Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Thursday April 18 Housing and Economic stories


TOP STORIES:

BOJ to pump $1.4 trillion into economy in unprecedented stimulus - (www.reuters.com) The Bank of Japan unleashed the world's most intense burst of monetary stimulus on Thursday, promising to inject about $1.4 trillion into the economy in less than two years, a radical gamble that sent the yen reeling and bond yields to record lows. New Governor Haruhiko Kuroda committed the BOJ to open-ended asset buying and said the monetary base would nearly double to 270 trillion yen ($2.9 trillion) by the end of 2014, a dose of shock therapy officials hope will end two decades of stagnation. The policy was viewed as a radical gamble to boost growth and lift inflation expectations and is unmatched in scope even by the U.S. Federal Reserve's own quantitative easing program.

The Big Risk of Fannie & Freddie's Big Profit - (www.bloomberg.com) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the U.S. government-owned mortgage-finance giants, are finally back in the black. The two companies earned a combined net income of $28.2 billion in 2012 -- their most profitable year ever. Fannie and Freddie will probably enjoy several more banner years now that they seem to have finished working through their portfolios of toxic subprime securities. Almost all of those profits will go to the U.S. Treasury, which would allow lawmakers to claim credit for reducing the budget deficit without having to raise taxes or cut spending. Despite the recent good news, abandoning reforms of the companies would be a mistake. Today's big profits may not persist once interest rates start to rise. Policymakers should focus on fixing the mortgage giants so that taxpayers won't ever be on the hook for their losses again.

Regulators closer to supervising nonbank financial companies - (www.washingtonpost.com) The Federal Reserve approved a final rule Wednesday that brings the government closer to placing large nonbank companies that were at the heart of the financial crisis under stricter supervision. The rule leaves a strikingly wide swath of companies on the table as potentially falling under tougher oversight, including private-equity firms and hedge funds. Yet industry officials and others following the process say it’s unlikely that officials will ultimately single out more than a handful of firms. Jaret Seiberg, a managing director at Guggenheim Securities, said in a report Wednesday that the most likely firms to be designated are GE Capital, American International Group, Prudential and MetLife.

No cash? No worries. Home lenders ease up rules - (homes.yahoo.com)  As housing heads into the critical spring market, credit is finally beginning to thaw. Lenders are increasingly approving low-down-payment loans, and government-sponsored mortgage giant Fannie Mae is buying more of them. It is a noticeable shift from the last four years, when 20 percent down on a home purchase loan was the only game in the neighborhood. "In general lenders have been willing to do more than they may have been willing to do in the past," said John Forlines, chief credit officer for Fannie Mae's single family business. "Our requirements have not changed significantly, but other parties taking risk, the lenders and mortgage insurance companies in particular, have been more flexible than they may have been in the past." Fannie Mae will buy loans with as little as 3 percent down payment, but these loans require private mortgage insurance. During the worst of the housing crash, when the private insurers were sinking under billions of dollars in claims on defaulted loans, that insurance was tough to get. The only low down payment loan left was through the Federal Housing Administration (FHA)—the government's loan insurer. The FHA took on a huge share of the market, far more than it was ever meant to, and while that helped prop up the mortgage market in the short term, it was not sustainable, and the FHA took on huge losses.

Time bomb to the next crash is ticking as debt sales surge - (www.telegraph.co.uk) When dotcoms crashed, sub-prime imploded and banks collapsed it was not hard to find the markets’ Cassandras who had spotted the problem and either made millions betting against the bubble or written a book explaining how it was all going to go wrong. Today, another bubble is ballooning but unlike those that have gone before it most investors, policymakers and analysts are well aware of its existence and the problems it could create. Sales of high-yield debt – or, as they were once known, junk bonds – have exploded this year. In January alone, non-investment grade Asian companies, those whose debt is ranked by credit rating agencies as riskiest, sold just over $9bn (£6bn) of high-yield bonds, a year-on-year increase of more 6,000pc, according to figures from data provider Dealogic. In Europe, sales of high-yield debt is also running at record levels and nearly $30bn of bonds have been sold so far this year. The massive increase so soon after a financial crisis that was caused in part by the credit meltdown has raised fears that less than five years on from the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers and the near failure of Royal Bank of Scotland and HBOS, the world is setting itself up for another crash.





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