Thursday, October 29, 2015

Friday October 30 Housing and Economic stories


Treasury Considers Radical Plan to Help Puerto Rico - (www.nytimes.com) The proposal calls for the federal government to help Puerto Rico collect and account for local tax revenues from the island's businesses and residents, according to people briefed on the matter who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to publicly discuss the proposal. An inability to collect all the taxes owed is widely seen as contributing to Puerto Rico's debt crisis. The tax proceeds would be placed in a "lockbox" overseen by the Treasury and eventually paid out by the Treasury to the holders of the new bonds that Puerto Rico would issue in the proposed exchange. Since the Treasury would effectively become the paying agent for the new bonds, they would be more attractive than the bonds that creditors now hold.'' ... [But] ... "Right now, Puerto Ricans don't even like to pay taxes to their own government," said one person with knowledge of the discussions. If the I.R.S. were to suddenly replace the local tax authorities and try to gather up the money for debt service, "people would say, `Go to hell. I'm not paying the U.S. government.' "

How Banks Funded the U.S. Oil Boom and (So Far) Escaped the Bust - (www.bloomberg.com) When Whiting Petroleum needed cash earlier this year as oil prices plummeted, JPMorgan Chase, its lead lender, found investors willing to step in. The bank helped Whiting sell $3.1 billion in stocks and bonds in March. Whiting used almost all the money to repay the $2.9 billion it owed JPMorgan and its 25 other lenders. The proceeds also covered the $45 million in fees Whiting paid to get the deal done, regulatory filings show. Analysts expect Whiting, one of the largest producers in North Dakota’s Bakken shale basin, to spend almost $1 billion more than it earns from oil and gas this year. The company has sold $300 million in assets, reduced the number of rigs drilling for oil to eight from a high of 24, and announced plans to cut spending by $1 billion next year. Eric Hagen, a Whiting spokesman, says the company has “demonstrated that it is taking appropriate steps to manage within the current oil price environment.” Whiting has said it will be in a position next year to have its capital spending of $1 billion equal its cash flows with an oil price of $50 a barrel.

'Bear claw' will strike the market again: Yamada - (www.cnbc.com)  "What we are seeing now is leadership in a lot of depressed stocks," said Yamada. Energy, which has been the worst-performing sector on the year, has suddenly emerged as a winner this quarter. The sector is up nearly 13 percent since Oct. 1 and is the best performer in the S&P 500 during that period. "While we're rallying we're seeing deterioration in some of the [former] leaders," she added. "One would suggest those rallies are not sustainable." For Yamada, it's only a matter of time before the S&P 500 hits the next level of resistance, and investors should be prepared for what could be the start of sharp selling. "A lot of these rallies tend to bring us to a place of complacency before the bear claw may come out again to strike," she warned. "We are skeptical of this rally."

Corporate America's Epic Debt Binge Leaves $119 Billion Hangover - (www.bloomberg.com)  The Federal Reserve’s historically low borrowing rate isn’t benefiting corporate America like it used to. It’s more expensive for even the most creditworthy companies to borrow or refinance even as the Fed has kept its benchmark at near-zero the last seven years. Companies have loaded up on debt. They owe more in interest than they ever have, while their ability to service what they owe, a metric called interest coverage, is at its lowest since 2009, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.  The deterioration of balance-sheet health is “increasingly alarming” and will only worsen if earnings growth continues to stall amid a global economic slowdown, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. credit strategists led by Lotfi Karoui. Since corporate credit contraction can lead to recession, high debt loads will be a drag on the economy if investors rein in lending, said Deutsche Bank AG analysts led by Oleg Melentyev, the bank’s U.S. credit strategy chief. “The benefit of lower yields for corporate issuers is fading,” said Eric Beinstein, JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s head of U.S. high-grade strategy.

Walmart's entire business model is crumbling – (www.businessinsider.com) This week, Walmart's shares crashed after the company reported a disappointing profit outlook. Profits will fall 6% to 12% next year, the company said. And the retailer's situation is likely to get worse rather than better, according to many analysts. Until now, Walmart has been able to make huge profits by keeping worker wages low and using its size to negotiate cheaper prices than competitors, Brian Sozzi at The Street writes. But the retail landscape is changing, and Walmart is increasingly irrelevant. "New guidance reflects that Walmart's competitive edge — historically largely assortment and price — has faded relative to purveyors of extreme value (warehouse clubs, hard discounters) or extreme convenience (dollar stores, hard discounters), as e-commerce has neutralized the impact of selection," Goldman Sachs analyst Matthew Fassler wrote in a note to clients.



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