Monday, September 9, 2013

Tuesday September 10 Housing and Economic stories


Subprime Squeezed as Auto-Lender Costs Increase  - (www.bloomberg.com) Borrowing costs are rising for subprime auto lenders in the asset-backed bond market, squeezing profit margins and pressuring firms to make even riskier loans. A General Motors Co. (GM) unit that makes car loans to people with blemished or limited credit sold top-rated securities backed by the debt to yield 45 basis points more than the benchmark swap rate on Aug. 7, almost double the spread it paid on similar notes in April, according to a person with knowledge of the transactions. American Credit Acceptance Corp., the Spartanburg, South Carolina-based buyer of “deep subprime” loans, paid 225 basis points over benchmarks to sell A rated debt on July 31, up from 165 in March. Subprime lenders lured into the market by low financing costs during the past three years now face being pushed out as rates reverse, according to Moody’s Investors Service. Funding costs are climbing as the Federal Reserve considers reducing $85 billion of monthly bond purchases that have steered investors to riskier, higher-yielding debt.

Dishwashers Beat Clothes as U.S. Moms Use Hand-Me-Downs - (www.bloomberg.com) Shannon Burke is typical of many American shoppers these days. She’s pouring money into her home and cutting back on everything else. “If we don’t need it, we don’t buy it,” said Burke, a 33-year-old mother from Abington, Massachusetts, whose two kids are mostly making do with hand-me-downs. “The money can be spent on our home. The more valuable our home is, the better it is for us in the long run.” That’s great news for companies such as Lowe’s Cos. and Home Depot Inc. Both reported blowout second quarters as millions of Americans, drawing confidence from a recovering housing market, loaded up on dishwashers, bathtubs and wall tile. It’s not so good for retailers selling clothes and other general merchandise. In recent weeks, chains from Wal-Mart Stores Inc. to Nordstrom Inc. to Macy’s Inc. missed sales estimates and cut forecasts.

Emerging markets central banks’ emergency reserves drop by $81bn - (www.ft.com) Central banks in the developing world have lost $81bn of emergency reserves through capital outflows and currency market interventions since early May, even before renewed turmoil in emerging markets. The figure, which excludes China, is equal to roughly 2 per cent of all developing country central bank reserves, according to Morgan Stanley analysts, who compiled the data from central bank filings for May, June and July. However, some countries have suffered more precipitous drops. Indonesia has lost 13.6 per cent of its central bank reserves from the end of April until the end of July, Turkey spent 12.7 per cent and Ukraine burnt through almost 10 per cent. India, another country that has seen its currency pummelled in recent months, has shed almost 5.5 per cent of its reserves. Central bank reserves are held to act as a safety buffer against turmoil, and are on average still far larger than during past emerging market crises. But the pace of the drops have spooked some investors and analysts.

Mortgage rates hit two-year high - (money.cnn.com) The average weekly rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage jumped to a two-year high, Freddie Mac said on Thursday. The rate is now 4.58%, up from 4.4% the prior week. That is the highest level for the 30-year in more thantwo years, since it hit 4.6% on July 7, 2011, according to Freddie Mac spokesman Chad Wandler. Wandler attributed the increase to an improving housing market. He also cited investor concerns about when the Federal Reserve will taper its government bond-buying program, which could affect interest rates. Rising rates could also affect the housing market going forward. A recent survey by real estate company Trulia found that an increase in mortgage rates was the prime concerns among 41% consumers, who worried about that more than price increases.

The Financial Crisis That Refuses to Go Away - (www.telegraph.co.uk) Emerging markets such as Brazil, India and Turkey have an outbreak of the jitters, and it’s hard to see a happy outcome. Oh what a tangled web central bankers weave, when first they practice to deceive. As was always predictable, exiting the “quantitative easing” the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and others launched in the wake of the credit crunch to support failing banking systems and collapsing demand is proving an exceptionally tricky business. It threatens almost as many problems for the world economy as the original money-printing was trying to solve. There is no mess quite so bad, it might be said, that central bank intervention doesn’t make worse. The latest example of this old truism is the renewed turmoil in emerging economy currency, debt and equity markets. This has become so intense over the past week that it invites parallels with the emerging markets crisis of the late Nineties, an event that arguably lit the fuse on the all-encompassing Western banking crisis that occurred a decade later. Thus does the policy response to one bubble-induced crisis merely re-infect and lead inexorably to the next one.





No comments: