monthly car payments on time, a troubling sign for investors who have snapped up billions of dollars of securities backed by risky auto debt. Delinquencies on subprime auto loans packaged into bonds rose in January to 4.7 percent, a level not seen since 2010, according to data from Wells Fargo & Co. Rising delinquencies come as a warning sign that more loans may end up in default down the road, said John McElravey, an analyst at the bank. What may be most troubling, however, is that the default rate is already climbing, up to 12.3 percent in January from 11.3 the prior month. That is the highest rate since 2010, the data show.


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