Sunday, July 13, 2014

Monday July 14 Housing and Economic stories


Bridges Crumble as Muni Rates at Least Since ’60s Ignored - (www.bloomberg.com) No state is needier than West Virginia when it comes to fixing crumbling highways, airports and water works, with annual repair needs of $1,035 per resident that’s three times the national average. Yet even with borrowing costs hovering close to four-decadelows, lawmakers rejected a January proposal to sell $1 billion of bonds to repair roads that run through the Appalachian Mountains. Budget cuts were a more immediate concern, they said. Across the U.S., localities are refraining from raising new funds in the $3.7 trillion municipal-bond market after the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression left them with unprecedented deficits. Rather than take advantage of Federal Reserve (FDTR)policy that’s held benchmark interest rates at historic lows since December 2008, they’re repaying obligations by the most on record.

Bond Market Has $900 Billion Mom-and-Pop Problem When Rates Rise - (www.bloomberg.com) It’s never been easier for individuals to enter some of the most esoteric debt markets. Wall Street’s biggest firms are worried that it’ll be just as simple for them to leave. Investors have piled more than $900 billion into taxablebond funds since the 2008 financial crisis, buying stock-like shares of mutual and exchange-traded funds to gain access to infrequently-traded markets. This flood of cash has helped cause prices to surge and yields to plunge. Now, as the Federal Reserve discusses ending its easy-money policies, concern is mounting that the withdrawal of stimulus will lead to an exodus that’ll cause credit markets to freeze up. While new regulations have forced banks to reduce their balance-sheet risk, analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) are focusing on the problems that individual investors could cause by yanking money from funds. There’s a bigger risk “that when the the Fed starts hiking in earnest, outflows from high-yielding and less-liquid debt will lead to a free fall in prices,” JPMorgan strategists led by Jan Loeys wrote in a June 20 report. “In extremis, this could force a closing of the primary market and have serious economic impact.”

Americans Still Aren't Saving for a Rainy Day - (www.time.com) Lesson from the recession not learned. Families in the U.S. still don’t have a substantial amount of cash tucked away for a rainy day despite the beating the economy took in the Great Recession, according to a new survey. The Financial Security Index from Bankrate.com shows half of American families have no savings or less than three month’s worth of expenses saved for emergencies. The survey’s findings, analysts note, haven’t changed  since 2011, when the company first began inquiring about the saving habits of American families. “Americans continue to show a stunning lack of progress in accumulating sufficient emergency savings,” said Greg McBride, Bankrate’s chief financial analyst.

Sovereign debt the 'ultimate bubble': Wilbur Ross - (www.cnbc.com) A bubble currently brewing in sovereign debt will likely burst in the next couple of years, U.S. billionaire Wilbur Ross warned on Monday. "I've felt for some time that the ultimate bubble, when we look back a few years from now, is going to be sovereign debt, both U.S. and other, because it's way below any sort of reversion to the mean of interest rates," the distressed debt investor told CNBC. "If you look at where the U.S. 10-year had averaged over the 10 preceding years, it's around 4 percent. If it reverts back to that level at some point there will be terrible losses in the long-term Treasury market and those will probably be accentuated in other areas of fixed income." Ross argued that slowing issuance of assets like mortgage-backed securities and long-term Treasurys post-credit crisis, had helped to insulate the market from the full impact of the Federal Reserve's gradual slowdown of quantitative easing - a process known as tapering.

After port fraud, China's vast warehouse sector under scrutiny - (www.reuters.com) Shaken by a fraud investigation into metal financing in the world's seventh-busiest port, banks and trading houses have been made painfully aware of the risks they face storing commodities in China's sprawling warehouse sector. The probe at Qingdao port centers around a private metals trading firm suspected of duplicating warehouse certificates in order to use a metal cargo multiple times to raise financing. Some banks have asked clients to shift metal, used as collateral for loans, to more regulated London Metal Exchange (LME) warehouses outside China or those owned and operated by a single warehouse firm to limit their exposure. "The banks still haven't looked under the hood," said an executive at a bank involved in commodity financing in China, referring to China's warehousing sector. At the heart of the issue is China's roaring commodity financing business, which has helped drive up stockpiles of commodities at ports to record levels, stored in warehouses not always regulated to the same extent as elsewhere. Though many global firms are involved in the warehouse industry in China, there has been outsourcing to local firms to cut overheads and avoid dealing with complex local regulations.





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