Tuesday, November 26, 2013

Wednesday November 27 Housing and Economic stories


San Mateo foresees ‘silver tsunami’ of aging Baby Boomers who can’t afford home prices - (www.sfgate.com)  Newly elected San Mateo City Council member Joe Goethals called it a “silver tsunami.” While the imagery is striking, the facts are sobering: By 2030, almost a quarter of San Mateo County’s population is expected to be older than 65 — and a new study has found that nearly 20 percent of Californians in this age group live in poverty. The study by Stanford’s Center on Poverty and Inequality and the Public Policy Institute of California aimed to provide a more comprehensive and rigorous accounting of poverty statistics than the U.S. Census Bureau. Dubbed the California Poverty Measure, or CPM, the research took housing costs into account when determining poverty levels. For San Mateo County, the study determined that 18.4 percent of residents earned less than the poverty threshold of $36,504, a much higher figure than the Census estimate of 6.7 percent. San Mateo city officials, aware that it’s hard to find a one-bedroom apartment for under $2,000 a month, have begun to explore ways to serve a rapidly aging demographic. But at an Oct. 16 forum, Mayor David Lim and several council members said the affordability problem remains easier to identify than to solve. One solution advanced by the state legislature, which Lim supported, would have allowed San Mateo to adopt an ordinance to require below-market-rate housing on 15 percent of all rental units.

Payback Time for Subprime - (www.chartporn.org)  Settlement and fines for mortgage abuses are starting to add up to real money. Of course, as Matt Taibbi points out, this is still just a drop in the proverbial bucket compared to the related profits and scale of activities that took place.

Bernanke Giving Pledges To Screw Savers Out Of Interest Longer - (www.bloomberg.com)  From Patrick’s  blog at www.Patrick.net! This was supposed to be the year that Herb Harrison found a newer, bigger home to replace his current house in Framingham, Massachusetts. Then, in May, mortgage rates began to rise and he put his hunt on hold. “My wife and I looked at each other and said ‘no way,’” said Harrison, who works in information technology. “It was something we thought about when rates were at rock-bottom, but once the rates spiked, we decided to stay where we are.” Now shoppers like the Harrisons are getting another chance, thanks to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke. After five months of public speculation about when the Fed would end its housing stimulus sent mortgage costs to a two-year high in September, the U.S. central bank last week pledged a continuation of the bond buying responsible for last year’s all-time low 3.36 percent for a 30-year fixed loan. Interest rates may now hold at close to 4 percent through early next year, said Joel Naroff, president of Naroff Economic Advisors. This was supposed to be the year that Herb Harrison found a newer, bigger home to replace his current house in Framingham, Massachusetts. Then, in May, mortgage rates began to rise and he put his hunt on hold. “My wife and I looked at each other and said ‘no way,’” said Harrison, who works in information technology. “It was something we thought about when rates were at rock-bottom, but once the rates spiked, we decided to stay where we are.” Now shoppers like the Harrisons are getting another chance, thanks to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke. After five months of public speculation about when the Fed would end its housing stimulus sent mortgage costs to a two-year high in September, the U.S. central bank last week pledged a continuation of the bond buying responsible for last year’s all-time low 3.36 percent for a 30-year fixed loan. Interest rates may now hold at close to 4 percent through early next year, said Joel Naroff, president of Naroff Economic Advisors.

Consumer confidence in homebuying hits all-time low - (www.housingwire.com)  Consumer confidence in housing significantly widened last month, as most taxpayers were turned off by the federal government shutdown and the ongoing debt ceiling debate, taking a toll on American’s outlook toward the housing market. The share of consumers who believe it’s a good time buy a house declined to 65% — an all-time low — while the number of those who believe mortgage rates will go up in the next year fell to 57%, according to Fannie Mae’s latest monthly survey. It’s important to note that the survey was conducted primarily in the first two weeks of October – before the government shutdown ended and the debt ceiling agreement was reached.

Downgrade heaps pressure on Hollande - (www.ft.com) S&P criticises France’s high tax rates for stifling growth. François Hollande’s stuttering effort to revive the French economy suffered another setback when Standard & Poor’s lowered the country’s credit rating and criticised its high taxes and flagging structural reforms.
The ratings downgrade came after a testing few weeks for the French president that have featured strikes by Brittany farmers and professional footballers over taxes that are among the highest in the western world. Mr Hollande’s approval ratings have slipped to record lows. “The downgrade reflects our view that the French government’s current approach to budgetary and structural reforms to taxation, as well as to product, services and labour markets, is unlikely to substantially raise France’s medium-term growth prospects,” S&P said in a statement on Friday.





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