Tuesday, August 21, 2012

Wednesday August 22 Housing and Economic stories



TOP STORIES:

Where Borrowing $105 Million Will Cost $1 Billion: Poway Schools  - (www.voiceofsandiego.com) Last year the Poway Unified School District made a deal: It borrowed $105 million from investors to fund a final push in its decade-long effort to revamp aging schools. In many ways, the deal was unspectacular. Some of the money was used to pay off previous debts from delayed and over-budget construction projects. The rest went towards finishing upgrades that Poway taxpayers had been promised as far back as 2002. To a casual observer, it was just another school bond. But Poway Unified’s deal was far from normal. In 2008, voters had given the district permission to borrow more money to finish its modernization, and they had received a big promise from the elected school board in return: No tax increases.

A storm is brewing and will strike when market participants least expect it. - (www.marketwatch.com)
It has been all quiet on the Wall Street front. Too quiet for Nicholas Colas. Stock market volatility is near its low points of the past three years, as measured by the CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX. To Colas, ConvergEx Group chief market strategist, a storm is brewing and will strike when market participants least expect it. The challenge then will be to stay standing. “Be mentally prepared for volatility,” Colas said. “Traders know that if something happens to the market that really scares you, you weren’t prepared and positioned for it.” Besides being troubled by investors' complacency, Colas said the U.S. market doesn’t seem healthy. “U.S. stocks got a pass in the first half of the year because Europe was so sloppy,” he said. Going forward, investors’ scrutiny is going to circle back to the U.S., and they might not like what they see.

An entire generation of investors hasn’t made a buck. - (www.nytimes.com) Let’s stop with the excuses. You’ve no doubt been reading a lot about a “crisis of confidence” on Wall Street in recent days after software problems at a big trading firm sent the stock market, briefly, into a tizzy. Everyone is hyperventilating at the errant trades at the Knight Capital Group — suggesting, in the words ofArthur Levitt, that these malfunctions “have scared the hell out of investors.” The problems at the firm were immediately lumped together with Facebook’s glitch-filled initial public offering, the flash crash of 2010 and the rescinded public offering of BATS Global Markets, among others. Apparently — if the experts are to be believed — these computer errors are the reason “investors are fleeing the markets like never before,” Dennis Kelleher, president of Better Markets, told The Los Angeles Times. Dozens of articles about the trading blunder included some form of that contention, using statistics showing that $130 billion or more had been withdrawn from mutual funds over the last year or so.

As Libor Fault-Finding Grows, It Is Now Every Bank for Itself - (www.nytimes.com) Major banks, which often band together when facing government scrutiny, are now turning on one another as an international investigation into the manipulation of interest rates gains momentum. With billions of dollars and their reputations on the line, financial institutions have been spreading the blame in recent meetings with authorities, according to government and bank officials with knowledge of the matter. While acknowledging their own wrongdoing, institutions are pointing out actions at other banks that they believe are worse — and in some cases, extend to top executives. One official involved in the case said that banks are emphasizing that “we’re not as bad as the next guy.”

Why the 'long, painful correction’ is nowhere near over - (www.telegraph.co.uk) Where were you when the global financial crisis began five years ago this month? I remember the start of the credit crunch in August 2007 as if it were yesterday, ironically because I nearly missed it altogether. When we headed off to our friends’ log cabin for our summer holiday in the New England woods all was well. When we emerged a couple of weeks later all hell had broken loose and the journey to today’s income-hungry world had begun. The events of which we were blissfully unaware as we enjoyed our Thoreau at Walden Pond moment added up to the first full-blown panic of a crisis that had been quietly brewing for the six months since HSBC blamed US sub-prime loans (whatever they were!) for its first ever profits warning.





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