Tuesday, February 23, 2016

Wednesday February 24 2016 Housing and Economic stories


Market turmoil causes sharp losses at US hedge funds - (www.ft.com) Some of the largest and well known US hedge funds have suffered further sharp losses from this year’s rout in equities and commodities, raising the prospect that investors pull more money from the industry. Popular bets in equities, currencies and commodities have backfired on a number of hedge funds this year, confounding some of the industry’s highest profile investors such as Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square, Glenview Capital run by Larry Robbins, while Carl Icahn has been hit hard by the slumping energy sector. The current market turmoil follows poor results for many hedge funds during 2015, increasing worries for managers about rising redemptions, a process that intensifies further selling of assets like equities. “It has been a challenging short-term period for many hedge fund managers,” said Adam Blitz, chief executive of Evanston Capital Management. “High levels of market volatility, and in some cases illiquidity, have caused the prices of many individual securities to become divorced from their fundamental value.”

Italian Banks Are All In It Together—and That’s the Problem - (online.wsj.com) There is an old saying: if you can’t pay a bank back $1,000, you have a problem; if you can’t pay back $1 million, the bank has a problem. In Italy, everyone has a problem. The point isn't that every bank has bad loans: They do, but these have at least stopped growing. The point is that the bad loans of the weakest banks may ultimately have to be partly paid for by the rest. This is a worry even for banks like Intesa Sanpaolo or Mediobanca, which have strong capital ratios and improving or already low bad loan positions. The poster child for this concern is still the world’s oldest bank and Italy’s third biggest by assets, Monte dei Paschi di Siena.

Brazil's 5,500 Bankruptcies in 2015 Signal Deeper Credit Crisis - (www.bloomberg.com) In his two decades covering Brazil, Fitch Ratings’s Joe Bormann says he’s never seen the nation’s companies in such a dire state.  To appreciate just how bad things are, consider this: Brazilian courts granted more than 5,500 bankruptcy filings in 2015, the most since 2008, according to Sao Paulo-based credit rater Serasa Experian. Brazil’s deepest two-year recession in more than a century and plummeting commodity prices are leaving businesses in industries from steel to air travel among the most at risk of default, according to Fitch. And more pain is looming in Latin America’s biggest economy as borrowing costs soar, predicts Bormann, who oversees a team of 60 analysts responsible for rating more than 500 companies in the region.

Five Countries Being Squeezed by Currency Pegs  - (www.bloomberg.com) Only on the streets of cities like Cairo, Abuja or Tashkent can you gauge just how much pressure developing countries are under to ease controls on their currencies. Individuals and businesses in five nations across central Asia, the Middle East and Africa are paying anywhere from 4 percent to 136 percent more than official exchange rates to get their hands on dollars, according to a Bloomberg survey. So-called black markets flourish at times when there’s a shortage of greenbacks and are one indicator of how much a currency should be allowed to depreciate to reach its fair value. Central banks that uphold pegs have been under strain after tumbling commodity prices and slowing global growth weakened currencies from Brazil to Russia by at least 18 percent in the past year. In the four months that followed China’s shock devaluation of the yuan in August, Kazakhstan, Argentina and Azerbaijan abandoned control of their exchange rates to boost competitiveness and avoid draining reserves.

Dollar Fragile to China Return as Hedge Funds Sour on Greenback - (www.bloomberg.com) The dollar rose against the euro and yen after China boosted the yuan following a week-long holiday, helping ease global financial turmoil that had spurred investors to bet the Federal Reserve will delay raising U.S. interest rates. The euro extended losses to fall the most in two weeks after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said policy makers wouldn’t hesitate to act if price stability is threatened. The greenback advanced for a second day versus the currencies often perceived as haven assets after a report Friday showed U.S. retail sales increased more in January than economists forecast. Large hedge funds and speculators cut their bets on the dollar’s gains last week by the most since June.


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