Thursday, June 14, 2012

Friday June 15 Housing and Economic stories



TOP STORIES:

Concerted push by cities to vacate land by using blight - (www.michigancitizen.com) The essence of the plan is the forced removal of people from their homes. Even the Detroit News had to acknowledge this in its lead paragraph about the plan. It said, “The city is trying to encourage — or push — people out of rundown neighborhoods that are largely vacant.” How will it “encourage or push” them? By cutting off services. The services being “stopped” are street lights (which haven’t been on in many neighborhoods for years), tree trimming, removal of abandoned houses, a process that continues at a glacial pace even in the best of neighborhoods, and police services, whose absence might not be noticed. The city is vague about what it intends to do with water, fire protection, garbage pick up and basic sanitation.  If past history is any guide, these too are likely to be cut off. Certainly that was the strategy used in what is now widely considered one of the most shameful episodes in city development, the destruction of Poletown. Folks living in the neighborhoods targeted for clearance would do well to learn the lessons from that effort and begin immediately to develop local safety and support organizations to resist the plan to force them out, house by house.

Defaults May Loom on California Redevelopment Agency Debt - (www.bloomberg.com) As many as 100 municipalities that took over bond obligations when California erased redevelopment agencies may not get the tax revenue they’re counting on tomorrow to make payments, the state Finance Department said. Such cities and counties may face cash-flow constraints that eventually may threaten defaults, said Matt McCleary, a project manager at Rosenow Spevacek Group Inc. The Santa Ana firm is advising about 35 cities on redevelopment issues. About 400 redevelopment agencies that helped finance projects to overcome blight were dissolved Feb. 1 by Governor Jerry Brown to redirect more than $1 billion of their funds to help fill a budget gap. Bonds for the projects were to be repaid with increased property-tax revenue from the revitalized areas.

Late CMBS Loan Payments Exceed 11%, Morgan Stanley Says - (www.bloomberg.com) The delinquency rate on U.S. commercial mortgages packaged and sold as bonds surpassed 11 percent in May as borrowers struggle to pay off maturing loans, according to Morgan Stanley. Payments on the debt at least 30 days late jumped 0.22 percentage point to 11.91 percent, Morgan Stanley analysts said in a report today. The surge marks “the third sizable consecutive month-over-month increase,” said the analysts led by Richard Parkus in New York. Borrowers are falling behind on payments as debt taken out at the market’s peak matures, with loans from the commercial property boom in 2006 and 2007 deteriorating the most, the analysts said. Of $3.63 billion in shopping mall, hotel and skyscraper mortgages that came due last month, 61 percent didn’t pay off at their maturity date, they said.

California Note Sale May Top $10 Billion, Chiang Says - (www.bloomberg.com) California, the most indebted state, may need to sell more than $10 billion in short-term securities in order to pay bills through the fiscal year that begins in July, Controller John Chiang said. The size of the revenue-anticipation note sale may exceed previous estimates as tax collections have trailed projections and the state exhausted most of its internal borrowing ability, Chiang said in an interview yesterday in Bloomberg’s San Francisco office. “It could be more,” said Chiang, a 49-year-old Democrat. “The question is whether there is market capacity.” A $10 billion sale would be the largest since 2010. California lost more than 1 million jobs in the recession that started in 2007, reducing revenue by 24 percent. This year, the largest state by population borrowed $5.4 billion in September and had to seek another $1 billion in February after tax collections fell short and spending exceeded expectations.

Hedge Fund ETF Weapons Turn Dangerous For Solo Investors - (www.bloomberg.com) If you are convinced, really convinced, the price of crude oil will rise today and U.S. stocks will fall, Factor Advisors LLC has an exchange-traded fund for you. The FactorShares 2X: Oil Bull/S&P500 Bear (FOL) offered by the New York-based firm makes a two-times long wager on crude oil futures and a short bet on Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures, in effect delivering twice the daily change in the spread between the two positions. The product’s birth followed “a lot of feedback” from institutional investors, including hedge funds, Stuart Rosenthal, chief executive officer of Factor Advisors, said in a telephone interview. As the biggest ETF managers capture assets from traditional mutual funds with benchmark-tracking offerings, smaller competitors are catering to sophisticated investors with an increasingly complex arsenal of products. Often based on derivatives, these can be weapons for savvy investors to amplify wagers on rising or falling prices of everything from stocks and bonds to currencies and commodities. The same tools, readily available through conventional and online brokers, have proven hazardous for individual investors who sometimes misunderstand and misuse them with costly consequences.

JPMorgan CIO Swaps Pricing Said To Differ From Bank - (www.bloomberg.com) The JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) unit responsible for at least $2 billion in losses on credit derivatives was valuing some of its trades at prices that differed from those of its investment bank, according to people familiar with the matter. The discrepancy between prices used by the chief investment office and JPMorgan’s credit-swaps dealer, the biggest in the U.S., may have obscured by hundreds of millions of dollars the magnitude of the loss before it was disclosed May 10, said one of the people, who asked not to be identified because they aren’t authorized to discuss the matter. “I’ve never run into anything like that,” said Sanford C. Bernstein & Co.’s Brad Hintz in New York, ranked by Institutional Investor magazine as the top analyst covering brokerage firms. “That’s why you have a centralized accounting group that’s comparing marks” between different parts of the bank “to make sure you don’t have any outliers,” said the former chief financial officer of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.





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