Thursday, May 16, 2013

Friday May 17 Housing and Economic stories


TOP STORIES:

Struggling factories underline fragility of world growth - (www.reuters.com) Manufacturing across the world stumbled last month, underlining the fragility of the global economy and building the case for more action from leading central banks. Gloomy purchasing managers indexes - surveys of factory activity that correlate strongly with economic activity - added to a string of other economic data that has already soured optimism that a budding pickup in the world economy will flower. Over the past two days, manufacturing indexes for the United States, euro zone - including powerhouse Germany - and China have all declined. Britain's improved but was still signaling contraction. "There is not a great amount of positive news out there. Globally, we do see a weaker second quarter - there are no arguments about that," said Victoria Clarke, economist at Investec.

Americans are increasingly foolish with debt - (www.ochousingnews.com) After 30 years of falling interest rates, Americans have become addicted to cheap credit and personal Ponzi schemes. People have learned they can take on large debts, consolidate them at lower and lower interest rates, and service that debt with a portion of their income. It’s a bit like learning to live with a lamprey slowly sucking your financial juices. Often it’s not enough to kill, so it’s a parasite people learn to live with. Oftentimes when people get in trouble with debt, they stop using it. As Jesus would say, “sin no more.” Through falling interest rates, loan consolidations, and other methods of “working with borrowers,” lenders have learned out not to kill their hosts. Lenders have intentionally fostered moral hazard by teaching people to live with their parasites rather than learning how to get rid of them.

ECB Cuts Key Interest Rate to Record Low as Recession Lingers - (www.bloomberg.com) Policy makers meeting in Bratislava today lowered the main refinancing rate to 0.5 percent from 0.75 percent, a move predicted by 45 of 70 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. The ECB kept the deposit rate at zero and reduced the marginal lending rate to 1 percent from 1.5 percent to preserve a symmetrical rate corridor. President Mario Draghi holds a press conference in the Slovakian capital at 2:30 p.m. Since Draghi said last month that he stood ready to act ifEurope’s economic outlook worsened, inflation plunged, economic confidence slumped and unemployment rose. Today’s cut, the first since July last year, takes the ECB closer to exhausting its conventional policy tools, raising the prospect of a negative deposit rate or new non-standard measures.
The rate cut “will not have any significant impact on short-term interbank rates,” said Nick Kounis, head of macro research atABN Amro in Amsterdam. However, it will “reduce funding costs for the mainly peripheral banks that use the ECB’s lending facilities, so in that sense it is a targeted move.”

Big Tobacco Is Scrambling To Get A Piece Of The Booming E-Cigarette Business – (www.businessinsider.com) Yesterday, we showcased the 10 technologies Citi says are going to "disrupt" the world. In other words, these are things that will dramatically alter how their respective industries operate. There was one technology you could put in your mouth: e-cigarettes. What are e-cigarettes? They're basically thin pipes of vaporized, flavored nicotine. When you take a drag, a pressure-activated switch turns on a miniature heater that emits fake smoke. They're said to be less addictive than regular smokes, and more importantly, cheaper.

U.S. Homeownership Rate Lowest Since 1995 - (www.bloomberg.com) The U.S. homeownership rate fell to the lowest in almost 18 years, reflecting rising demand for rentals and investor purchases in the housing market. The share of Americans who own their homes was 65 percent in the first quarter, down from 65.4 percent a year earlier and the lowest level since the third quarter of 1995, the Census Bureau reported today. The vacancy rate for rented homes dropped to 8.6 percent from 8.8 percent a year earlier, while vacancies for owner-occupied houses fell to 2.1 percent from 2.2 percent. Investors are buying single-family homes and renting them out to capitalize on demand among families unable to qualify for a mortgage. Their purchases, many made with cash, are helping to support the housing recovery and pushing up prices. Home values in 20 cities increased 9.3 percent in February from a year earlier, the most since May 2006, according to the S&P/Case- Shiller (SPCS20Y%) index released today.





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