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Analysis:
Abe courts new risk with plan to shake up public pensions - (www.reuters.com) He could announce the move as
soon as Wednesday as part of a package of measures designed to kick economic
growth into a higher gear. The prime minister has already pushed through $100
billion in government spending and shaken up monetary policy by prodding the
Bank of Japan into
a $1.4 trillion stimulus effort. Having long prescribed "bold"
economic measures to turn around 15 years of grinding deflation and sluggish
economic growth, he now wants the nation's public pensions to take more risk
with their $2 trillion pool of funds. It is a policy that directly affects tens
of millions of Japanese workers and pensioners in a country that is very
conscious of how rapidly it is ageing. A government survey last year estimated
those aged 65 or over would double by 2060. "The government is trying to
do this with pension money," said Nobusuke Tamaki, a professor at Otsuma
Women's University and a former director general of the country's biggest
public pensions fund, the Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF). "But
how would the public at large feel if their pensions suffer huge losses?
Politicians need to talk to the public about this and debate the issue in an
intensive way." Shifting hundreds of billions of dollars from bonds into riskier assets, such as
equities or infrastructure financing, also risks disrupting markets, already jittery following two
weeks of volatility and some analysts questioned if the public funds had the
expertise to manage greater investment risk.
Illinois
Bond Grade Cut as Lawmakers Can’t Fix Pensions - (www.bloomberg.com) Illinois had its credit
rating cut one level after lawmakers failed to restructure
state pensions saddled with almost $100 billion in unfunded liabilities. Fitch
Ratings cut the state’s $27.5 billion in general-obligation
bonds to A- from A today, citing the inaction in the legislative session that
ended May 31. Lawmakers adjourned without taking final votes on proposals to
reduce an unfunded pension liability that grows by $17 million a day. As they
left the capitol in Springfield, with plans to return in late October, members
of both parties acknowledged a credit cut was almost unavoidable. Governor Pat
Quinn, a Democrat, called the leaders of the state House of
Representatives and the Senate to a meeting tomorrow. “If I could issue an
executive order to resolve the pension crisis, I would have done it a long time
ago,” Quinn, 64, said in a statement from his office in Chicago. He called the
credit cut “no surprise.”
Turkish
unions join fierce protests in which two have died - (www.reuters.com) Turkey's deputy prime
minister apologized on Tuesday for "excessive violence" by police in
an effort to defuse days of unrest, comments which contrasted sharply with
Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan's defiant dismissal of the protesters. With
Erdogan abroad and strikes and demonstrations still rumbling on after five
days, Deputy Prime Minister Bulent Arinc sought to assuage some of the anger at
the government's initial hardline response to what began as a sit-in against
plans to build on an Istanbul park. "The excessive violence that was used
in the first instance against those who were behaving with respect for the
environment is wrong and unfair," Arinc told a news conference in the
capital Ankara. "I apologize to those citizens."
EU
Seeks Role in Bank Shutdowns That Goes Against German Plan - (www.bloomberg.com) The European Commission is
seeking to give itself the power to shut down failing euro-area banks as part
of a draft crisis blueprint that defies German calls for a more decentralized
approach. The Brussels-based authority is set to propose that decisions to
force losses on crisis-hit lenders’ creditors, as well as other steps to
prevent a disorderly collapse, should be taken largely out of national hands,
according to a document obtained by Bloomberg
News. While the system would include a “newly-created central
resolution body,” final decisions would be taken by the commission itself. “Among
EU institutions, the commission is best placed to play this role, bolstered by
its experience of bank restructuring during the crisis under state-aid control,
and given the need to ensure expeditious and effective decision-making,”
according to the document.
Senators
Near Plan to Abolish Fannie Mae, Shrink U.S. Backstop - (www.bloomberg.com) A bipartisan group of U.S.
senators is putting the final touches on a bill that would liquidate Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac (FMCC) and
replace them with a government reinsurer of mortgage securities behind private
capital. The legislation, written by Tennessee Republican Bob Corker and
Virginia Democrat Mark Warner with input from other
senators, is likely to be the first detailed blueprint reflecting a growing
consensus in Washington that the U.S. role in
mortgage finance should be limited to assuming risk only in catastrophic
circumstances. It also reflects the prevailing view among lawmakers that the
two government-sponsored enterprises should cease to exist, according to a
discussion draft obtained by Bloomberg
News.
Turkish
protests show depth of anger against Erdogan - (www.washingtonpost.com)
Fischer Defends Reinhart, Rogoff Against Attacks - (www.bloomberg.com)
Turkey and South Africa: a tale of two emerging markets - (www.reuters.com)
Fischer Defends Reinhart, Rogoff Against Attacks - (www.bloomberg.com)
Turkey and South Africa: a tale of two emerging markets - (www.reuters.com)
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